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League Two Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for League Two

Find value bets for League Two fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Cambridge United vs Swindon Town

medium

Thu 2nd, 20:00

HT Result

Away

5.51 Fair: 3.82 1xBet

+44.24%

Model: 26.2%

FT Result

Away

5.00 Fair: 3.47 Betfair Exchange

+44.09%

Model: 28.8%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.10 Fair: 1.82 Bet365

+15.38%

Model: 55%

BTTS

Yes

2.00 Fair: 1.87 Betfair Exchange

+6.95%

Model: 53.4%

Shrewsbury Town vs Tranmere Rovers

medium

Fri 3rd, 15:00

HT Result

Away

4.00 Fair: 3.74 Bet365

+6.95%

Model: 26.7%

FT Result

Away

3.35 Fair: 3.16 Kambi Group

+6.01%

Model: 31.6%

BTTS

Yes

1.92 Fair: 1.84 1xBet

+4.35%

Model: 54.3%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.36 Fair: 1.35 Bet365

+0.74%

Model: 74.3%

Accrington Stanley vs Crewe Alexandra

medium

Fri 3rd, 15:00

FT Result

Away

2.15 Fair: 1.94 Bet365

+10.82%

Model: 51.5%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.36 Fair: 1.33 Bet365

+2.26%

Model: 75.1%

HT Result

Away

2.85 Fair: 2.79 Pinnacle

+2.15%

Model: 35.9%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.33 Fair: 1.31 WilliamHill

+1.53%

Model: 76.3%

BTTS

No

2.04 Fair: 2.02 Kambi Group

+0.99%

Model: 49.5%

Milton Keynes Dons vs Barrow

medium

Fri 3rd, 15:00

HT Result

Away

7.13 Fair: 5.08 Pinnacle

+40.35%

Model: 19.7%

FT Result

Away

7.60 Fair: 5.53 1xBet

+37.43%

Model: 18.1%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.83 Fair: 2.43 1xBet

+16.46%

Model: 41.1%

FT Result

Draw

4.80 Fair: 4.34 Betfair Exchange

+10.6%

Model: 23%

Chesterfield vs Cheltenham Town

medium

Fri 3rd, 15:00

FT Result

Away

5.70 Fair: 4.75 Betfair Exchange

+20%

Model: 21.1%

HT Result

Away

5.67 Fair: 5.02 Pinnacle

+12.95%

Model: 19.9%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.33 Fair: 2.18 1xBet

+6.88%

Model: 45.9%

BTTS

No

2.12 Fair: 2.03 Kambi Group

+4.43%

Model: 49.2%

FT Result

Draw

4.10 Fair: 4.03 1xBet

+1.74%

Model: 24.8%

Walsall vs Gillingham

medium

Fri 3rd, 15:00

FT Result

Away

4.80 Fair: 3.46 Betfair Exchange

+38.73%

Model: 28.9%

HT Result

Away

5.24 Fair: 4.11 1xBet

+27.49%

Model: 24.3%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.96 Fair: 1.76 1xBet

+11.36%

Model: 56.9%

HT Result

Draw

2.20 Fair: 2.13 Kambi Group

+3.29%

Model: 46.9%

FT Result

Draw

3.60 Fair: 3.57 Betfair Exchange

+0.84%

Model: 28%

Grimsby Town vs Harrogate Town

medium

Fri 3rd, 15:00

HT Result

Away

5.81 Fair: 5.40 Pinnacle

+7.59%

Model: 18.5%

HT Result

Draw

2.50 Fair: 2.43 Kambi Group

+2.88%

Model: 41.1%

BTTS

No

1.95 Fair: 1.94 WilliamHill

+0.52%

Model: 51.7%

Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town

medium

Fri 3rd, 15:00

FT Result

Away

3.35 Fair: 3.12 Betfair Exchange

+7.37%

Model: 32.1%

BTTS

Yes

1.80 Fair: 1.75 Bet365

+2.86%

Model: 57.1%

HT Result

Away

4.06 Fair: 3.95 1xBet

+2.78%

Model: 25.3%

Colchester United vs Oldham Athletic

medium

Fri 3rd, 15:00

HT Result

Home

3.70 Fair: 3.06 1xBet

+20.92%

Model: 32.7%

FT Result

Home

2.90 Fair: 2.43 Betfair Exchange

+19.34%

Model: 41.2%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.50 Fair: 1.44 Bet365

