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Premiership Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Premiership

Find value bets for Premiership fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Larne vs Bangor

high

Tue 8th, 19:45

FT Result

Away

13.00 Fair: 4.08 FanDuel

+218.63%

Model: 24.5%

Double Chance

Draw Away

4.40 Fair: 2.01 WilliamHill

+118.91%

Model: 49.6%

HT Result

Away

10.25 Fair: 5.19 Pinnacle

+97.5%

Model: 19.3%

FT Result

Draw

6.81 Fair: 3.98 Pinnacle

+71.11%

Model: 25.1%

HT Result

Draw

2.93 Fair: 2.29 Pinnacle

+27.95%

Model: 43.7%

BTTS

Yes

2.15 Fair: 1.87 WilliamHill

+14.97%

Model: 53.5%

Coleraine vs Ballymena United

high

Fri 11th, 19:45

FT Result

Away

5.93 Fair: 3.12 Pinnacle

+90.06%

Model: 32.1%

HT Result

Away

6.14 Fair: 3.76 Pinnacle

+63.3%

Model: 26.6%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.55 Fair: 1.74 1xBet

+46.55%

Model: 57.4%

FT Result

Draw

4.60 Fair: 3.94 1xBet

+16.75%

Model: 25.4%

BTTS

Yes

1.76 Fair: 1.73 1xBet

+1.73%

Model: 57.8%

Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville

high

Sat 12th, 15:00

FT Result

Away

3.25 Fair: 2.65 Betano

+22.64%

Model: 37.8%

Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield

high

Sat 12th, 18:00

FT Result

Away

1.91 Fair: 1.88 Pinnacle

+1.6%

Model: 53.3%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.