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Primera Division Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Primera Division

Find value bets for Primera Division fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Unión La Calera vs Everton

poor

Fri 24th, 23:00

FT Result

Away

3.12 Fair: 2.74 Pinnacle

+13.87%

Model: 36.5%

HT Result

Away

3.91 Fair: 3.72 1xBet

+5.11%

Model: 26.9%

BTTS

Yes

1.89 Fair: 1.85 Kambi Group

+2.16%

Model: 54.1%

Colo-Colo vs Deportes Limache

poor

Sat 25th, 01:30

FT Result

Home

1.50 Fair: 1.46 Betano

+2.74%

Model: 68.7%

Coquimbo Unido vs Univ. Concepción

poor

Sat 25th, 20:00

FT Result

Away

8.60 Fair: 5.44 Betfair Exchange

+58.09%

Model: 18.4%

HT Result

Away

7.12 Fair: 5.88 Pinnacle

+21.09%

Model: 17%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.83 Fair: 2.44 1xBet

+15.98%

Model: 41.1%

FT Result

Draw

4.80 Fair: 4.41 Betfair Exchange

+8.84%

Model: 22.7%

HT Result

Draw

2.55 Fair: 2.35 Pinnacle

+8.51%

Model: 42.5%

Huachipato vs Cobresal

poor

Sat 25th, 22:30

FT Result

Away

5.70 Fair: 5.20 Betfair Exchange

+9.62%

Model: 19.2%

FT Result

Draw

4.40 Fair: 4.22 Betfair Exchange

+4.27%

Model: 23.7%

HT Result

Draw

2.42 Fair: 2.40 Pinnacle

+0.83%

Model: 41.7%

Universidad Católica vs La Serena

poor

Sun 26th, 01:00

FT Result

Home

1.52 Fair: 1.45 Betano

+4.83%

Model: 68.9%

Ñublense vs Palestino

poor

Sun 26th, 20:00

FT Result

Home

2.25 Fair: 2.17 Betano

+3.69%

Model: 46.1%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.36 Fair: 1.35 WilliamHill

+0.74%

Model: 74%

Audax Italiano vs Universidad Chile

poor

Sun 26th, 22:30

FT Result

Away

2.34 Fair: 2.08 Pinnacle

+12.5%

Model: 48.1%

BTTS

Yes

1.84 Fair: 1.80 Betfair Exchange

+2.22%

Model: 55.7%

HT Result

Away

3.00 Fair: 2.95 Bet365

+1.69%

Model: 33.9%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.35 Fair: 1.34 WilliamHill

+0.75%

Model: 74.4%

Concepcion vs O'Higgins

poor

Mon 27th, 01:30

FT Result

Home

4.00 Fair: 2.22 WilliamHill

+80.18%

Model: 45.1%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.07 Fair: 1.40 Pinnacle

+47.86%

Model: 71.6%

HT Result

Home

4.20 Fair: 3.08 WilliamHill

+36.36%

Model: 32.5%

BTTS

Yes

1.85 Fair: 1.81 Pinnacle

+2.21%

Model: 55.4%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.