We simulated Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest 100,000 times. Nottingham Forest won 37,141 of them (37.1%), the draw came up 28.2% of the time and Crystal Palace won 34.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.3%, while the likeliest Nottingham Forest win is 0-1 (8.6%). Both teams score in 54.2% of simulations.
| Crystal Palace win | 34.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.2% |
| Nottingham Forest win | 37.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.29 – 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | 54.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.4% |
| Crystal Palace score first | 42.4% |
| Nottingham Forest score first | 49.2% |
| Crystal Palace clean sheet | 26.4% |
| Nottingham Forest clean sheet | 27.8% |
Arsenal
Leeds United
2.0–0.8
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Sunderland
Brighton & Hove Albion
1.4–1.6
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Chelsea
AFC Bournemouth
2.0–1.3
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Aston Villa
Brentford
1.5–1.6
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Ipswich Town
Fulham
1.5–1.5
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Manchester United
Tottenham Hotspur
2.0–1.2
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Hull City
Everton
1.1–1.4
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Liverpool
Manchester City
1.6–1.6
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420665914 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Nottingham Forest are favourites. They win 37.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.2% for the draw and 34.6% for Crystal Palace. Including the draw, Nottingham Forest avoid defeat 65.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.3% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win is 0-1 (8.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.2% of simulations. Crystal Palace keep a clean sheet 26.4% of the time and Nottingham Forest 27.8%.
The simulations average 2.64 goals: 1.29 for Crystal Palace and 1.35 for Nottingham Forest. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49% and over 3.5 goals 27.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
