We simulated Fulham vs Hull City 100,000 times. Fulham won 55,804 of them (55.8%), the draw came up 23% of the time and Hull City won 21.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.7%, while the likeliest Fulham win is 2-1 (9.7%). Both teams score in 57.1% of simulations.
| Fulham win | 55.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23% |
| Hull City win | 21.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.93 – 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | 57.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% |
| Fulham score first | 65% |
| Hull City score first | 29.3% |
| Fulham clean sheet | 33.5% |
| Hull City clean sheet | 15% |
Everton
Chelsea
1.5–1.5
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Brentford
Liverpool
1.6–1.4
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Manchester City
Ipswich Town
2.7–0.9
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Newcastle United
Aston Villa
1.7–1.4
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Leeds United
Manchester United
1.6–1.4
xG
57%
Over 2.5
AFC Bournemouth
Sunderland
1.7–1.2
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Brighton & Hove Albion
Crystal Palace
2.1–1.0
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Nottingham Forest
Arsenal
0.9–1.7
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420665863 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Fulham are favourites. They win 55.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23% for the draw and 21.2% for Hull City. Including the draw, Fulham avoid defeat 78.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.7% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Fulham win is 2-1 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.1% of simulations. Fulham keep a clean sheet 33.5% of the time and Hull City 15%.
The simulations average 3.03 goals: 1.93 for Fulham and 1.10 for Hull City. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.1% and over 3.5 goals 36%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
