Alpha turns years of real betting data into a daily feed of high-value football selections. Every system is validated on results it has never seen, every pick is published before kickoff, and the full P/L stays public.
Our systems are mined from years of real bets tracked on OddAlerts — hundreds of thousands of settled wagers showing what genuinely wins over time, and what only looks like it does.
Every system must stay profitable across twelve months of bets it has never been shown before it earns a place in the feed. The overwhelming majority of candidates fail this test and are discarded.
Qualifying selections are published ahead of kickoff with the odds available at the time of publication. Timestamped, locked, and never edited afterwards.
Every selection is graded when the match finishes and added to the running P/L on this page. Losses stay on the record. Postponed and abandoned matches are voided, stake returned.
The engine is live and the record below is real, but we are still tuning what qualifies for the feed. Expect the shape of it to change: selection volume, the markets we cover, and how tightly we filter. Every change is logged in the version history and pinned to the chart, so nothing moves quietly. If you are testing this with us and something looks wrong or missing, tell us — that feedback is shaping what ships.
The full record since day one. The numbered green markers are points where we changed the system itself — hover one on the chart, or read what changed. We publish the whole history rather than restarting the clock each time the system improves.
| Selection | Settled | Profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home Win Match Result | 2,814 | +85.2u | +3.0% |
| Away Win Match Result | 433 | +57.1u | +13.2% |
| Over 2.5 Goals Total Goals | 422 | +16.4u | +3.9% |
| Draw Match Result | 151 | +8.5u | +5.6% |
| Both Teams To Score Both Teams To Score | 870 | +3.7u | +0.4% |
| Under 3.5 Goals Total Goals | 117 | +2.4u | +2.1% |
| Under 2.5 Goals Total Goals | 3,337 | +2.3u | +0.1% |
| Over 4.5 Goals Total Goals | 37 | +0.9u | +2.4% |
| Under 1.5 Goals Total Goals | 19 | -9.4u | -49.5% |
| Kickoff | Fixture | Selection | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8 Aug · 01:00 | Adelaide Raiders Res. v The Cove Res. | Locked | — |
| Sat 8 Aug · 01:00 | Real Estelí v Walter Ferreti High conviction | Locked | — |
| Sat 8 Aug · 01:30 | Universitario v Sporting Cristal | Locked | — |
| Sat 8 Aug · 02:00 | Wanaka v Selwyn United High conviction | Locked | — |
| Sat 8 Aug · 02:45 | Croydon Kings Res. v Sturt Lions Res. | Locked | — |
| Sat 8 Aug · 02:45 | Ferrymead Bays v Nomads United | Locked | — |
| Sat 8 Aug · 03:00 | Auckland United v Tauranga City United | Locked | — |
| Sat 8 Aug · 03:15 | Fulham United Res. v Blue Eagles Res. | Locked | — |
| Sat 8 Aug · 03:15 | Adelaide Comets Res. v MetroStars Res. | Locked | — |
| Sat 8 Aug · 03:15 | Adelaide Comets Res. v MetroStars Res. | Locked | — |
| Sat 8 Aug · 03:30 | Melbourne Knights U23 v Bulleen Lions U23 | Locked | — |
| Sat 8 Aug · 04:00 | Inglewood United Res. v Joondalup City Res. | Locked | — |
You are seeing 12 of 184 fixtures we have already committed to. Unlock to see every selection and the published odds before kickoff.
