We simulated Inter vs Parma 100,000 times. Inter won 82,648 of them (82.7%), the draw came up 11.2% of the time and Parma won 6.2%. The most likely score is 2-0 (11.9%), and both teams score in 45% of simulations.
| Inter win | 82.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 11.2% |
| Parma win | 6.2% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (11.9%) |
| Expected goals | 2.91 – 0.66 |
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 47.5% |
| Inter score first | 76.4% |
| Parma score first | 21% |
| Inter clean sheet | 51.9% |
| Parma clean sheet | 5.8% |
Genoa
Fiorentina
1.2–1.5
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Napoli
Frosinone
2.2–1.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Como
Roma
1.6–1.6
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Lazio
Monza
1.9–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Lecce
Bologna
1.0–1.4
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Sassuolo
AC Milan
1.2–1.7
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Cagliari
Juventus
0.8–1.6
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Atalanta
Venezia
2.1–1.1
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668930 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Inter are favourites. They win 82.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 11.2% for the draw and 6.2% for Parma. Including the draw, Inter avoid defeat 93.8% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 11.9% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (11.4%) and 1-0 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 45% of simulations. Inter keep a clean sheet 51.9% of the time and Parma 5.8%.
The simulations average 3.56 goals: 2.91 for Inter and 0.66 for Parma. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 68.5% and over 3.5 goals 47.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
