We simulated Brentford vs Liverpool 100,000 times. Brentford won 41,039 of them (41%), the draw came up 26.5% of the time and Liverpool won 32.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.1%, while the likeliest Brentford win is 2-1 (8.7%). Both teams score in 62.3% of simulations.
| Brentford win | 41% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.5% |
| Liverpool win | 32.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.64 – 1.44 |
| Both teams to score | 62.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.1% |
| Brentford score first | 50.3% |
| Liverpool score first | 43.6% |
| Brentford clean sheet | 24.1% |
| Liverpool clean sheet | 19.8% |
Everton
Chelsea
1.5–1.5
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Fulham
Hull City
1.9–1.1
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Manchester City
Ipswich Town
2.7–0.9
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Newcastle United
Aston Villa
1.7–1.4
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Leeds United
Manchester United
1.6–1.4
xG
57%
Over 2.5
AFC Bournemouth
Sunderland
1.7–1.2
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Brighton & Hove Albion
Crystal Palace
2.1–1.0
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Nottingham Forest
Arsenal
0.9–1.7
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420665889 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Brentford are favourites. They win 41% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.5% for the draw and 32.5% for Liverpool. Including the draw, Brentford avoid defeat 67.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.1% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.7%) and 1-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Brentford win is 2-1 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.3% of simulations. Brentford keep a clean sheet 24.1% of the time and Liverpool 19.8%.
The simulations average 3.08 goals: 1.64 for Brentford and 1.44 for Liverpool. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.2% and over 3.5 goals 37.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
