We simulated Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace 100,000 times. Brighton & Hove Albion won 63,142 of them (63.1%), the draw came up 20.5% of the time and Crystal Palace won 16.4%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.2%), and both teams score in 54.1% of simulations.
| Brighton & Hove Albion win | 63.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.5% |
| Crystal Palace win | 16.4% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (10.2%) |
| Expected goals | 2.11 – 0.97 |
| Both teams to score | 54.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.9% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion score first | 63% |
| Crystal Palace score first | 32.1% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion clean sheet | 38.4% |
| Crystal Palace clean sheet | 12.6% |
Everton
Chelsea
1.5–1.5
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Fulham
Hull City
1.9–1.1
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Brentford
Liverpool
1.6–1.4
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Manchester City
Ipswich Town
2.7–0.9
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Newcastle United
Aston Villa
1.7–1.5
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Leeds United
Manchester United
1.6–1.4
xG
57%
Over 2.5
AFC Bournemouth
Sunderland
1.7–1.2
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Nottingham Forest
Arsenal
0.9–1.7
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420665885 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Brighton & Hove Albion are favourites. They win 63.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.5% for the draw and 16.4% for Crystal Palace. Including the draw, Brighton & Hove Albion avoid defeat 83.6% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 10.2% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.1% of simulations. Brighton & Hove Albion keep a clean sheet 38.4% of the time and Crystal Palace 12.6%.
The simulations average 3.07 goals: 2.11 for Brighton & Hove Albion and 0.97 for Crystal Palace. Over 1.5 goals lands 81% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59% and over 3.5 goals 36.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
