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Championship Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Championship

Find value bets for Championship fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Middlesbrough vs Millwall

poor

Fri 3rd, 12:30

FT Result

Away

5.00 Fair: 3.66 Betfair Exchange

+36.61%

Model: 27.3%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.15 Fair: 1.91 Bet365

+12.57%

Model: 52.3%

HT Result

Away

5.00 Fair: 4.60 Bet365

+8.7%

Model: 21.8%

FT Result

Draw

4.10 Fair: 4.00 Betfair Exchange

+2.5%

Model: 25%

BTTS

No

2.20 Fair: 2.15 Betfair Exchange

+2.33%

Model: 46.5%

HT Result

Draw

2.42 Fair: 2.40 Pinnacle

+0.83%

Model: 41.8%

Oxford United vs Hull City

poor

Fri 3rd, 15:00

FT Result

Away

2.92 Fair: 2.52 Betfair Exchange

+15.87%

Model: 39.7%

HT Result

Away

3.57 Fair: 3.30 Pinnacle

+8.18%

Model: 30.3%

BTTS

No

2.06 Fair: 2.04 Betfair Exchange

+0.98%

Model: 49.1%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.50 Fair: 1.49 Bet365

+0.67%

Model: 67%

Charlton Athletic vs Bristol City

poor

Fri 3rd, 15:00

FT Result

Away

2.98 Fair: 2.90 Betfair Exchange

+2.76%

Model: 34.5%

BTTS

No

2.00 Fair: 1.99 Betfair Exchange

+0.5%

Model: 50.2%

FT Result

Home

2.64 Fair: 2.63 Betfair Exchange

+0.38%

Model: 38%

Queens Park Rangers vs Watford

poor

Fri 3rd, 15:00

FT Result

Home

2.86 Fair: 2.46 Betfair Exchange

+16.26%

Model: 40.6%

HT Result

Home

3.45 Fair: 3.34 1xBet

+3.29%

Model: 30%

West Bromwich Albion vs Wrexham

poor

Fri 3rd, 15:00

FT Result

Away

3.60 Fair: 3.21 Betfair Exchange

+12.15%

Model: 31.2%

HT Result

Away

4.28 Fair: 4.02 1xBet

+6.47%

Model: 24.9%

Leicester City vs Preston North End

poor

Fri 3rd, 15:00

FT Result

Away

4.30 Fair: 3.50 Betfair Exchange

+22.86%

Model: 28.6%

HT Result

Away

4.80 Fair: 4.27 1xBet

+12.41%

Model: 23.4%

BTTS

Yes

1.87 Fair: 1.76 Betfair Exchange

+6.25%

Model: 57%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.90 Fair: 1.87 Bet365

+1.6%

Model: 53.4%

Sheffield United vs Swansea City

poor

Fri 3rd, 15:00

FT Result

Away

4.30 Fair: 3.93 Betfair Exchange

+9.41%

Model: 25.5%

BTTS

Yes

1.84 Fair: 1.73 Betfair Exchange

+6.36%

Model: 57.7%

Birmingham City vs Blackburn Rovers

poor

Fri 3rd, 15:00

HT Result

Away

5.27 Fair: 5.03 Pinnacle

+4.77%

Model: 19.9%

FT Result

Home

1.89 Fair: 1.82 Betfair Exchange

+3.85%

Model: 55%

BTTS

Yes

2.08 Fair: 2.07 Betfair Exchange

+0.48%

Model: 48.4%

Norwich City vs Portsmouth

poor

Fri 3rd, 15:00

BTTS

Yes

1.96 Fair: 1.76 Betfair Exchange

+11.36%

Model: 56.8%

FT Result

Home

2.00 Fair: 1.80 Betfair Exchange

+11.11%

Model: 55.6%

HT Result

Home

2.67 Fair: 2.48 Pinnacle

+7.66%

Model: 40.3%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.30 Fair: 1.29 WilliamHill

+0.78%

Model: 77.4%

Stoke City vs Sheffield Wednesday

poor

Fri 3rd, 15:00

FT Result

Away

11.00 Fair: 6.79 Betfair Exchange

+62%

Model: 14.7%

HT Result

Away

8.59 Fair: 5.69 Pinnacle

+50.97%

Model: 17.6%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.32 Fair: 2.71 1xBet

+22.51%

Model: 36.9%

FT Result

Draw

5.40 Fair: 4.51 Betfair Exchange

+19.73%

Model: 22.2%

BTTS

Yes

2.22 Fair: 2.18 Betfair Exchange

+1.83%

Model: 45.9%

Coventry City vs Derby County

poor

Fri 3rd, 20:00

FT Result

Away

6.20 Fair: 5.22 Betfair Exchange

+18.77%

Model: 19.2%

HT Result

Away

5.74 Fair: 4.99 Pinnacle

+15.03%

Model: 20.1%

HT Result

Draw

2.48 Fair: 2.45 Pinnacle

+1.22%

Model: 40.8%

BTTS

Yes

1.85 Fair: 1.83 Betfair Exchange

+1.09%

Model: 54.8%

Portsmouth vs Oxford United

poor

Mon 6th, 12:30

FT Result

Away

4.20 Fair: 3.78 Kambi Group

+11.11%

Model: 26.5%

HT Result

Away

4.35 Fair: 4.34 Kambi Group

+0.23%

Model: 23%

Millwall vs Norwich City

poor

Mon 6th, 13:00

FT Result

Away

3.25 Fair: 2.84 Kambi Group

+14.44%

Model: 35.2%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.68 Fair: 1.63 Kambi Group

+3.07%

Model: 61.3%

HT Result

Draw

2.28 Fair: 2.27 Kambi Group

+0.44%

Model: 44%

Sheffield Wednesday vs Leicester City

poor

Mon 6th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

5.40 Fair: 4.63 Kambi Group

+16.63%

Model: 21.6%

HT Result

Home

5.00 Fair: 4.30 Kambi Group

+16.28%

Model: 23.2%

BTTS

No

2.02 Fair: 1.86 Kambi Group

+8.6%

Model: 53.8%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.23 Fair: 2.13 Kambi Group

+4.69%

Model: 47.1%

FT Result

Draw

4.00 Fair: 3.93 Kambi Group

+1.78%

Model: 25.4%

Bristol City vs Sheffield United

poor

Mon 6th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

3.10 Fair: 2.81 Kambi Group

+10.32%

Model: 35.6%

Blackburn Rovers vs West Bromwich Albion

poor

Mon 6th, 15:00

BTTS

No

1.89 Fair: 1.74 Kambi Group

+8.62%

Model: 57.5%

Preston North End vs Queens Park Rangers

poor

Mon 6th, 15:00

BTTS

No

2.07 Fair: 2.05 Kambi Group

+0.98%

Model: 48.7%

Derby County vs Stoke City

poor

Mon 6th, 15:00

BTTS

No

2.07 Fair: 1.97 Kambi Group

+5.08%

Model: 50.8%

Watford vs Charlton Athletic

poor

Mon 6th, 15:00

FT Result

Away

4.60 Fair: 3.97 Kambi Group

+15.87%

Model: 25.2%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.00 Fair: 1.93 Kambi Group

+3.63%

Model: 51.7%

Ipswich Town vs Birmingham City

poor

Mon 6th, 15:00

BTTS

No

2.16 Fair: 1.97 Kambi Group

+9.64%

Model: 50.7%

Swansea City vs Middlesbrough

poor

Mon 6th, 17:30

FT Result

Home

3.32 Fair: 2.97 1xBet

+11.78%

Model: 33.6%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.