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Chance Liga Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Chance Liga

Find value bets for Chance Liga fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

FT Result
Away
6.40 Fair: 4.26 Betfair Exchange
+50.23%
Model: 23.5%
HT Result
Away
6.06 Fair: 5.00 Pinnacle
+21.2%
Model: 20%
Double Chance
Draw Away
2.50 Fair: 2.13 Bet365
+17.37%
Model: 47%
BTTS
Yes
1.82 Fair: 1.76 FanDuel
+3.41%
Model: 56.8%
FT Result
Draw
4.40 Fair: 4.26 FanDuel
+3.29%
Model: 23.5%
Sat 25th, 16:00
FT Result
Home
2.40 Fair: 2.12 Bet365
+13.21%
Model: 47.1%
BTTS
No
2.08 Fair: 1.90 Betfair Exchange
+9.47%
Model: 52.5%
Double Chance
Home Draw
1.40 Fair: 1.33 Bet365
+5.26%
Model: 74.9%
Sat 25th, 16:00
BTTS
Yes
1.91 Fair: 1.74 Bet365
+9.77%
Model: 57.4%
FT Result
Home
3.45 Fair: 3.30 Betfair Exchange
+4.55%
Model: 30.3%
FT Result
Away
2.28 Fair: 2.26 Betfair Exchange
+0.88%
Model: 44.2%
Sat 25th, 19:00
FT Result
Home
4.90 Fair: 2.45 Betfair Exchange
+100%
Model: 40.8%
HT Result
Home
5.03 Fair: 3.20 Pinnacle
+57.19%
Model: 31.3%
Double Chance
Home Draw
2.20 Fair: 1.47 Bet365
+49.66%
Model: 68%
FT Result
Draw
4.11 Fair: 3.69 Pinnacle
+11.38%
Model: 27.1%
HT Result
Draw
2.51 Fair: 2.30 Pinnacle
+9.13%
Model: 43.4%
BTTS
No
2.21 Fair: 2.09 1xBet
+5.74%
Model: 47.8%
Sun 26th, 14:00
FT Result
Away
22.00 Fair: 5.49 Betfair Exchange
+300.73%
Model: 18.2%
Double Chance
Draw Away
5.35 Fair: 2.49 1xBet
+114.86%
Model: 40.2%
HT Result
Away
12.08 Fair: 5.93 Pinnacle
+103.71%
Model: 16.9%
FT Result
Draw
8.29 Fair: 4.54 Pinnacle
+82.6%
Model: 22%
BTTS
Yes
2.40 Fair: 1.90 Betfair Exchange
+26.32%
Model: 52.6%
HT Result
Draw
3.17 Fair: 2.61 Pinnacle
+21.46%
Model: 38.4%
Sun 26th, 16:30
FT Result
Home
2.40 Fair: 2.21 Betfair Exchange
+8.6%
Model: 45.2%
BTTS
No
2.20 Fair: 2.14 FanDuel
+2.8%
Model: 46.8%
Sun 26th, 19:00
FT Result
Away
3.45 Fair: 2.74 Kambi Group
+25.91%
Model: 36.5%
HT Result
Away
4.00 Fair: 3.34 Bet365
+19.76%
Model: 29.9%
Double Chance
Draw Away
1.70 Fair: 1.58 Kambi Group
+7.59%
Model: 63.4%
BTTS
Yes
1.81 Fair: 1.80 Betfair Exchange
+0.56%
Model: 55.5%
Mon 27th, 17:00
FT Result
Home
3.94 Fair: 2.27 Pinnacle
+73.57%
Model: 44.1%
HT Result
Home
4.47 Fair: 3.10 Pinnacle
+44.19%
Model: 32.2%
Double Chance
Home Draw
1.91 Fair: 1.45 WilliamHill
+31.72%
Model: 68.9%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

  • 0-5% - Small value edge
  • 5-10% - Good value
  • 10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.