We simulated Ipswich Town vs Fulham 100,000 times. Ipswich Town won 36,772 of them (36.8%), the draw came up 26.9% of the time and Fulham won 36.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.5%, while the likeliest Ipswich Town win is 2-1 (8.3%). Both teams score in 59.7% of simulations.
| Ipswich Town win | 36.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.9% |
| Fulham win | 36.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.47 – 1.46 |
| Both teams to score | 59.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.7% |
| Ipswich Town score first | 43.1% |
| Fulham score first | 50.1% |
| Ipswich Town clean sheet | 23.7% |
| Fulham clean sheet | 23.4% |
Arsenal
Leeds United
2.0–0.8
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Sunderland
Brighton & Hove Albion
1.4–1.6
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Chelsea
AFC Bournemouth
2.0–1.3
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Aston Villa
Brentford
1.5–1.6
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Manchester United
Tottenham Hotspur
2.0–1.2
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Hull City
Everton
1.1–1.4
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
1.3–1.4
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Liverpool
Manchester City
1.6–1.6
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420665977 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Ipswich Town are favourites. They win 36.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.9% for the draw and 36.3% for Fulham. Including the draw, Ipswich Town avoid defeat 63.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.5% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.3%) and 1-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win is 2-1 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.7% of simulations. Ipswich Town keep a clean sheet 23.7% of the time and Fulham 23.4%.
The simulations average 2.93 goals: 1.47 for Ipswich Town and 1.46 for Fulham. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55.8% and over 3.5 goals 33.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
