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VigShift: sharp dropping odds alerts

Live in beta Advanced · £69.99/month

When the sharpest market in football moves, you know within a second, along with the price worth taking. Every alert is graded against the closing line, and every result is on this page.

In beta for Advanced members. A version for Pro is planned after the beta.

The last 30 days 3,308 alerts on the default settings.

3,308 alerts sent, each with a price to take
66% kept shortening into kick-off
+2.5% average edge at the "bet at" price, judged by the close
+81.1u from 3,289 settled bets (+2.5% ROI)

Default settings: Match odds + Asian handicap, 3%+ drops, up to 2 hours before kick-off, prices up to 3.0. 1 unit per alert at the "bet at" price.

How VigShift works

Watches the sharp market

Match odds and Asian handicaps in the market where the sharpest money in football sets the price, from up to 3 hours before kick-off.

Alerts within a second

When a price drops fast enough, you get a push alert with a "bet at" price: any bookmaker at or above it still has the edge the move implies.

Graded against the close

Every alert is checked against the closing line and the result. Winners and losers stay in the record.

Recent results Settled alerts only. Live alerts go to members first.

Match Selection Bet at Closed vs close Result
The Strongest v Always Ready Bolivia - Copa Bolivia, Playoffs · Thu 5 Nov, 00:30 The Strongest -0.25 1.99 2.05 -2.7% Lost -1.0u
Sportivo Ameliano v Club Guarani Asuncion Paraguay - Division de Honor, Clausura · Wed 4 Nov, 22:00 Sportivo Ameliano Draw No Bet 2.15 2.07 +3.6% Lost -1.0u
CA Nacional Potosi v Oriente Petrolero Bolivia - Copa Bolivia, Playoffs · Wed 4 Nov, 22:00 CA Nacional Potosi -1.5 1.92 2.10 -8.4% Won +0.9u
Deportes Union La Calera v Coquimbo Unido Chile - Copa Chile, Knockout stage · Wed 4 Nov, 22:00 Coquimbo Unido to win 2.99 2.68 +11.6% Won +2.0u
SC Internacional RS v Red Bull Bragantino SP Brazil - Copa do Brasil, Women · Wed 4 Nov, 22:30 Red Bull Bragantino SP +0.25 2.00 1.97 +1.6% Lost -1.0u
Deportes Union La Calera v Coquimbo Unido Chile - Copa Chile, Knockout stage · Wed 4 Nov, 22:00 Deportes Union La Calera Draw No Bet 1.90 2.10 -9.3% Lost -1.0u
Aberdeen LFC v Spartans WFC Scotland - Premier League 1, Women · Wed 4 Nov, 19:45 Aberdeen LFC +0.5 1.81 1.74 +3.8% Won +0.8u
Wrexham AFC v Middlesbrough FC England - Championship · Wed 4 Nov, 19:45 Wrexham AFC +0.75 1.98 1.89 +4.8% Won +1.0u
CA San Carlos v CA Boston River Uruguay - Copa Uruguay, Knockout Stage · Wed 4 Nov, 18:00 CA Boston River -1.25 1.89 2.13 -11.2% Won +0.9u
Serrano FC RJ U20 v Olaria AC RJ U20 Brazil - U20 Carioca, Serie A2 · Wed 4 Nov, 18:00 Olaria AC RJ U20 Draw No Bet 1.69 1.56 +8.1% Won +0.7u
Al-Taawoun FC v Al Faisaly (JOR) International Clubs - AFC Champions League Two, Group C · Wed 4 Nov, 18:15 Al-Taawoun FC -1.25 2.03 2.02 +0.6% Won +1.0u
Colegiales v Estudiantes de Buenos Aires Argentina - Reserve League · Wed 4 Nov, 18:00 Colegiales +1.25 1.87 1.72 +8.7% Won +0.9u
Botafogo Fr RJ v Heips RJ Brazil - Carioca, Women, Main Round · Wed 4 Nov, 18:00 Botafogo Fr RJ -3.25 1.86 2.11 -11.7% Won +0.9u
AEK Athens v Real Madrid International Clubs - UEFA Champions League · Wed 4 Nov, 17:45 Real Madrid -2 1.96 1.95 +0.6% Lost -1.0u
Estanciano SE v AD Frei Paulistano SE Brazil - Sergipano, Serie A2, Group B · Wed 4 Nov, 18:00 AD Frei Paulistano SE -0.25 1.85 1.58 +16.9% Won +0.9u

Pick your settings What each option delivered over the last 30 days, with everything else on the defaults.

Minimum drop

Choose how big a move has to be before you hear about it.

Option Alerts Edge Profit
2%+ drops 5,651 +2.7% +184.5u
3%+ dropsDefault 3,308 +2.5% +81.1u
4%+ drops 1,788 +2.4% +40.5u

Kick-off window

Choose how long before kick-off alerts can arrive.

Option Alerts Edge Profit
Up to 1 hour before 2,625 +2.5% +87.7u
Up to 2 hours beforeDefault 3,308 +2.5% +81.1u
Up to 3 hours before 3,651 +2.4% +65.4u

Price range

Choose which prices you want alerts on.

Option Alerts Edge Profit
Up to 3.0Default 3,308 +2.5% +81.1u
Up to 2.0 2,716 +2.2% +38.6u
2.0 to 3.0 1,494 +3.0% +63.7u

Markets

Choose which markets you follow.

Option Alerts Edge Profit
Match odds + Asian handicapDefault 3,308 +2.5% +81.1u
Match odds only 1,385 +2.5% +26.9u
Asian handicap only 3,082 +2.6% +74.8u

More ways to follow the market Free and Pro tools for tracking dropping odds yourself.

Advanced · £69.99/month

Get the next alert, not the result

VigShift is in beta for Advanced members, with the full football data API, unlimited OddAlerts AI and every other beta tool. A version for Pro is planned after the beta.

Already a member? VigShift lives in the Alerts tab of the app.

VigShift FAQs

What is VigShift?

VigShift watches the sharpest football market for fast price drops on match odds and Asian handicaps. When a price drops far enough, it alerts you within a second with a minimum price to take, and grades every alert against the closing line once the match kicks off.

How is VigShift different from a dropping odds list?

A dropping odds list shows every price that has moved, usually after the move is finished. VigShift only alerts on fast moves in the sharp market that history says keep going, tells you the price worth taking, and publishes how every alert did. Our live dropping odds scanner is still free if you want the full picture.

What does beating the closing line mean?

The closing line is the last price before kick-off, when the market knows the most. If you took a better price than the close, you beat it. Over many bets, beating the closing line is the most reliable sign of a long-term edge, far more than a short run of wins, which is why VigShift grades every alert against it.

Is it good to bet on dropping odds?

Only if you get on before the move finishes. Once a price has dropped, most of the value has gone. VigShift is built around that: it alerts within a second, gives you a "bet at" price, and is tuned to moves that tend to keep shortening into kick-off. Bigger moves that tend to overshoot and reverse are left out.

Which settings can I choose?

Markets (match odds, Asian handicap or both), the minimum drop (2%, 3% or 4%), how long before kick-off alerts can arrive (up to 1, 2 or 3 hours) and the price range (up to 2.0, 2.0 to 3.0, or everything up to 3.0). You can also cap alerts per day and mute them overnight. This page shows what each option delivered.

How much does VigShift cost?

VigShift is in beta for Advanced members (£69.99 a month), alongside the full football data API, unlimited OddAlerts AI and every other beta tool. Existing Season Ticket holders have it too. A version for Pro is planned once the beta ends.