Derby County vs Stoke City

Derby County host Stoke City in the England Championship on Saturday 17 October 2026, kick-off 15:00. Our model makes Derby County favourites at 37%, with a 27% chance of a draw. In their last 9 meetings, Derby County won 4, Stoke City won 3 and 2 were drawn.

England Championship Sat 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 Save

Derby County

15:00

17 Oct

Stoke City

Pride Park Stadium, Derby Oliver Langford

Win probabilities

37%Derby County 27%Draw 36%Stoke City

Half-time result Pro

Derby County
Draw
Stoke City

Double chance

Derby County or draw 64%
Stoke City or draw 63%
Derby County or Stoke City 73%

Half-time / full-time Pro

Derby County/Derby County
Derby County/Draw
Derby County/Stoke City
Draw/Derby County
Draw/Draw
Draw/Stoke City
Stoke City/Derby County
Stoke City/Draw
Stoke City/Stoke City

Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Derby County vs Stoke City predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation

Form

Derby County D D L L L

Stoke City W W W D W

Derby CountyStoke City

0% Win rate 80%

0.60 Goals scored 2.20

1.60 Goals conceded 0.80

60% Both teams score 80%

40% Over 2.5 goals 80%

0% Clean sheets 20%

40% Scored first 80%

0.96 xG for 1.28

1.93 xG against 1.50

11.60 Match corners 11.20

From 5 and 5 matches.

Derby County at home and Stoke City away this season.

0% Win rate 40%

0.80 Goals scored 1.40

1.80 Goals conceded 2.00

60% Both teams score 100%

60% Over 2.5 goals 80%

0% Clean sheets 0%

40% Scored first 80%

1.20 xG for 1.02

2.12 xG against 2.26

12.40 Match corners 10.60

From 5 and 5 matches.