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Primera Division Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Primera Division

Find value bets for Primera Division fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Audax Italiano vs La Serena

poor

Sat 13th, 01:00

FT Result

Away

4.05 Fair: 3.77 Betano

+7.43%

Model: 26.6%

HT Result

Draw

2.37 Fair: 2.28 Bet365

+3.95%

Model: 43.9%

BTTS

No

2.26 Fair: 2.25 Betfair Exchange

+0.44%

Model: 44.4%

Coquimbo Unido vs O'Higgins

poor

Sat 13th, 17:30

FT Result

Home

1.94 Fair: 1.81 1xBet

+7.18%

Model: 55.1%

HT Result

Away

5.00 Fair: 4.96 Bet365

+0.81%

Model: 20.2%

Everton vs Palestino

poor

Sat 13th, 20:00

FT Result

Home

2.79 Fair: 2.57 Pinnacle

+8.56%

Model: 39%

Colo-Colo vs Cobresal

poor

Sat 13th, 22:30

BTTS

No

1.92 Fair: 1.85 Betfair Exchange

+3.78%

Model: 54%

FT Result

Home

1.32 Fair: 1.30 Kambi Group

+1.54%

Model: 76.9%

Ñublense vs Huachipato

poor

Sun 14th, 01:00

BTTS

No

2.08 Fair: 1.90 Betfair Exchange

+9.47%

Model: 52.7%

FT Result

Home

2.00 Fair: 1.88 Kambi Group

+6.38%

Model: 53.1%

Concepcion vs Deportes Limache

poor

Sun 14th, 17:30

FT Result

Home

3.25 Fair: 2.54 Betfair Exchange

+27.95%

Model: 39.4%

HT Result

Home

3.75 Fair: 3.15 Bet365

+19.05%

Model: 31.8%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.70 Fair: 1.51 Bet365

+12.58%

Model: 66.3%

BTTS

No

2.26 Fair: 2.19 Betfair Exchange

+3.2%

Model: 45.7%

FT Result

Draw

3.72 Fair: 3.71 Pinnacle

+0.27%

Model: 26.9%

Unión La Calera vs Universidad Chile

poor

Sun 14th, 20:00

FT Result

Away

2.18 Fair: 1.86 Betano

+17.2%

Model: 53.7%

HT Result

Away

2.75 Fair: 2.49 Bet365

+10.44%

Model: 40.2%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.30 Fair: 1.27 Bet365

+2.36%

Model: 78.6%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.36 Fair: 1.33 Bet365

+2.26%

Model: 75.1%

Universidad Católica vs Univ. Concepción

poor

Sun 14th, 22:30

FT Result

Away

6.20 Fair: 4.99 Betfair Exchange

+24.25%

Model: 20%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.37 Fair: 2.32 Bet365

+2.16%

Model: 43.1%

Universidad Chile vs O'Higgins

poor

Fri 19th, 01:00

FT Result

Home

2.17 Fair: 1.67 1xBet

+29.94%

Model: 59.8%

BTTS

Yes

1.90 Fair: 1.75 Betano

+8.57%

Model: 57.1%

FT Result

Away

5.60 Fair: 5.38 Betano

+4.09%

Model: 18.6%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.