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Serie C: Girone A Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Serie C: Girone A

Find value bets for Serie C: Girone A fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Ospitaletto vs Trento Calcio 1921

good

Sat 14th, 16:30

FT Result

Home

3.22 Fair: 3.03 1xBet

+6.27%

Model: 33%

Pergolettese vs Union ArzignanoChiampo

good

Sat 14th, 16:30

FT Result

Away

2.97 Fair: 2.90 1xBet

+2.41%

Model: 34.5%

HT Result

Away

3.75 Fair: 3.70 Bet365

+1.35%

Model: 27%

AlbinoLeffe vs Giana Erminio

good

Sat 14th, 19:30

FT Result

Away

3.21 Fair: 2.68 1xBet

+19.78%

Model: 37.3%

BTTS

Yes

2.20 Fair: 2.17 Bet365

+1.38%

Model: 46.2%

Triestina vs Pro Vercelli

good

Sun 15th, 13:30

FT Result

Home

2.61 Fair: 2.44 1xBet

+6.97%

Model: 40.9%

Lumezzane vs Pro Patria

good

Sun 15th, 16:30

FT Result

Away

5.40 Fair: 4.42 1xBet

+22.17%

Model: 22.6%

Cittadella vs Dolomiti Bellunesi

good

Sun 15th, 16:30

FT Result

Away

5.73 Fair: 5.56 1xBet

+3.06%

Model: 18%

Lecco vs Novara

good

Sun 15th, 19:30

FT Result

Away

3.48 Fair: 3.15 1xBet

+10.48%

Model: 31.8%

Vicenza vs Inter U23

good

Mon 16th, 19:30

FT Result

Away

7.50 Fair: 5.56 1xBet

+34.89%

Model: 18%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.