Alpha turns years of real betting data into a daily feed of high-value football selections. Every system is validated on results it has never seen, every pick is published before kickoff, and the full P/L stays public.
Our systems are mined from years of real bets tracked on OddAlerts — hundreds of thousands of settled wagers showing what genuinely wins over time, and what only looks like it does.
Every system must stay profitable across twelve months of bets it has never been shown before it earns a place in the feed. The overwhelming majority of candidates fail this test and are discarded.
Qualifying selections are published ahead of kickoff with the odds available at the time of publication. Timestamped, locked, and never edited afterwards.
Every selection is graded when the match finishes and added to the running P/L on this page. Losses stay on the record. Postponed and abandoned matches are voided, stake returned.
The engine is live and the record below is real, but we are still tuning what qualifies for the feed. Expect the shape of it to change: selection volume, the markets we cover, and how tightly we filter. Every change is logged in the version history and pinned to the chart, so nothing moves quietly. If you are testing this with us and something looks wrong or missing, tell us — that feedback is shaping what ships.
The full record since day one. The numbered green markers are points where we changed the system itself — hover one on the chart, or read what changed. We publish the whole history rather than restarting the clock each time the system improves.
| Selection | Settled | Profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home Win Match Result | 2,822 | +88.3u | +3.1% |
| Away Win Match Result | 433 | +57.1u | +13.2% |
| Over 2.5 Goals Total Goals | 424 | +16.2u | +3.8% |
| Draw Match Result | 151 | +8.5u | +5.6% |
| Both Teams To Score Both Teams To Score | 872 | +6.2u | +0.7% |
| Under 3.5 Goals Total Goals | 117 | +2.4u | +2.1% |
| Under 2.5 Goals Total Goals | 3,339 | +0.3u | +0.0% |
| Over 4.5 Goals Total Goals | 38 | -0.1u | -0.3% |
| Under 1.5 Goals Total Goals | 19 | -9.4u | -49.5% |
| Kickoff | Fixture | Selection | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8 Aug · 05:00 | Dandenong City U23 v Hume City U23 | Locked | — |
| Sat 8 Aug · 05:00 | Edgeworth Eagles v Weston Workers FC | Locked | — |
| Sat 8 Aug · 05:00 | NWS Spirit W v Western Sydney II W | Locked | — |
| Sat 8 Aug · 05:00 | Malvern City v Eastern Lions | Locked | — |
| Sat 8 Aug · 05:30 | Fulham United v Adelaide Blue Eagles | Locked | — |
| Sat 8 Aug · 05:30 | Fulham United v Adelaide Blue Eagles | Locked | — |
| Sat 8 Aug · 05:45 | Brisbane City U23 v Gold Coast United U23 | Locked | — |
| Sat 8 Aug · 06:00 | Curtin University v Subiaco | Locked | — |
| Sat 8 Aug · 06:00 | Floreat Athena v Cockburn City | Locked | — |
| Sat 8 Aug · 06:00 | Fremantle City W v Perth W | Locked | — |
| Sat 8 Aug · 07:00 | Cumberland United Res. v Adelaide Olympic Res. | Locked | — |
| Sat 8 Aug · 07:00 | Cumberland United Res. v Adelaide Olympic Res. | Locked | — |
You are seeing 12 of 187 fixtures we have already committed to. Unlock to see every selection and the published odds before kickoff.
