We simulated Cagliari vs Juventus 100,000 times. Juventus won 56,527 of them (56.5%), the draw came up 25.9% of the time and Cagliari won 17.6%. The most likely score is 0-1 (13.9%), and both teams score in 44.2% of simulations.
| Cagliari win | 17.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.9% |
| Juventus win | 56.5% |
| Most likely score | 0-1 (13.9%) |
| Expected goals | 0.79 – 1.63 |
| Both teams to score | 44.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 22.7% |
| Cagliari score first | 28.8% |
| Juventus score first | 61.6% |
| Cagliari clean sheet | 20% |
| Juventus clean sheet | 45.6% |
Genoa
Fiorentina
1.2–1.5
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Inter
Parma
2.9–0.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Napoli
Frosinone
2.2–1.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Como
Roma
1.6–1.6
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Lazio
Monza
1.9–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Lecce
Bologna
1.0–1.4
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Sassuolo
AC Milan
1.2–1.7
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Atalanta
Venezia
2.1–1.1
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420669035 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Juventus are favourites. They win 56.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.9% for the draw and 17.6% for Cagliari. Including the draw, Juventus avoid defeat 82.4% of the time.
0-1, which came up in 13.9% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (11.9%) and 0-2 (11.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 44.2% of simulations. Cagliari keep a clean sheet 20% of the time and Juventus 45.6%.
The simulations average 2.42 goals: 0.79 for Cagliari and 1.63 for Juventus. Over 1.5 goals lands 69.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 43.5% and over 3.5 goals 22.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
