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Championship Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Championship

Find value bets for Championship fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Birmingham City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers

poor

Sun 6th, 12:00

FT Result

Home

3.10 Fair: 2.31 Betfair Exchange

+34.2%

Model: 43.3%

HT Result

Home

3.75 Fair: 3.21 Pinnacle

+16.82%

Model: 31.2%

BTTS

No

2.14 Fair: 1.94 Betfair Exchange

+10.31%

Model: 51.6%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.53 Fair: 1.41 Bet365

+8.51%

Model: 71.1%

Blackburn Rovers vs Sheffield United

poor

Tue 8th, 19:45

FT Result

Away

2.50 Fair: 2.19 Kambi Group

+14.16%

Model: 45.6%

BTTS

No

2.18 Fair: 1.98 Kambi Group

+10.1%

Model: 50.5%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.45 Fair: 1.37 Kambi Group

+5.84%

Model: 72.8%

HT Result

Away

2.95 Fair: 2.79 Kambi Group

+5.73%

Model: 35.8%

HT Result

Draw

2.28 Fair: 2.27 Pinnacle

+0.44%

Model: 44.1%

Watford vs Preston North End

poor

Tue 8th, 19:45

FT Result

Home

2.24 Fair: 1.98 Betfair Exchange

+13.13%

Model: 50.5%

BTTS

No

2.07 Fair: 2.06 Betano

+0.49%

Model: 48.6%

Cardiff City vs Stoke City

poor

Tue 8th, 19:45

FT Result

Home

2.18 Fair: 1.79 Kambi Group

+21.79%

Model: 55.9%

HT Result

Home

2.65 Fair: 2.36 Kambi Group

+12.29%

Model: 42.3%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.36 Fair: 1.26 Kambi Group

+7.94%

Model: 79.3%

BTTS

No

2.32 Fair: 2.19 Kambi Group

+5.94%

Model: 45.7%

Southampton vs Swansea City

poor

Tue 8th, 19:45

HT Result

Away

4.50 Fair: 4.45 Pinnacle

+1.12%

Model: 22.5%

HT Result

Draw

2.38 Fair: 2.36 Pinnacle

+0.85%

Model: 42.3%

Wrexham vs Burnley

poor

Tue 8th, 19:45

BTTS

No

2.38 Fair: 2.12 Kambi Group

+12.26%

Model: 47.3%

FT Result

Home

2.27 Fair: 2.17 1xBet

+4.61%

Model: 46.1%

Bolton Wanderers vs West Ham United

poor

Tue 8th, 20:00

FT Result

Home

5.20 Fair: 2.44 Betfair Exchange

+113.11%

Model: 41%

HT Result

Home

4.62 Fair: 2.89 1xBet

+59.86%

Model: 34.6%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.14 Fair: 1.49 Kambi Group

+43.62%

Model: 67.3%

FT Result

Draw

4.30 Fair: 3.80 Betfair Exchange

+13.16%

Model: 26.3%

Norwich City vs Birmingham City

poor

Wed 9th, 19:45

FT Result

Away

3.50 Fair: 3.40 Kambi Group

+2.94%

Model: 29.4%

Derby County vs West Bromwich Albion

poor

Wed 9th, 19:45

FT Result

Away

3.15 Fair: 2.86 Kambi Group

+10.14%

Model: 35%

FT Result

Home

2.84 Fair: 2.63 Pinnacle

+7.98%

Model: 38.1%

HT Result

Away

3.65 Fair: 3.62 Kambi Group

+0.83%

Model: 27.6%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.62 Fair: 1.61 Kambi Group

+0.62%

Model: 62%

HT Result

Home

3.47 Fair: 3.45 Pinnacle

+0.58%

Model: 29%

Charlton Athletic vs Queens Park Rangers

poor

Wed 9th, 20:00

FT Result

Home

3.20 Fair: 2.99 Betano

+7.02%

Model: 33.4%

BTTS

Yes

1.75 Fair: 1.73 Kambi Group

+1.16%

Model: 57.8%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.