We simulated Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus 100,000 times. Kashiwa Reysol won 61,387 of them (61.4%), the draw came up 20.5% of the time and Nagoya Grampus won 18.1%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.7%), and both teams score in 57.2% of simulations.
| Kashiwa Reysol win | 61.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.5% |
| Nagoya Grampus win | 18.1% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.7%) |
| Expected goals | 2.13 – 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | 57.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.5% |
| Kashiwa Reysol score first | 62.3% |
| Nagoya Grampus score first | 33.4% |
| Kashiwa Reysol clean sheet | 34.9% |
| Nagoya Grampus clean sheet | 12.3% |
Shimizu S-Pulse
Gamba Osaka
1.5–1.2
xG
50%
Over 2.5
JEF United
Yokohama F. Marinos
1.1–1.5
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
0.8–1.8
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga
2.5–0.8
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Kashima Antlers
V-Varen Nagasaki
2.1–0.8
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Cerezo Osaka
Kawasaki Frontale
1.5–1.5
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa Reds
1.2–1.5
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe
1.2–1.2
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420605679 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Kashiwa Reysol are favourites. They win 61.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.5% for the draw and 18.1% for Nagoya Grampus. Including the draw, Kashiwa Reysol avoid defeat 81.9% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.7% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.2% of simulations. Kashiwa Reysol keep a clean sheet 34.9% of the time and Nagoya Grampus 12.3%.
The simulations average 3.19 goals: 2.13 for Kashiwa Reysol and 1.06 for Nagoya Grampus. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.5% and over 3.5 goals 39.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
