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Copa Libertadores Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Copa Libertadores

Find value bets for Copa Libertadores fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Deportivo La Guaira vs Fluminense

high

Tue 7th, 23:00

FT Result

Home

5.14 Fair: 2.79 1xBet

+84.23%

Model: 35.9%

HT Result

Home

5.63 Fair: 3.07 Pinnacle

+83.39%

Model: 32.6%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.12 Fair: 1.59 1xBet

+33.33%

Model: 63%

FT Result

Draw

3.80 Fair: 3.68 Bet365

+3.26%

Model: 27.2%

Independiente Rivadavia vs Club Bolívar

high

Tue 7th, 23:00

FT Result

Away

6.17 Fair: 2.50 1xBet

+146.8%

Model: 40%

HT Result

Away

6.11 Fair: 2.69 Pinnacle

+127.14%

Model: 37.1%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.38 Fair: 1.57 1xBet

+51.59%

Model: 63.7%

BTTS

Yes

1.90 Fair: 1.88 Bet365

+1.06%

Model: 53.1%

Barcelona Guayaquil vs Cruzeiro

high

Wed 8th, 01:00

HT Result

Home

4.00 Fair: 3.39 Bet365

+17.99%

Model: 29.5%

FT Result

Home

3.35 Fair: 3.25 Pinnacle

+3.08%

Model: 30.8%

BTTS

Yes

2.10 Fair: 2.08 Bet365

+0.96%

Model: 48.1%

Always Ready vs LDU Quito

high

Wed 8th, 01:00

FT Result

Home

2.53 Fair: 1.84 1xBet

+37.5%

Model: 54.2%

Universidad Católica vs Boca Juniors

high

Wed 8th, 01:30

FT Result

Home

3.70 Fair: 2.86 Betfair Exchange

+29.37%

Model: 34.9%

Deportes Tolima vs Universitario

high

Wed 8th, 03:00

FT Result

Away

4.10 Fair: 3.49 Bet365

+17.48%

Model: 28.7%

HT Result

Away

4.33 Fair: 4.12 Bet365

+5.1%

Model: 24.3%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.44 Fair: 1.39 Bet365

+3.6%

Model: 71.9%

Coquimbo Unido vs Nacional

high

Wed 8th, 23:00

FT Result

Away

3.35 Fair: 2.81 Pinnacle

+19.22%

Model: 35.6%

HT Result

Away

3.75 Fair: 3.41 Bet365

+9.97%

Model: 29.4%

BTTS

Yes

1.95 Fair: 1.92 Bet365

+1.56%

Model: 52%

Mirassol vs Lanús

high

Wed 8th, 23:00

FT Result

Away

4.03 Fair: 3.92 1xBet

+2.81%

Model: 25.5%

BTTS

Yes

2.20 Fair: 2.19 Bet365

+0.46%

Model: 45.8%

Independiente Medellín vs Estudiantes

high

Thu 9th, 01:00

FT Result

Home

2.66 Fair: 2.42 1xBet

+9.92%

Model: 41.4%

Junior FC vs Palmeiras

high

Thu 9th, 01:30

FT Result

Home

3.76 Fair: 3.14 Pinnacle

+19.75%

Model: 31.9%

Cusco FC vs Flamengo

high

Thu 9th, 01:30

FT Result

Home

5.45 Fair: 3.23 1xBet

+68.73%

Model: 31%

Sporting Cristal vs Cerro Porteño

high

Thu 9th, 03:00

FT Result

Home

2.37 Fair: 2.25 Bet365

+5.33%

Model: 44.5%

HT Result

Home

3.10 Fair: 3.02 Bet365

+2.65%

Model: 33.2%

Rosario Central vs Independiente del Valle

high

Thu 9th, 23:00

FT Result

Away

5.07 Fair: 3.11 Pinnacle

+63.02%

Model: 32.2%

HT Result

Away

5.50 Fair: 3.40 Bet365

+61.76%

Model: 29.5%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.90 Fair: 1.69 Bet365

+12.43%

Model: 59.2%

BTTS

Yes

2.25 Fair: 2.11 Bet365

+6.64%

Model: 47.5%

Platense vs Corinthians

high

Fri 10th, 01:00

FT Result

Away

2.73 Fair: 2.47 1xBet

+10.53%

Model: 40.4%

Santa Fe vs Peñarol

high

Fri 10th, 03:00

HT Result

Away

4.00 Fair: 3.40 Bet365

+17.65%

Model: 29.4%

FT Result

Away

3.10 Fair: 2.89 Bet365

+7.27%

Model: 34.7%

Nacional vs Deportes Tolima

high

Tue 14th, 23:00

FT Result

Away

4.33 Fair: 3.82 Bet365

+13.35%

Model: 26.2%

HT Result

Away

5.00 Fair: 4.64 Bet365

+7.76%

Model: 21.6%

BTTS

Yes

2.10 Fair: 2.04 Bet365

+2.94%

Model: 49.1%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.90 Fair: 1.89 Bet365

+0.53%

Model: 53%

Estudiantes vs Cusco FC

high

Tue 14th, 23:00

HT Result

Away

11.00 Fair: 4.37 Bet365

+151.72%

Model: 22.9%

FT Result

Away

10.00 Fair: 4.06 Bet365

+146.31%

Model: 24.6%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.75 Fair: 1.99 Bet365

+88.44%

Model: 50.3%

FT Result

Draw

5.50 Fair: 3.90 Bet365

+41.03%

Model: 25.6%

BTTS

Yes

2.50 Fair: 1.99 Bet365

+25.63%

Model: 50.2%

HT Result

Draw

2.50 Fair: 2.19 Bet365

+14.16%

Model: 45.7%

Cerro Porteño vs Junior FC

high

Tue 14th, 23:00

FT Result

Home

2.26 Fair: 1.92 1xBet

+17.71%

Model: 52.1%

BTTS

No

2.00 Fair: 1.89 Bet365

+5.82%

Model: 52.9%

Boca Juniors vs Barcelona Guayaquil

high

Wed 15th, 01:00

FT Result

Away

6.84 Fair: 4.35 1xBet

+57.24%

Model: 23%

FT Result

Draw

4.03 Fair: 3.63 1xBet

+11.02%

Model: 27.6%

Club Bolívar vs Deportivo La Guaira

high

Wed 15th, 01:00

FT Result

Away

14.80 Fair: 4.88 1xBet

+203.28%

Model: 20.5%

FT Result

Draw

7.90 Fair: 4.44 1xBet

+77.93%

Model: 22.5%

Universitario vs Coquimbo Unido

high

Wed 15th, 03:00

FT Result

Home

2.32 Fair: 1.81 1xBet

+28.18%

Model: 55.2%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.