We simulated Udinese vs AC Milan 100,000 times. AC Milan won 55,937 of them (55.9%), the draw came up 24.5% of the time and Udinese won 19.6%. The most likely score is 0-1 (11.6%), and both teams score in 49.9% of simulations.
| Udinese win | 19.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.5% |
| AC Milan win | 55.9% |
| Most likely score | 0-1 (11.6%) |
| Expected goals | 0.93 – 1.74 |
| Both teams to score | 49.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.1% |
| Udinese score first | 35.6% |
| AC Milan score first | 56.8% |
| Udinese clean sheet | 17.9% |
| AC Milan clean sheet | 39.8% |
Torino
Monza
1.6–1.2
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Cagliari
Bologna
1.1–1.2
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Como
Sassuolo
2.2–1.1
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Napoli
Roma
1.4–1.4
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Lazio
Parma
2.1–0.8
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Inter
Fiorentina
2.6–1.0
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Genoa
Venezia
1.6–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Atalanta
Frosinone
2.1–1.3
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668924 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
AC Milan are favourites. They win 55.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.5% for the draw and 19.6% for Udinese. Including the draw, AC Milan avoid defeat 80.4% of the time.
0-1, which came up in 11.6% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (11.5%) and 0-2 (10.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 49.9% of simulations. Udinese keep a clean sheet 17.9% of the time and AC Milan 39.8%.
The simulations average 2.67 goals: 0.93 for Udinese and 1.74 for AC Milan. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.8% and over 3.5 goals 28.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
