We simulated Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga 100,000 times. Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 73,434 of them (73.4%), the draw came up 16.2% of the time and Kyoto Sanga won 10.4%. The most likely score is 2-0 (11.2%), and both teams score in 51.2% of simulations.
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima win | 73.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 16.2% |
| Kyoto Sanga win | 10.4% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (11.2%) |
| Expected goals | 2.50 – 0.82 |
| Both teams to score | 51.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.4% |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima score first | 69.2% |
| Kyoto Sanga score first | 27% |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima clean sheet | 44.1% |
| Kyoto Sanga clean sheet | 8.6% |
Shimizu S-Pulse
Gamba Osaka
1.5–1.2
xG
50%
Over 2.5
JEF United
Yokohama F. Marinos
1.1–1.5
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
0.8–1.8
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Kashima Antlers
V-Varen Nagasaki
2.1–0.8
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Cerezo Osaka
Kawasaki Frontale
1.5–1.5
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa Reds
1.2–1.5
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Kashiwa Reysol
Nagoya Grampus
2.1–1.1
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe
1.2–1.2
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420605881 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are favourites. They win 73.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 16.2% for the draw and 10.4% for Kyoto Sanga. Including the draw, Sanfrecce Hiroshima avoid defeat 89.6% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 11.2% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.2% of simulations. Sanfrecce Hiroshima keep a clean sheet 44.1% of the time and Kyoto Sanga 8.6%.
The simulations average 3.32 goals: 2.50 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 0.82 for Kyoto Sanga. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.1% and over 3.5 goals 42.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
