Join The Team!

A signing like no other...

Name

Email

Password

Selected Plan:

Pro£19.99/m

Pro w/ API£69.99/m

Season Ticket£179.99

A-League Men Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for A-League Men

Find value bets for A-League Men fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Macarthur vs Newcastle Jets

good

Thu 2nd, 09:35

BTTS

No

3.35 Fair: 2.35 Betfair Exchange

+42.55%

Model: 42.6%

FT Result

Away

2.52 Fair: 2.00 Betfair Exchange

+26%

Model: 50.1%

HT Result

Away

2.96 Fair: 2.63 Pinnacle

+12.55%

Model: 38%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.54 Fair: 1.38 1xBet

+11.59%

Model: 72.5%

Brisbane Roar vs Sydney

good

Thu 2nd, 11:00

FT Result

Away

2.34 Fair: 2.23 Betfair Exchange

+4.93%

Model: 44.8%

BTTS

No

2.36 Fair: 2.26 Betfair Exchange

+4.42%

Model: 44.3%

Adelaide United vs Auckland

good

Fri 3rd, 09:35

BTTS

No

2.62 Fair: 2.28 Betfair Exchange

+14.91%

Model: 43.8%

HT Result

Home

3.41 Fair: 3.30 Pinnacle

+3.33%

Model: 30.3%

FT Result

Home

3.00 Fair: 2.92 Betfair Exchange

+2.74%

Model: 34.3%

Central Coast Mariners vs Perth Glory

good

Sat 4th, 07:00

BTTS

No

2.38 Fair: 2.00 Betfair Exchange

+19%

Model: 50.1%

Melbourne City vs Western Sydney Wanderers

good

Sat 4th, 09:35

HT Result

Away

4.00 Fair: 3.36 Bet365

+19.05%

Model: 29.8%

FT Result

Away

3.65 Fair: 3.10 Betfair Exchange

+17.74%

Model: 32.2%

BTTS

No

2.30 Fair: 2.10 Betfair Exchange

+9.52%

Model: 47.7%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.82 Fair: 1.71 1xBet

+6.43%

Model: 58.3%

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix

good

Sun 5th, 06:00

HT Result

Away

5.48 Fair: 5.01 Pinnacle

+9.38%

Model: 20%

BTTS

No

2.42 Fair: 2.28 Betfair Exchange

+6.14%

Model: 43.9%

FT Result

Away

5.53 Fair: 5.28 1xBet

+4.73%

Model: 19%

Melbourne City vs Central Coast Mariners

good

Tue 7th, 10:00

FT Result

Away

7.00 Fair: 4.67 Bet365

+49.89%

Model: 21.4%

HT Result

Away

6.50 Fair: 4.85 Bet365

+34.02%

Model: 20.6%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.62 Fair: 2.19 Bet365

+19.63%

Model: 45.6%

FT Result

Draw

4.25 Fair: 4.13 Kambi Group

+2.91%

Model: 24.2%

Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar

good

Fri 10th, 10:35

BTTS

No

2.20 Fair: 1.95 Bet365

+12.82%

Model: 51.3%

FT Result

Away

2.64 Fair: 2.56 1xBet

+3.13%

Model: 39.1%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.50 Fair: 1.49 Bet365

+0.67%

Model: 67.1%

Auckland vs Melbourne Victory

good

Sat 11th, 06:00

FT Result

Away

3.39 Fair: 3.02 1xBet

+12.25%

Model: 33.1%

BTTS

No

2.37 Fair: 2.31 Bet365

+2.6%

Model: 43.4%

HT Result

Away

3.60 Fair: 3.52 Bet365

+2.27%

Model: 28.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.72 Fair: 1.71 Bet365

+0.58%

Model: 58.4%

Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United

good

Sat 11th, 08:00

FT Result

Away

4.13 Fair: 2.87 1xBet

+43.9%

Model: 34.8%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.00 Fair: 1.74 Bet365

+14.94%

Model: 57.5%

HT Result

Away

4.00 Fair: 3.49 Bet365

+14.61%

Model: 28.6%

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Sydney

good

Sat 11th, 10:35

BTTS

No

2.50 Fair: 2.40 Bet365

+4.17%

Model: 41.6%

FT Result

Home

2.62 Fair: 2.61 1xBet

+0.38%

Model: 38.4%

Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix

good

Sun 12th, 06:00

FT Result

Away

5.68 Fair: 4.20 1xBet

+35.24%

Model: 23.8%

HT Result

Away

5.50 Fair: 4.52 Bet365

+21.68%

Model: 22.1%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.30 Fair: 2.04 Bet365

+12.75%

Model: 49%

FT Result

Draw

4.08 Fair: 3.97 1xBet

+2.77%

Model: 25.2%

Perth Glory vs Macarthur

good

Sun 12th, 10:00

FT Result

Away

2.54 Fair: 2.13 1xBet

+19.25%

Model: 46.9%

HT Result

Away

3.00 Fair: 2.73 Bet365

+9.89%

Model: 36.6%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.50 Fair: 1.42 Bet365

+5.63%

Model: 70.6%

BTTS

No

2.50 Fair: 2.38 Bet365

+5.04%

Model: 42.1%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.