+4.17%

Model: 69.5%

BTTS

No

1.95 Fair: 1.91 Kambi Group

+2.09%

Model: 52.4%

Barnet vs Bromley

medium

Fri 3rd, 15:00

FT Result

Away

3.55 Fair: 3.05 Betfair Exchange

+16.39%

Model: 32.8%

Salford City vs Notts County

medium

Fri 3rd, 15:00

FT Result

Away

3.25 Fair: 2.97 Betfair Exchange

+9.43%

Model: 33.7%

HT Result

Away

3.90 Fair: 3.87 1xBet

+0.78%

Model: 25.9%

Newport County vs Crawley Town

medium

Fri 3rd, 15:00

FT Result

Home

2.70 Fair: 2.59 Kambi Group

+4.25%

Model: 38.7%

BTTS

No

2.15 Fair: 2.11 Kambi Group

+1.9%

Model: 47.5%

HT Result

Draw

2.28 Fair: 2.24 Kambi Group

+1.79%

Model: 44.7%

Barrow vs Chesterfield

medium

Mon 6th, 15:00

BTTS

No

2.23 Fair: 2.07 Kambi Group

+7.73%

Model: 48.3%

FT Result

Away

2.16 Fair: 2.10 Kambi Group

+2.86%

Model: 47.6%

HT Result

Draw

2.35 Fair: 2.30 Kambi Group

+2.17%

Model: 43.5%

Tranmere Rovers vs Colchester United

medium

Mon 6th, 15:00

FT Result

Away

2.15 Fair: 2.11 1xBet

+1.9%

Model: 47.5%

Cheltenham Town vs Cambridge United

medium

Mon 6th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

3.96 Fair: 3.35 1xBet

+18.21%

Model: 29.8%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.82 Fair: 1.77 Kambi Group

+2.82%

Model: 56.4%

HT Result

Draw

2.25 Fair: 2.24 Kambi Group

+0.45%

Model: 44.6%

HT Result

Home

4.30 Fair: 4.29 Kambi Group

+0.23%

Model: 23.3%

Harrogate Town vs Bristol Rovers

medium

Mon 6th, 15:00

HT Result

Draw

2.28 Fair: 2.27 Kambi Group

+0.44%

Model: 44.1%

Crawley Town vs Grimsby Town

medium

Mon 6th, 15:00

BTTS

No

2.32 Fair: 2.03 Kambi Group

+14.29%

Model: 49.3%

HT Result

Draw

2.38 Fair: 2.34 Kambi Group

+1.71%

Model: 42.7%

Gillingham vs Accrington Stanley

medium

Mon 6th, 15:00

FT Result

Away

3.85 Fair: 2.71 Kambi Group

+42.07%

Model: 36.9%

HT Result

Away

4.30 Fair: 3.53 Kambi Group

+21.81%

Model: 28.3%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.80 Fair: 1.57 Kambi Group

+14.65%

Model: 63.6%

Oldham Athletic vs Milton Keynes Dons

medium

Mon 6th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

2.90 Fair: 2.71 Kambi Group

+7.01%

Model: 36.9%

Swindon Town vs Walsall

medium

Mon 6th, 15:00

FT Result

Away

3.69 Fair: 3.12 1xBet

+18.27%

Model: 32.1%

Crewe Alexandra vs Salford City

medium

Mon 6th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

2.70 Fair: 2.43 Kambi Group

+11.11%

Model: 41.1%

Bromley vs Shrewsbury Town

medium

Tue 7th, 20:00

FT Result

Home

1.73 Fair: 1.68 1xBet

+2.98%

Model: 59.6%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.