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Premier League Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Premier League

Find value bets for Premier League fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Akhmat Grozny vs Orenburg

high

Fri 23rd, 17:30

BTTS

No

2.04 Fair: 1.90 1xBet

+7.37%

Model: 52.6%

HT Result

Draw

2.30 Fair: 2.23 Pinnacle

+3.14%

Model: 44.8%

Akron vs Dinamo Moskva

high

Sat 24th, 10:45

HT Result

Draw

2.41 Fair: 2.38 Pinnacle

+1.26%

Model: 42.1%

HT Result

Home

5.50 Fair: 5.45 Pinnacle

+0.92%

Model: 18.3%

FT Result

Home

5.20 Fair: 5.17 Pinnacle

+0.58%

Model: 19.4%

Fakel vs Rodina Moskva

high

Sat 24th, 13:00

FT Result

Away

3.71 Fair: 3.55 1xBet

+4.51%

Model: 28.2%

Rubin Kazan vs Krylya Sovetov

high

Sat 24th, 15:15

BTTS

No

1.95 Fair: 1.92 1xBet

+1.56%

Model: 52.2%

HT Result

Draw

2.15 Fair: 2.13 Pinnacle

+0.94%

Model: 46.9%

FT Result

Home

2.42 Fair: 2.40 1xBet

+0.83%

Model: 41.6%

Krasnodar vs Baltika Kaliningrad

high

Sat 24th, 17:30

FT Result

Away

4.82 Fair: 4.09 Pinnacle

+17.85%

Model: 24.5%

HT Result

Away

5.46 Fair: 4.85 Pinnacle

+12.58%

Model: 20.6%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.06 Fair: 1.96 1xBet

+5.1%

Model: 51%

Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moskva

high

Sun 25th, 10:45

FT Result

Away

3.16 Fair: 2.41 1xBet

+31.12%

Model: 41.4%

HT Result

Away

3.74 Fair: 3.18 Pinnacle

+17.61%

Model: 31.5%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.60 Fair: 1.47 1xBet

+8.84%

Model: 67.9%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.37 Fair: 1.36 1xBet

+0.74%

Model: 73.6%

CSKA Moskva vs Spartak Moskva

high

Sun 25th, 13:00

FT Result

Home

3.12 Fair: 2.53 1xBet

+23.32%

Model: 39.5%

HT Result

Home

3.55 Fair: 3.08 1xBet

+15.26%

Model: 32.4%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.66 Fair: 1.53 1xBet

+8.5%

Model: 65.4%

HT Result

Draw

2.38 Fair: 2.34 Pinnacle

+1.71%

Model: 42.7%

Zenit vs Dynamo Makhachkala

high

Sun 25th, 15:30

BTTS

No

1.68 Fair: 1.64 1xBet

+2.44%

Model: 61%

FT Result

Home

1.33 Fair: 1.32 1xBet

+0.76%

Model: 75.7%

Rubin Kazan vs Fakel

high

Sat 31st, 12:15

FT Result

Away

4.02 Fair: 3.16 1xBet

+27.22%

Model: 31.6%

BTTS

Yes

2.06 Fair: 2.02 1xBet

+1.98%

Model: 49.4%

Dinamo Moskva vs Akhmat Grozny

high

Sat 31st, 14:30

BTTS

No

2.03 Fair: 1.79 1xBet

+13.41%

Model: 55.9%

FT Result

Draw

4.36 Fair: 4.07 1xBet

+7.13%

Model: 24.6%

Rodina Moskva vs Krasnodar

high

Sat 31st, 16:45

FT Result

Away

1.65 Fair: 1.62 1xBet

+1.85%

Model: 61.9%

Orenburg vs CSKA Moskva

high

Sun 1st, 10:00

FT Result

Home

4.06 Fair: 2.50 1xBet

+62.4%

Model: 40.1%

FT Result

Draw

3.81 Fair: 3.80 1xBet

+0.26%

Model: 26.4%

Dynamo Makhachkala vs Rostov

high

Sun 1st, 12:15

FT Result

Home

2.61 Fair: 2.40 1xBet

+8.75%

Model: 41.8%

BTTS

Yes

1.94 Fair: 1.93 1xBet

+0.52%

Model: 51.7%

Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron

high

Sun 1st, 14:30

FT Result

Away

4.51 Fair: 3.83 1xBet

+17.75%

Model: 26.1%

FT Result

Draw

3.67 Fair: 3.50 1xBet

+4.86%

Model: 28.6%

Lokomotiv Moskva vs Spartak Moskva

high

Sun 1st, 16:45

BTTS

No

2.15 Fair: 1.88 1xBet

+14.36%

Model: 53.3%

FT Result

Draw

3.94 Fair: 3.57 1xBet

+10.36%

Model: 28%

FT Result

Home

3.94 Fair: 3.83 1xBet

+2.87%

Model: 26.1%

Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit

high

Mon 2nd, 15:00

FT Result

Home

7.65 Fair: 6.08 1xBet

+25.82%

Model: 16.4%

FT Result

Draw

4.92 Fair: 4.20 1xBet

+17.14%

Model: 23.8%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.