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Liga Mx Women Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Liga Mx Women

Find value bets for Liga Mx Women fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Wed 1st, 22:45
FT Result
Home
3.20 Fair: 2.31 Kambi Group
+38.53%
Model: 43.3%
HT Result
Home
3.80 Fair: 3.10 Kambi Group
+22.58%
Model: 32.2%
Double Chance
Home Draw
1.66 Fair: 1.54 Bet365
+7.79%
Model: 65.1%
Double Chance
Home Away
1.33 Fair: 1.28 Bet365
+3.91%
Model: 78.2%
BTTS
Yes
1.82 Fair: 1.76 Kambi Group
+3.41%
Model: 56.8%
Thu 2nd, 00:00
HT Result
Home
12.00 Fair: 5.31 Bet365
+125.99%
Model: 18.9%
FT Result
Home
13.70 Fair: 7.16 1xBet
+91.34%
Model: 14%
BTTS
Yes
2.62 Fair: 1.87 Bet365
+40.11%
Model: 53.6%
Double Chance
Home Draw
4.50 Fair: 3.25 Bet365
+38.46%
Model: 30.7%
FT Result
Draw
6.91 Fair: 5.97 Pinnacle
+15.75%
Model: 16.8%
BTTS
No
2.45 Fair: 2.32 Kambi Group
+5.6%
Model: 43.1%
FT Result
Away
1.65 Fair: 1.62 Pinnacle
+1.85%
Model: 61.7%
Thu 2nd, 02:00
HT Result
Away
20.00 Fair: 6.59 1xBet
+203.49%
Model: 15.2%
FT Result
Away
41.00 Fair: 13.83 WilliamHill
+196.46%
Model: 7.2%
Double Chance
Draw Away
13.00 Fair: 5.34 1xBet
+143.45%
Model: 18.7%
FT Result
Draw
20.86 Fair: 8.71 Pinnacle
+139.49%
Model: 11.5%
HT Result
Draw
4.90 Fair: 3.36 Kambi Group
+45.83%
Model: 29.7%
BTTS
Yes
2.25 Fair: 1.91 WilliamHill
+17.8%
Model: 52.5%
Thu 2nd, 04:00
HT Result
Away
6.75 Fair: 5.55 Kambi Group
+21.62%
Model: 18%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

  • 0-5% - Small value edge
  • 5-10% - Good value
  • 10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.