We simulated Sassuolo vs Lazio 100,000 times. Lazio won 39,111 of them (39.1%), the draw came up 28.5% of the time and Sassuolo won 32.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.3%, while the likeliest Lazio win is 1-2 (8.6%). Both teams score in 59.8% of simulations.
| Sassuolo win | 32.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.5% |
| Lazio win | 39.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.37 – 1.53 |
| Both teams to score | 59.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.1% |
| Sassuolo score first | 40.8% |
| Lazio score first | 51.3% |
| Sassuolo clean sheet | 22.1% |
| Lazio clean sheet | 25.7% |
Torino
Monza
1.6–1.2
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Cagliari
Bologna
1.1–1.2
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Como
Sassuolo
2.2–1.1
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Napoli
Roma
1.4–1.4
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Lazio
Parma
2.1–0.8
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Inter
Fiorentina
2.6–1.0
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Genoa
Venezia
1.6–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Atalanta
Frosinone
2.1–1.3
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668920 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Lazio are favourites. They win 39.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.5% for the draw and 32.4% for Sassuolo. Including the draw, Lazio avoid defeat 67.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.3% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.6%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest Lazio win is 1-2 (8.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.8% of simulations. Sassuolo keep a clean sheet 22.1% of the time and Lazio 25.7%.
The simulations average 2.90 goals: 1.37 for Sassuolo and 1.53 for Lazio. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55.2% and over 3.5 goals 33.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
