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Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City

Middlesbrough host Cardiff City in the England Championship on Saturday 17 October 2026, kick-off 12:30. Our model makes Middlesbrough favourites at 50%, with a 23% chance of a draw. In their last 10 meetings, Cardiff City won 1, Middlesbrough won 6 and 3 were drawn.

England Championship Save
Middlesbrough
12:30
17 Oct
Cardiff City
Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough Referee: Tom Nield

Win probabilities

50%Middlesbrough 23%Draw 27%Cardiff City

Half-time result Pro

  • Middlesbrough
  • Draw
  • Cardiff City

Double chance

  • Middlesbrough or draw 73%
  • Cardiff City or draw 50%
  • Middlesbrough or Cardiff City 77%

Half-time / full-time Pro

  • Middlesbrough/Middlesbrough
  • Middlesbrough/Draw
  • Middlesbrough/Cardiff City
  • Draw/Middlesbrough
  • Draw/Draw
  • Draw/Cardiff City
  • Cardiff City/Middlesbrough
  • Cardiff City/Draw
  • Cardiff City/Cardiff City
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation

Form

Middlesbrough W D D W L
Cardiff City L W L D L
MiddlesbroughCardiff City
60% Win rate 20%
2.00 Goals scored 1.00
1.40 Goals conceded 1.40
60% Both teams score 60%
60% Over 2.5 goals 40%
40% Clean sheets 0%
60% Scored first 20%
1.87 xG for 2.04
1.30 xG against 1.04
11.20 Match corners 12.00

From 5 and 5 matches.

Cardiff City vs Middlesbrough head to head

1 Cardiff City wins 3 draws 6 Middlesbrough wins
2.8 goals per game 60% both teams scored 30% over 2.5 goals
  1. 16 Jan 2027Championship Cardiff City 15:00 Middlesbrough
  2. 17 Oct 2026Championship Middlesbrough 12:30 Cardiff City
  3. 4 Jan 2025Championship Middlesbrough 1–1 Cardiff City
  4. 31 Aug 2024Championship Cardiff City 0–2 Middlesbrough
  5. 27 Apr 2024Championship Cardiff City 1–4 Middlesbrough
  6. 3 Oct 2023Championship Middlesbrough 2–0 Cardiff City
  7. 11 Feb 2023Championship Cardiff City 1–3 Middlesbrough
  8. 13 Sep 2022Championship Middlesbrough 2–3 Cardiff City
  9. 27 Apr 2022Championship Middlesbrough 2–0 Cardiff City
  10. 23 Oct 2021Championship Cardiff City 0–2 Middlesbrough
  11. 27 Feb 2021Championship Middlesbrough 1–1 Cardiff City
  12. 24 Oct 2020Championship Cardiff City 1–1 Middlesbrough