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Premier League Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Premier League

Find value bets for Premier League fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

CSKA Moskva vs Baltika Kaliningrad

high

Fri 24th, 18:00

FT Result

Away

4.22 Fair: 3.62 1xBet

+16.57%

Model: 27.7%

HT Result

Away

4.80 Fair: 4.57 1xBet

+5.03%

Model: 21.9%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.40 Fair: 1.37 1xBet

+2.19%

Model: 73%

Dinamo Moskva vs Krylya Sovetov

high

Sat 25th, 12:00

FT Result

Away

7.50 Fair: 6.04 1xBet

+24.17%

Model: 16.6%

HT Result

Away

7.00 Fair: 5.65 Pinnacle

+23.89%

Model: 17.7%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.87 Fair: 2.49 1xBet

+15.26%

Model: 40.1%

FT Result

Draw

4.88 Fair: 4.24 1xBet

+15.09%

Model: 23.6%

HT Result

Draw

2.58 Fair: 2.48 Pinnacle

+4.03%

Model: 40.3%

BTTS

No

1.87 Fair: 1.80 1xBet

+3.89%

Model: 55.4%

high

Sat 25th, 14:15

FT Result

Draw

5.39 Fair: 4.27 1xBet

+26.23%

Model: 23.4%

HT Result

Home

7.67 Fair: 6.42 Pinnacle

+19.47%

Model: 15.6%

Double Chance

Home Draw

3.24 Fair: 2.73 1xBet

+18.68%

Model: 36.6%

FT Result

Home

8.85 Fair: 7.59 1xBet

+16.6%

Model: 13.2%

HT Result

Draw

2.71 Fair: 2.33 Pinnacle

+16.31%

Model: 43%

BTTS

No

1.87 Fair: 1.63 1xBet

+14.72%

Model: 61.5%

Fakel vs Dynamo Makhachkala

high

Sat 25th, 16:30

HT Result

Home

3.40 Fair: 2.55 Pinnacle

+33.33%

Model: 39.2%

FT Result

Home

2.59 Fair: 2.03 1xBet

+27.59%

Model: 49.2%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.41 Fair: 1.31 1xBet

+7.63%

Model: 76.6%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.41 Fair: 1.38 1xBet

+2.17%

Model: 72.6%

Spartak Moskva vs Rodina Moskva

high

Sat 25th, 18:45

FT Result

Draw

6.11 Fair: 4.47 1xBet

+36.69%

Model: 22.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.62 Fair: 2.87 1xBet

+26.13%

Model: 34.9%

FT Result

Away

9.75 Fair: 8.00 1xBet

+21.88%

Model: 12.5%

HT Result

Away

7.68 Fair: 6.51 Pinnacle

+17.97%

Model: 15.4%

HT Result

Draw

2.85 Fair: 2.50 Pinnacle

+14%

Model: 39.9%

BTTS

No

1.97 Fair: 1.74 1xBet

+13.22%

Model: 57.6%

Orenburg vs Rostov

high

Sun 26th, 12:30

FT Result

Home

2.55 Fair: 2.39 1xBet

+6.69%

Model: 41.8%

Lokomotiv Moskva vs Akhmat Grozny

high

Sun 26th, 15:00

HT Result

Away

5.38 Fair: 3.69 Pinnacle

+45.8%

Model: 27.1%

BTTS

No

1.95 Fair: 1.73 1xBet

+12.72%

Model: 57.8%

FT Result

Draw

4.17 Fair: 3.87 1xBet

+7.75%

Model: 25.8%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.25 Fair: 2.23 1xBet

+0.9%

Model: 44.8%

Rubin Kazan vs Krasnodar

high

Sun 26th, 17:30

FT Result

Home

3.79 Fair: 3.37 1xBet

+12.46%

Model: 29.7%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.78 Fair: 1.70 1xBet

+4.71%

Model: 58.7%

HT Result

Home

4.50 Fair: 4.33 Pinnacle

+3.93%

Model: 23.1%

FT Result

Draw

3.46 Fair: 3.45 1xBet

+0.29%

Model: 29%

Rodina Moskva vs Rostov

high

Fri 31st, 18:00

FT Result

Home

3.07 Fair: 2.95 1xBet

+4.07%

Model: 33.9%

Akron vs Rubin Kazan

high

Sat 1st, 12:00

FT Result

Home

3.07 Fair: 2.80 1xBet

+9.64%

Model: 35.7%

CSKA Moskva vs Krylya Sovetov

high

Sat 1st, 14:15

FT Result

Away

7.70 Fair: 5.57 1xBet

+38.24%

Model: 17.9%

FT Result

Draw

4.58 Fair: 4.36 1xBet

+5.05%

Model: 22.9%

Dynamo Makhachkala vs Lokomotiv Moskva

high

Sat 1st, 16:30

FT Result

Home

3.46 Fair: 3.44 1xBet

+0.58%

Model: 29.1%

Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dinamo Moskva

high

Sat 1st, 18:45

BTTS

No

2.07 Fair: 2.02 1xBet

+2.48%

Model: 49.5%

FT Result

Away

2.71 Fair: 2.66 1xBet

+1.88%

Model: 37.5%

Orenburg vs Zenit

high

Sun 2nd, 14:00

FT Result

Home

9.25 Fair: 4.72 1xBet

+95.97%

Model: 21.2%

FT Result

Draw

5.55 Fair: 3.79 1xBet

+46.44%

Model: 26.4%

Krasnodar vs Fakel

high

Sun 2nd, 16:15

FT Result

Away

11.00 Fair: 6.20 1xBet

+77.42%

Model: 16.1%

FT Result

Draw

5.40 Fair: 4.11 1xBet

+31.39%

Model: 24.4%

BTTS

Yes

2.34 Fair: 2.31 1xBet

+1.3%

Model: 43.2%

Akhmat Grozny vs Spartak Moskva

high

Sun 2nd, 18:30

FT Result

Home

3.50 Fair: 2.80 1xBet

+25%

Model: 35.7%

BTTS

No

2.04 Fair: 1.98 1xBet

+3.03%

Model: 50.4%

FT Result

Draw

3.66 Fair: 3.58 1xBet

+2.23%

Model: 28%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.