We simulated Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka 100,000 times. Shimizu S-Pulse won 43,374 of them (43.4%), the draw came up 27.2% of the time and Gamba Osaka won 29.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.9%, while the likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win is 1-0 (9.3%). Both teams score in 54.5% of simulations.
| Shimizu S-Pulse win | 43.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.2% |
| Gamba Osaka win | 29.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.50 – 1.19 |
| Both teams to score | 54.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.5% |
| Shimizu S-Pulse score first | 51.6% |
| Gamba Osaka score first | 40.5% |
| Shimizu S-Pulse clean sheet | 30.7% |
| Gamba Osaka clean sheet | 22.7% |
JEF United
Yokohama F. Marinos
1.1–1.5
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
0.8–1.8
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga
2.5–0.8
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Kashima Antlers
V-Varen Nagasaki
2.1–0.8
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Cerezo Osaka
Kawasaki Frontale
1.5–1.5
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa Reds
1.2–1.5
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Kashiwa Reysol
Nagoya Grampus
2.1–1.1
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe
1.2–1.2
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420605655 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Shimizu S-Pulse are favourites. They win 43.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.2% for the draw and 29.4% for Gamba Osaka. Including the draw, Shimizu S-Pulse avoid defeat 70.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win is 1-0 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.5% of simulations. Shimizu S-Pulse keep a clean sheet 30.7% of the time and Gamba Osaka 22.7%.
The simulations average 2.69 goals: 1.50 for Shimizu S-Pulse and 1.19 for Gamba Osaka. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.3% and over 3.5 goals 28.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
