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US Open Cup Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for US Open Cup

Find value bets for US Open Cup fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Richmond Kickers vs Loudoun United

poor

Wed 1st, 23:30

FT Result

Home

4.20 Fair: 2.36 Kambi Group

+77.97%

Model: 42.4%

HT Result

Home

4.53 Fair: 3.06 1xBet

+48.04%

Model: 32.7%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.96 Fair: 1.49 Kambi Group

+31.54%

Model: 67.2%

Lexington vs Louisville City

poor

Thu 2nd, 00:00

FT Result

Home

3.10 Fair: 2.25 Betfair Exchange

+37.78%

Model: 44.4%

HT Result

Home

3.75 Fair: 3.19 Bet365

+17.55%

Model: 31.4%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.61 Fair: 1.44 Kambi Group

+11.81%

Model: 69.6%

BTTS

Yes

1.92 Fair: 1.87 Betfair Exchange

+2.67%

Model: 53.6%

Rhode Island vs Hartford Athletic

poor

Thu 2nd, 00:00

FT Result

Home

2.16 Fair: 1.85 Betfair Exchange

+16.76%

Model: 54.1%

HT Result

Home

2.75 Fair: 2.70 Bet365

+1.85%

Model: 37%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.33 Fair: 1.31 WilliamHill

+1.53%

Model: 76.4%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.30 Fair: 1.29 Bet365

+0.78%

Model: 77.7%

BTTS

No

2.02 Fair: 2.01 Betfair Exchange

+0.5%

Model: 49.8%

Vermont Green vs Westchester SC

poor

Thu 2nd, 00:00

FT Result

Home

2.55 Fair: 1.81 Kambi Group

+40.88%

Model: 55.4%

HT Result

Home

3.10 Fair: 2.41 Kambi Group

+28.63%

Model: 41.4%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.44 Fair: 1.31 Kambi Group

+9.92%

Model: 76.3%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.30 Fair: 1.26 WilliamHill

+3.17%

Model: 79.1%

BTTS

No

2.24 Fair: 2.19 Betfair Exchange

+2.28%

Model: 45.7%

Michigan Bucks vs Detroit City

poor

Thu 2nd, 00:30

FT Result

Home

5.82 Fair: 2.18 1xBet

+166.97%

Model: 45.8%

HT Result

Home

5.89 Fair: 2.32 1xBet

+153.88%

Model: 43.1%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.40 Fair: 1.44 WilliamHill

+66.67%

Model: 69.6%

Colorado Springs vs Spokane Velocity

poor

Thu 2nd, 01:00

BTTS

No

2.06 Fair: 1.89 Kambi Group

+8.99%

Model: 53%

San Antonio vs Tulsa Roughnecks

poor

Thu 2nd, 01:30

FT Result

Home

2.45 Fair: 1.79 Kambi Group

+36.87%

Model: 56%

HT Result

Home

3.10 Fair: 2.81 Kambi Group

+10.32%

Model: 35.7%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.40 Fair: 1.27 Kambi Group

+10.24%

Model: 79%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.33 Fair: 1.30 WilliamHill

+2.31%

Model: 77%

New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive

poor

Thu 2nd, 02:30

FT Result

Away

3.55 Fair: 3.09 Kambi Group

+14.89%

Model: 32.4%

HT Result

Away

4.23 Fair: 3.79 1xBet

+11.61%

Model: 26.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.80 Fair: 1.76 Bet365

+2.27%

Model: 56.9%

Orange County vs Phoenix Rising

poor

Thu 2nd, 03:00

BTTS

No

2.26 Fair: 1.99 Betfair Exchange

+13.57%

Model: 50.2%

HT Result

Draw

2.35 Fair: 2.32 Kambi Group

+1.29%

Model: 43.1%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.