| Settled | Fixture | Odds | Result | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Aug 26 | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih v Karpaty Over 2.5 Goals | 2.19 | Won | +1.2u |
| 1 Aug 26 | FC Tokyo v Borussia Dortmund Under 2.5 Goals | 3.15 | Won | +2.2u |
| 1 Aug 26 | Mafra v Sintrense Under 2.5 Goals | 2.15 | Lost | -1.0u |
| 1 Aug 26 | Bankstown Berries U20 v Dulwich Hill U20 Over 4.5 Goals | 2.78 | Won | +1.8u |
| 1 Aug 26 | SD Eibar v Arenas de Getxo Under 2.5 Goals | 3.40 | Lost | -1.0u |
| 1 Aug 26 | Přepeře v Velke Hamry Home Win | 3.66 | Won | +2.7u |
| 1 Aug 26 | St. George Saints v SD Raiders Away Win | 2.80 | Won | +1.8u |
| 1 Aug 26 | Monaro Panthers v O'Connor Knights Both Teams To Score | 2.22 | Won | +1.2u |
| 1 Aug 26 | The Gap W v Grange Thistle W Away Win | 2.70 | Won | +1.7u |
| 1 Aug 26 | Brisbane City W v Capalaba W Over 4.5 Goals | 2.95 | Lost | -1.0u |
| 1 Aug 26 | Kingborough United W v Launceston United W Home Win | 2.61 | Won | +1.6u |
| 1 Aug 26 | Manukau United v Auckland United Both Teams To Score | 2.50 | Lost | -1.0u |
| 1 Aug 26 | East Coast Bays v Melville United Over 4.5 Goals | 2.74 | Lost | -1.0u |
| 1 Aug 26 | Sturt Lions v Adelaide Comets Home Win | 1.81 | Void | +0.0u |
| 1 Aug 26 | Western Springs v Birkenhead United Both Teams To Score | 2.06 | Won | +1.1u |
| 1 Aug 26 | Fulham United v Eastern United Over 4.5 Goals | 3.08 | Lost | -1.0u |
| 1 Aug 26 | Altona Magic v Caroline Springs George Cross FC Away Win | 2.86 | Lost | -1.0u |
| 1 Aug 26 | Manningham United Blues v Port Melbourne Over 4.5 Goals | 3.45 | Lost | -1.0u |
| 1 Aug 26 | North Sunshine Eagles v Brunswick Juventus Away Win | 2.33 | Lost | -1.0u |
| 1 Aug 26 | Kingborough Lions v Launceston United Both Teams To Score | 2.08 | Lost | -1.0u |
| 1 Aug 26 | Avondale Heights v Heidelberg United Away Win | 3.00 | Lost | -1.0u |
| 1 Aug 26 | Campbelltown City Res. v Adelaide City Res. Home Win | 2.26 | Won | +1.3u |
| 1 Aug 26 | Fulham United Res. v Eastern United Res. Over 4.5 Goals | 2.75 | Won | +1.8u |
| 1 Aug 26 | Labasa v Ba Away Win | 2.32 | Won | +1.3u |
| 1 Aug 26 | South City Royals v Wanaka Over 4.5 Goals | 2.63 | Lost | -1.0u |
Nothing already published is ever edited. When the system itself changes, it is logged here and marked on the chart above, so you can see exactly which version produced which results.
Every selection is now labelled with the version of the system that produced it, so each version can be judged on the results it actually delivered. Nothing has been removed from the published record.
Every system was re-validated from scratch against data it had never seen, with tighter qualifying standards and new timing and confidence checks. The result: fewer selections, higher average quality, and the introduction of the high conviction subset.
The first automated selections went live, published before kickoff and settled in public. Higher volume than the current version, and profitable overall.
Alpha is the return you make above what the market prices in. That is the entire job here: find the places where the market is wrong often enough to be worth betting, and publish them before kickoff so the claim can be checked. These are not tips or opinions.
Volume varies with the fixture list. Across the current version it averages roughly 50 to 80 selections a day across all markets, of which a much smaller group qualify as high conviction. You can filter to that subset, or to individual markets, so the feed matches how you actually bet.
Every selection is recorded at a flat one unit stake, win or lose. A unit is whatever you decide it is worth. Flat staking keeps the record honest — no staking plan is quietly inflating the returns.
The odds shown are the best available at the moment we published the selection, and results are settled at those odds. Prices move, so the price you get may be better or worse. We publish early precisely so you have the chance to take the price.
It is voided: stake returned, recorded as a void, no effect on profit. Postponed, abandoned and cancelled fixtures are handled automatically so nothing sits unresolved on the record.
Because the system changed, and we logged it. See the version history above — each entry is marked on the chart so you can judge every version by the results it actually produced.
Yes. Losing runs are a normal part of any profitable betting approach, and this one is no exception — you can see the losing days on the chart. Past results are not a guarantee of future returns.
Disclaimer: This tool is for informational purposes only and does not constitute betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Never stake more than you can afford to lose. 18+ · BeGambleAware.org
