We simulated Coventry City vs Fulham 100,000 times. Fulham won 38,439 of them (38.4%), the draw came up 27.4% of the time and Coventry City won 34.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.9%, while the likeliest Fulham win is 1-2 (8.5%). Both teams score in 57.3% of simulations.
| Coventry City win | 34.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.4% |
| Fulham win | 38.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.35 – 1.45 |
| Both teams to score | 57.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.9% |
| Coventry City score first | 42.7% |
| Fulham score first | 50.3% |
| Coventry City clean sheet | 23.9% |
| Fulham clean sheet | 26.2% |
Ipswich Town
Nottingham Forest
1.4–1.5
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Aston Villa
Manchester City
1.3–2.0
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Arsenal
Everton
2.1–0.7
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur
2.1–1.1
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Hull City
Brentford
1.2–1.7
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Crystal Palace
Newcastle United
1.7–1.6
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Manchester United
AFC Bournemouth
1.8–1.3
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Liverpool
Brighton & Hove Albion
1.7–1.5
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420665859 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Fulham are favourites. They win 38.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.4% for the draw and 34.2% for Coventry City. Including the draw, Fulham avoid defeat 65.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.5%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest Fulham win is 1-2 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.3% of simulations. Coventry City keep a clean sheet 23.9% of the time and Fulham 26.2%.
The simulations average 2.80 goals: 1.35 for Coventry City and 1.45 for Fulham. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.9% and over 3.5 goals 30.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
