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Liga Nacional Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Liga Nacional

Find value bets for Liga Nacional fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Xelajú vs Cobán Imperial

medium

Sun 26th, 22:00

HT Result

Home

2.08 Fair: 1.85 Kambi Group

+12.43%

Model: 54%

FT Result

Home

1.54 Fair: 1.38 Kambi Group

+11.59%

Model: 72.3%

BTTS

No

1.75 Fair: 1.72 WilliamHill

+1.74%

Model: 58.2%

Achuapa vs Antigua GFC

medium

Sun 26th, 22:00

FT Result

Home

4.42 Fair: 2.40 1xBet

+84.17%

Model: 41.6%

HT Result

Home

5.20 Fair: 3.33 1xBet

+56.16%

Model: 30%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.94 Fair: 1.46 1xBet

+32.88%

Model: 68.4%

HT Result

Draw

2.15 Fair: 2.11 WilliamHill

+1.9%

Model: 47.5%

Municipal vs Mixco

medium

Sun 26th, 22:00

FT Result

Home

1.47 Fair: 1.38 Betano

+6.52%

Model: 72.6%

HT Result

Home

2.00 Fair: 1.91 Bet365

+4.71%

Model: 52.3%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.25 Fair: 1.21 WilliamHill

+3.31%

Model: 82.4%

BTTS

Yes

2.25 Fair: 2.24 Kambi Group

+0.45%

Model: 44.6%

Malacateco vs Comunicaciones

medium

Sun 26th, 22:00

FT Result

Home

1.87 Fair: 1.64 Kambi Group

+14.02%

Model: 60.8%

HT Result

Home

2.50 Fair: 2.34 Kambi Group

+6.84%

Model: 42.8%

BTTS

No

1.78 Fair: 1.74 Kambi Group

+2.3%

Model: 57.6%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.20 Fair: 1.18 WilliamHill

+1.69%

Model: 84.5%

Guastatoya vs Marquense

medium

Sun 26th, 22:00

FT Result

Away

9.00 Fair: 8.25 Betfair Exchange

+9.09%

Model: 12.1%

FT Result

Home

1.53 Fair: 1.48 Kambi Group

+3.38%

Model: 67.4%

BTTS

No

1.86 Fair: 1.82 Kambi Group

+2.2%

Model: 55.1%

Aurora vs Mictlán

medium

Sun 26th, 22:00

FT Result

Home

1.77 Fair: 1.46 Kambi Group

+21.23%

Model: 68.4%

BTTS

No

1.95 Fair: 1.82 Kambi Group

+7.14%

Model: 55.1%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.