Join The Team!

A signing like no other...

Name

Email

Password

Selected Plan:

Pro£19.99/m

Pro w/ API£69.99/m

Season Ticket£179.99

Primera Division Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Primera Division

Find value bets for Primera Division fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Hércules vs Zacatecoluca

high

Wed 1st, 22:00

FT Result

Away

2.60 Fair: 1.92 Kambi Group

+35.42%

Model: 52.2%

HT Result

Away

3.25 Fair: 2.79 Kambi Group

+16.49%

Model: 35.9%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.48 Fair: 1.31 Kambi Group

+12.98%

Model: 76.2%

BTTS

No

2.18 Fair: 1.96 Kambi Group

+11.22%

Model: 51%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.36 Fair: 1.32 WilliamHill

+3.03%

Model: 75.9%

CD Platense vs Inter

high

Wed 1st, 22:00

FT Result

Away

2.72 Fair: 2.37 Betfair Exchange

+14.77%

Model: 42.2%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.50 Fair: 1.47 WilliamHill

+2.04%

Model: 68.1%

BTTS

Yes

1.88 Fair: 1.85 Betfair Exchange

+1.62%

Model: 54.1%

Águila vs Fuerte San Francisco

high

Wed 1st, 22:00

FT Result

Away

10.00 Fair: 6.41 Betfair Exchange

+56.01%

Model: 15.6%

HT Result

Away

8.40 Fair: 5.77 1xBet

+45.58%

Model: 17.3%

BTTS

Yes

2.36 Fair: 2.01 Betfair Exchange

+17.41%

Model: 49.7%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.00 Fair: 2.67 WilliamHill

+12.36%

Model: 37.5%

FT Result

Draw

4.90 Fair: 4.56 Betfair Exchange

+7.46%

Model: 21.9%

HT Result

Draw

2.65 Fair: 2.52 Kambi Group

+5.16%

Model: 39.6%

Isidro Metapán vs Alianza

high

Thu 2nd, 02:00

FT Result

Away

2.64 Fair: 2.46 Betfair Exchange

+7.32%

Model: 40.6%

Firpo vs Cacahuatique

high

Thu 2nd, 02:00

FT Result

Away

6.80 Fair: 4.59 Betfair Exchange

+48.15%

Model: 21.8%

HT Result

Away

6.33 Fair: 4.56 1xBet

+38.82%

Model: 21.9%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.43 Fair: 2.07 1xBet

+17.39%

Model: 48.4%

FT Result

Draw

4.20 Fair: 3.76 Betfair Exchange

+11.7%

Model: 26.6%

HT Result

Draw

2.43 Fair: 2.26 Kambi Group

+7.52%

Model: 44.3%

BTTS

No

1.98 Fair: 1.91 Kambi Group

+3.66%

Model: 52.3%

FAS vs Municipal Limeño

high

Thu 2nd, 02:30

HT Result

Away

5.31 Fair: 5.06 1xBet

+4.94%

Model: 19.8%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.