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Ligue 3 Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Ligue 3

Find value bets for Ligue 3 fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

medium

Thu 27th, 19:45

BTTS

No

2.16 Fair: 1.93 Betfair Exchange

+11.92%

Model: 51.7%

FT Result

Draw

3.45 Fair: 3.30 Betfair Exchange

+4.55%

Model: 30.3%

HT Result

Draw

2.25 Fair: 2.17 Pinnacle

+3.69%

Model: 46.1%

FT Result

Away

3.20 Fair: 3.17 Betfair Exchange

+0.95%

Model: 31.5%

Quevilly Rouen vs Fleury 91

medium

Sat 29th, 13:45

BTTS

No

1.85 Fair: 1.82 WilliamHill

+1.65%

Model: 55.1%

Thionville Lusitanos vs Paris 13 Atletico

medium

Sat 29th, 13:45

FT Result

Away

5.10 Fair: 2.96 1xBet

+72.3%

Model: 33.8%

HT Result

Away

6.21 Fair: 4.13 1xBet

+50.36%

Model: 24.2%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.10 Fair: 1.59 Bet365

+32.08%

Model: 62.9%

BTTS

Yes

2.50 Fair: 1.98 Bet365

+26.26%

Model: 50.5%

Valenciennes vs Concarneau

medium

Sat 29th, 13:45

FT Result

Home

2.36 Fair: 2.18 Pinnacle

+8.26%

Model: 45.8%

HT Result

Home

2.98 Fair: 2.90 Pinnacle

+2.76%

Model: 34.5%

BTTS

No

1.91 Fair: 1.89 WilliamHill

+1.06%

Model: 52.8%

Amiens SC vs Versailles

medium

Sat 29th, 13:45

FT Result

Home

2.84 Fair: 2.66 Pinnacle

+6.77%

Model: 37.7%

SC Aubagne Air Bel vs Bourg-en-Bresse

medium

Sat 29th, 13:45

FT Result

Away

3.15 Fair: 2.59 Pinnacle

+21.62%

Model: 38.7%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.55 Fair: 1.44 WilliamHill

+7.64%

Model: 69.6%

BTTS

No

1.86 Fair: 1.77 1xBet

+5.08%

Model: 56.4%

HT Result

Away

3.86 Fair: 3.82 1xBet

+1.05%

Model: 26.2%

HT Result

Draw

2.11 Fair: 2.10 Pinnacle

+0.48%

Model: 47.6%

Cannes vs Le Puy-en-Velay

medium

Sat 29th, 13:45

FT Result

Home

2.27 Fair: 1.97 Betano

+15.23%

Model: 50.7%

HT Result

Home

2.97 Fair: 2.62 Pinnacle

+13.36%

Model: 38.2%

BTTS

Yes

2.10 Fair: 1.98 Bet365

+6.06%

Model: 50.5%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.30 Fair: 1.29 WilliamHill

+0.78%

Model: 77.3%

Villefranche vs Rouen

medium

Sat 29th, 13:45

FT Result

Draw

3.39 Fair: 3.17 Pinnacle

+6.94%

Model: 31.5%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.67 Fair: 1.64 WilliamHill

+1.83%

Model: 61%

HT Result

Draw

2.12 Fair: 2.09 Kambi Group

+1.44%

Model: 47.8%

BTTS

No

1.86 Fair: 1.85 Kambi Group

+0.54%

Model: 54.2%

FT Result

Home

3.40 Fair: 3.39 Kambi Group

+0.29%

Model: 29.5%

Orléans vs La Roche

medium

Sat 29th, 13:45

FT Result

Away

3.42 Fair: 3.11 Pinnacle

+9.97%

Model: 32.1%

HT Result

Away

4.16 Fair: 3.85 1xBet

+8.05%

Model: 26%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.