We simulated Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo 100,000 times. FC Tokyo won 61,405 of them (61.4%), the draw came up 23.2% of the time and Tokyo Verdy won 15.4%. The most likely score is 0-1 (13.7%), and both teams score in 44.2% of simulations.
| Tokyo Verdy win | 15.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.2% |
| FC Tokyo win | 61.4% |
| Most likely score | 0-1 (13.7%) |
| Expected goals | 0.76 – 1.79 |
| Both teams to score | 44.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.5% |
| Tokyo Verdy score first | 28.6% |
| FC Tokyo score first | 63.2% |
| Tokyo Verdy clean sheet | 17.1% |
| FC Tokyo clean sheet | 46.9% |
Shimizu S-Pulse
Gamba Osaka
1.5–1.2
xG
50%
Over 2.5
JEF United
Yokohama F. Marinos
1.1–1.5
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga
2.5–0.8
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Kashima Antlers
V-Varen Nagasaki
2.1–0.8
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Cerezo Osaka
Kawasaki Frontale
1.5–1.5
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa Reds
1.2–1.5
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Kashiwa Reysol
Nagoya Grampus
2.1–1.1
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe
1.2–1.2
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420605683 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
FC Tokyo are favourites. They win 61.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.2% for the draw and 15.4% for Tokyo Verdy. Including the draw, FC Tokyo avoid defeat 84.6% of the time.
0-1, which came up in 13.7% of simulations. Next are 0-2 (12.4%) and 1-1 (10.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 44.2% of simulations. Tokyo Verdy keep a clean sheet 17.1% of the time and FC Tokyo 46.9%.
The simulations average 2.55 goals: 0.76 for Tokyo Verdy and 1.79 for FC Tokyo. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 46.8% and over 3.5 goals 25.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
