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Chance Liga Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Chance Liga

Find value bets for Chance Liga fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Sat 14th, 14:00
HT Result
Away
2.60 Fair: 2.43 Bet365
+7%
Model: 41.2%
FT Result
Away
1.96 Fair: 1.85 Betfair Exchange
+5.95%
Model: 54.1%
Sat 14th, 14:00
HT Result
Away
3.90 Fair: 3.50 1xBet
+11.43%
Model: 28.6%
FT Result
Away
3.16 Fair: 2.91 1xBet
+8.59%
Model: 34.4%
FT Result
Home
2.29 Fair: 2.25 Pinnacle
+1.78%
Model: 44.5%
BTTS
No
2.04 Fair: 2.02 Kambi Group
+0.99%
Model: 49.5%
HT Result
Home
2.92 Fair: 2.90 1xBet
+0.69%
Model: 34.4%
Sat 14th, 17:00
FT Result
Home
7.50 Fair: 4.92 Kambi Group
+52.44%
Model: 20.3%
HT Result
Home
6.98 Fair: 4.64 Pinnacle
+50.43%
Model: 21.6%
Double Chance
Home Draw
2.75 Fair: 2.27 Kambi Group
+21.15%
Model: 44%
BTTS
Yes
2.05 Fair: 1.87 Kambi Group
+9.63%
Model: 53.5%
FT Result
Draw
4.47 Fair: 4.22 Pinnacle
+5.92%
Model: 23.7%
Sun 15th, 12:00
FT Result
Away
4.80 Fair: 3.71 Betfair Exchange
+29.38%
Model: 27%
HT Result
Away
5.51 Fair: 4.63 1xBet
+19.01%
Model: 21.6%
Double Chance
Draw Away
2.02 Fair: 1.81 Kambi Group
+11.6%
Model: 55.1%
Sun 15th, 14:30
HT Result
Away
4.62 Fair: 3.56 1xBet
+29.78%
Model: 28.1%
FT Result
Away
4.10 Fair: 3.18 Kambi Group
+28.93%
Model: 31.4%
Double Chance
Draw Away
1.90 Fair: 1.72 Kambi Group
+10.47%
Model: 58.1%
FT Result
Away
7.03 Fair: 4.20 1xBet
+67.38%
Model: 23.8%
FT Result
Draw
4.76 Fair: 4.08 Pinnacle
+16.67%
Model: 24.5%
Sun 15th, 17:30
HT Result
Away
9.92 Fair: 6.25 Pinnacle
+58.72%
Model: 16%
FT Result
Away
12.10 Fair: 8.81 1xBet
+37.34%
Model: 11.4%
Double Chance
Draw Away
3.88 Fair: 3.42 1xBet
+13.45%
Model: 29.3%
BTTS
Yes
2.24 Fair: 2.04 1xBet
+9.8%
Model: 49%
FT Result
Draw
5.91 Fair: 5.59 Pinnacle
+5.72%
Model: 17.9%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

  • 0-5% - Small value edge
  • 5-10% - Good value
  • 10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.