| Settled | Fixture | Odds | Result | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Aug 26 | Xerez v Ceuta II Under 2.5 Goals | 2.15 | Won | +1.2u |
| 4 Aug 26 | Levski Sofia v Kairat Over 2.5 Goals | 2.18 | Lost | -1.0u |
| 4 Aug 26 | SD Amorebieta v Arenas de Getxo Under 2.5 Goals | 2.10 | Lost | -1.0u |
| 4 Aug 26 | Lyseng v Vejgaard Home Win | 3.50 | Won | +2.5u |
| 4 Aug 26 | Al Nassr v Almería Home Win | 3.21 | Lost | -1.0u |
| 4 Aug 26 | Auda v Dinamo City Over 2.5 Goals | 2.03 | Lost | -1.0u |
| 4 Aug 26 | Harichovce v Kežmarok Under 2.5 Goals | 5.00 | Lost | -1.0u |
| 4 Aug 26 | Kattaqurgon v Pakhtakor II Under 2.5 Goals | 3.25 | Won | +2.3u |
| 4 Aug 26 | Helsingborgs U21 v Malmo FF U21 Under 3.5 Goals | 1.87 | Lost | -1.0u |
| 4 Aug 26 | Helsingborgs U21 v Malmo FF U21 Under 2.5 Goals | 3.25 | Lost | -1.0u |
| 4 Aug 26 | BG Pathum United v Aston Villa Under 2.5 Goals | 4.00 | Lost | -1.0u |
| 4 Aug 26 | Persebaya Surabaya v Arema Home Win | 2.52 | Won | +1.5u |
| 4 Aug 26 | AFC Bournemouth v Genoa Under 2.5 Goals | 2.48 | Lost | -1.0u |
| 4 Aug 26 | Jeju United v FC Bayern München Under 2.5 Goals | 5.50 | Lost | -1.0u |
| 4 Aug 26 | Myanmar v Laos Under 2.5 Goals | 3.50 | Lost | -1.0u |
| 4 Aug 26 | Atlético Bucaramanga v Cúcuta Deportivo Over 2.5 Goals | 2.10 | Lost | -1.0u |
| 3 Aug 26 | Flamengo W v Corinthians W Home Win | 3.54 | Lost | -1.0u |
| 3 Aug 26 | César Vallejo II v Carlos Stein Home Win | 1.40 | Won | +0.4u |
| 3 Aug 26 | Potters Bar Town v St Albans City Away Win | 2.50 | Won | +1.5u |
| 3 Aug 26 | York City v Crawley Town Over 2.5 Goals | 1.80 | Lost | -1.0u |
| 3 Aug 26 | York City v Crawley Town Both Teams To Score | 1.83 | Lost | -1.0u |
| 3 Aug 26 | Celtic v Dundee Under 3.5 Goals | 1.98 | Won | +1.0u |
| 3 Aug 26 | Celtic v Dundee Under 2.5 Goals | 3.43 | Won | +2.4u |
| 3 Aug 26 | HB v NSÍ Over 2.5 Goals | 1.75 | Won | +0.8u |
| 3 Aug 26 | Ranheim v Haugesund Home Win | 3.64 | Lost | -1.0u |
Nothing already published is ever edited. When the system itself changes, it is logged here and marked on the chart above, so you can see exactly which version produced which results.
Every selection is now labelled with the version of the system that produced it, so each version can be judged on the results it actually delivered. Nothing has been removed from the published record.
Every system was re-validated from scratch against data it had never seen, with tighter qualifying standards and new timing and confidence checks. The result: fewer selections, higher average quality, and the introduction of the high conviction subset.
The first automated selections went live, published before kickoff and settled in public. Higher volume than the current version, and profitable overall.
Alpha is the return you make above what the market prices in. That is the entire job here: find the places where the market is wrong often enough to be worth betting, and publish them before kickoff so the claim can be checked. These are not tips or opinions.
Volume varies with the fixture list. Across the current version it averages roughly 50 to 80 selections a day across all markets, of which a much smaller group qualify as high conviction. You can filter to that subset, or to individual markets, so the feed matches how you actually bet.
Every selection is recorded at a flat one unit stake, win or lose. A unit is whatever you decide it is worth. Flat staking keeps the record honest — no staking plan is quietly inflating the returns.
The odds shown are the best available at the moment we published the selection, and results are settled at those odds. Prices move, so the price you get may be better or worse. We publish early precisely so you have the chance to take the price.
It is voided: stake returned, recorded as a void, no effect on profit. Postponed, abandoned and cancelled fixtures are handled automatically so nothing sits unresolved on the record.
Because the system changed, and we logged it. See the version history above — each entry is marked on the chart so you can judge every version by the results it actually produced.
Yes. Losing runs are a normal part of any profitable betting approach, and this one is no exception — you can see the losing days on the chart. Past results are not a guarantee of future returns.
Disclaimer: This tool is for informational purposes only and does not constitute betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Never stake more than you can afford to lose. 18+ · BeGambleAware.org
