We simulated Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City 100,000 times. Tottenham Hotspur won 59,764 of them (59.8%), the draw came up 21.8% of the time and Coventry City won 18.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.2%, while the likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win is 2-0 (9.8%). Both teams score in 54.7% of simulations.
| Tottenham Hotspur win | 59.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.8% |
| Coventry City win | 18.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.2%) |
| Expected goals | 2.00 – 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | 54.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.5% |
| Tottenham Hotspur score first | 62.4% |
| Coventry City score first | 32.2% |
| Tottenham Hotspur clean sheet | 36.7% |
| Coventry City clean sheet | 14% |
Everton
Chelsea
1.5–1.5
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Fulham
Hull City
1.9–1.1
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Brentford
Liverpool
1.6–1.4
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Manchester City
Ipswich Town
2.7–0.9
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Newcastle United
Aston Villa
1.7–1.4
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Leeds United
Manchester United
1.6–1.4
xG
57%
Over 2.5
AFC Bournemouth
Sunderland
1.7–1.2
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Brighton & Hove Albion
Crystal Palace
2.1–1.0
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420665871 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Tottenham Hotspur are favourites. They win 59.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.8% for the draw and 18.5% for Coventry City. Including the draw, Tottenham Hotspur avoid defeat 81.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.2% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win is 2-0 (9.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.7% of simulations. Tottenham Hotspur keep a clean sheet 36.7% of the time and Coventry City 14%.
The simulations average 3.01 goals: 2.00 for Tottenham Hotspur and 1.01 for Coventry City. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.6% and over 3.5 goals 35.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
