We simulated Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale 100,000 times. Kawasaki Frontale won 38,140 of them (38.1%), the draw came up 26.7% of the time and Cerezo Osaka won 35.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.3%, while the likeliest Kawasaki Frontale win is 1-2 (8.4%). Both teams score in 61.1% of simulations.
| Cerezo Osaka win | 35.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.7% |
| Kawasaki Frontale win | 38.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.47 – 1.54 |
| Both teams to score | 61.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.4% |
| Cerezo Osaka score first | 43.4% |
| Kawasaki Frontale score first | 49.9% |
| Cerezo Osaka clean sheet | 21.9% |
| Kawasaki Frontale clean sheet | 23.5% |
Shimizu S-Pulse
Gamba Osaka
1.5–1.2
xG
50%
Over 2.5
JEF United
Yokohama F. Marinos
1.1–1.5
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
0.8–1.8
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga
2.5–0.8
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Kashima Antlers
V-Varen Nagasaki
2.1–0.8
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa Reds
1.2–1.5
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Kashiwa Reysol
Nagoya Grampus
2.1–1.1
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe
1.2–1.2
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420605675 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Kawasaki Frontale are favourites. They win 38.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.7% for the draw and 35.2% for Cerezo Osaka. Including the draw, Kawasaki Frontale avoid defeat 64.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.3% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.4%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest Kawasaki Frontale win is 1-2 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.1% of simulations. Cerezo Osaka keep a clean sheet 21.9% of the time and Kawasaki Frontale 23.5%.
The simulations average 3.00 goals: 1.47 for Cerezo Osaka and 1.54 for Kawasaki Frontale. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.5% and over 3.5 goals 35.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
