We simulated Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City 100,000 times. Middlesbrough won 61,691 of them (61.7%), the draw came up 20.7% of the time and Cardiff City won 17.6%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.3%), and both teams score in 62.8% of simulations.
| Middlesbrough win | 61.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.7% |
| Cardiff City win | 17.6% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.3%) |
| Expected goals | 2.33 – 1.19 |
| Both teams to score | 62.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 46.4% |
| Middlesbrough score first | 64.7% |
| Cardiff City score first | 31.1% |
| Middlesbrough clean sheet | 31% |
| Cardiff City clean sheet | 10.3% |
Cardiff City
Watford
2.1–1.1
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Wrexham
West Bromwich Albion
1.4–1.1
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Burnley
Charlton Athletic
1.8–0.9
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Millwall
Swansea City
1.6–1.3
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Bristol City
Blackburn Rovers
1.5–1.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
2.3–0.9
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Birmingham City
Preston North End
2.0–1.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1.3–1.6
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420644085 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Middlesbrough are favourites. They win 61.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.7% for the draw and 17.6% for Cardiff City. Including the draw, Middlesbrough avoid defeat 82.4% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.3% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.8% of simulations. Middlesbrough keep a clean sheet 31% of the time and Cardiff City 10.3%.
The simulations average 3.51 goals: 2.33 for Middlesbrough and 1.19 for Cardiff City. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 67.7% and over 3.5 goals 46.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
