We simulated Manchester City vs Ipswich Town 100,000 times. Manchester City won 76,290 of them (76.3%), the draw came up 13.7% of the time and Ipswich Town won 10%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.2%), and both teams score in 53.4% of simulations.
| Manchester City win | 76.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 13.7% |
| Ipswich Town win | 10% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (10.2%) |
| Expected goals | 2.73 – 0.87 |
| Both teams to score | 53.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 48.2% |
| Manchester City score first | 74.5% |
| Ipswich Town score first | 22.9% |
| Manchester City clean sheet | 42.2% |
| Ipswich Town clean sheet | 6.9% |
Everton
Chelsea
1.5–1.5
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Fulham
Hull City
1.9–1.1
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Brentford
Liverpool
1.6–1.4
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Newcastle United
Aston Villa
1.7–1.4
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Leeds United
Manchester United
1.6–1.4
xG
57%
Over 2.5
AFC Bournemouth
Sunderland
1.7–1.2
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Brighton & Hove Albion
Crystal Palace
2.1–1.0
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Nottingham Forest
Arsenal
0.9–1.7
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420665956 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Manchester City are favourites. They win 76.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 13.7% for the draw and 10% for Ipswich Town. Including the draw, Manchester City avoid defeat 90% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 10.2% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.4% of simulations. Manchester City keep a clean sheet 42.2% of the time and Ipswich Town 6.9%.
The simulations average 3.60 goals: 2.73 for Manchester City and 0.87 for Ipswich Town. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 69.2% and over 3.5 goals 48.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
