Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro

Bahia host Atlético Mineiro in the Brazil Serie A on Thursday 3 December 2026, kick-off 00:30. Our model makes Bahia favourites at 59%, with a 22% chance of a draw. In their last 12 meetings, Atlético Mineiro won 5, Bahia won 4 and 3 were drawn.

Brazil Serie A Thu 3 Dec 2026, 00:30 Save

Bahia

00:30

3 Dec

Atlético Mineiro

Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro preview

Bahia have scored 1.50 goals a game and conceded 1.10 across their last 10 home games in the Serie A this season, while Atlético Mineiro have scored 1.20 and conceded 1.30 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 6 of Bahia's last 10 home games and 5 of Atlético Mineiro's last 10 away games. Bahia's last 10 home games have averaged 12.2 corners and Atlético Mineiro's last 10 away games 10.2. Stats as of 14 Nov 2026, 12:43 UK.

Goals scored Bahia: 1.50 Atlético Mineiro: 1.20
Goals conceded Bahia: 1.10 Atlético Mineiro: 1.30
Both teams scored Bahia: 6 of 1060% Atlético Mineiro: 5 of 1050%
Over 2.5 goals Bahia: 5 of 1050% Atlético Mineiro: 5 of 1050%
Match corners Bahia: 12.20 Atlético Mineiro: 10.20
Match cards Bahia: 5.40 Atlético Mineiro: 4.30

Bahia's last 10 home games and Atlético Mineiro's last 10 away games in the Serie A this season.

Win probabilities

59%Bahia 22%Draw 19%Atlético Mineiro

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

More on Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro

Team statsGoals, corners and cards for both teams StandingsBahia 6th, Atlético Mineiro 7th LineupsTop players for both teams Head to headResults of the last 12 meetings

Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro: questions and answers

When is Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro?

Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro kicks off at 00:30 UK time on Thursday 3 December 2026 in the Serie A, at Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador.

Who is the favourite in Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Bahia a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atlético Mineiro 19%.

How many goals do Bahia and Atlético Mineiro games have?

Where are Bahia and Atlético Mineiro in the Serie A table?

Bahia are 6th with 53 points from 34 games. Atlético Mineiro are 7th with 50 points from 34 games.

Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro stats

Last 5 Last 20 Season

All competitions

Bahia6W 3D 1L · 10 home games

Atlético Mineiro3W 3D 4L · 10 away games

Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro general stats: Bahia's last 10 home games and Atlético Mineiro's last 10 away games in the Serie A this season
Bahia	Stat	Atlético Mineiro
Match outcomes
6 of 1060%	Win	3 of 1030%
3 of 1030%	Draw	3 of 1030%
1 of 1010%	Loss	4 of 1040%
21	Points	12
2.10	Points per game	1.20
4	Goal difference	-1
Expected goals
1.67	xG per game	1.06
1.16	xGA per game	1.67
-1.74	xG performance	1.42
Possession & attacks
55%	Possession	44%
56.10	Dangerous attacks	30.20
36.90	Dangerous attacks against	58.40
Shots
15.00	Shots for	9.40
11.60	Shots against	20.20
4.90	On target for	3.60
4.30	On target against	5.40
10%	Shot conversion	13%
33%	On-target accuracy	38%
Tackles & fouls
15.10	Tackles	12.70
14.20	Fouls committed	14.60
14.40	Fouls won	13.40
1.40	Offsides	1.20

Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro goals stats: Bahia's last 10 home games and Atlético Mineiro's last 10 away games in the Serie A this season
Bahia	Stat	Atlético Mineiro
Goals overview
2.60	Goals per game (total)	2.50
15	Goals scored	12
1.50	Scored per game	1.20
11	Goals conceded	13
1.10	Conceded per game	1.30
Outcomes
4 of 1040%	Scored first	4 of 1040%
2 of 1020%	Failed to score	4 of 1040%
3 of 1030%	Clean sheet	2 of 1020%
6 of 1060%	BTTS	5 of 1050%
4 of 1040%	BTTS & over 2.5	5 of 1050%
7 of 1070%	BTTS or over 2.5	5 of 1050%
Total goals
9 of 1090%	Over 0.5	9 of 1090%
8 of 1080%	Over 1.5	6 of 1060%
5 of 1050%	Over 2.5	5 of 1050%
2 of 1020%	Over 3.5	4 of 1040%
Goals scored
8 of 1080%	Scored 1+	6 of 1060%
5 of 1050%	Scored 2+	5 of 1050%
2 of 1020%	Scored 3+	1 of 1010%
Goals conceded
7 of 1070%	Conceded 1+	8 of 1080%
3 of 1030%	Conceded 2+	4 of 1040%
1 of 1010%	Conceded 3+	1 of 1010%

Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro halves & timing stats: Bahia's last 10 home games and Atlético Mineiro's last 10 away games in the Serie A this season
Bahia	Stat	Atlético Mineiro
Half-time result
4 of 1040%	Winning at HT	3 of 1030%
5 of 1050%	Drawing at HT	5 of 1050%
1 of 1010%	Losing at HT	2 of 1020%

29 more halves & timing stats with ProHalf-time results, goals by half, first and second-half lines, goal timing and late goals for both teams.

Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro corners stats: Bahia's last 10 home games and Atlético Mineiro's last 10 away games in the Serie A this season
Bahia	Stat	Atlético Mineiro
Corners per game
12.20	Total corners	10.20
6.50	Corners for	2.60
5.70	Corners against	7.60
6 of 1060%	Most corners	1 of 1010%
Match corner lines
9 of 1090%	Over 7.5	6 of 1060%
8 of 1080%	Over 8.5	5 of 1050%
7 of 1070%	Over 9.5	5 of 1050%
5 of 1050%	Over 10.5	5 of 1050%
5 of 1050%	Over 11.5	4 of 1040%
5 of 1050%	Over 12.5	4 of 1040%
Corners for lines
7 of 1070%	For over 4.5	2 of 1020%
7 of 1070%	For over 5.5	0 of 100%
6 of 1060%	For over 6.5	0 of 100%
2 of 1020%	For over 7.5	0 of 100%
Corners against lines
5 of 1050%	Against over 4.5	7 of 1070%
5 of 1050%	Against over 5.5	5 of 1050%
2 of 1020%	Against over 6.5	4 of 1040%
By half
6.20	1H total	5.20
3.10	1H for	1.30
3.10	1H against	3.90
6.00	2H total	5.00
3.40	2H for	1.30
2.60	2H against	3.70

Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro cards stats: Bahia's last 10 home games and Atlético Mineiro's last 10 away games in the Serie A this season
Bahia	Stat	Atlético Mineiro
Cards per game
5.40	Total cards	4.30
2.50	Cards received	2.50
2.90	Opponent cards	1.80
4 of 1040%	Most cards	4 of 1040%
Match card lines
9 of 1090%	Over 2.5	8 of 1080%
7 of 1070%	Over 3.5	5 of 1050%
7 of 1070%	Over 4.5	2 of 1020%
5 of 1050%	Over 5.5	2 of 1020%
Cards received lines
10 of 10100%	Received 1+	10 of 10100%
8 of 1080%	Received 2+	8 of 1080%
4 of 1040%	Received 3+	4 of 1040%
Opponent card lines
9 of 1090%	Opponent 1+	8 of 1080%
8 of 1080%	Opponent 2+	5 of 1050%
5 of 1050%	Opponent 3+	2 of 1020%
By half
2.20	1H total	0.60
0.70	1H received	0.40
3.80	2H total	3.90
2.00	2H received	2.20

Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro other stats: Bahia's last 10 home games and Atlético Mineiro's last 10 away games in the Serie A this season
Bahia	Stat	Atlético Mineiro
Shots & conversion
26.60	Total shots (match)	29.60
9.20	Total on target (match)	9.00
31%	On-target conversion	33%

11 more other stats with ProShot conversion, attacks, set pieces and which side usually has more shots and xG.

Bahia's last 10 home games and Atlético Mineiro's last 10 away games in the Serie A this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Bahia5W 1D 4L · 10 games

Atlético Mineiro4W 2D 4L · 10 games

Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro general stats: Bahia's last 10 games and Atlético Mineiro's last 10 games in the Serie A this season
Bahia	Stat	Atlético Mineiro
Match outcomes
5 of 1050%	Win	4 of 1040%
1 of 1010%	Draw	2 of 1020%
4 of 1040%	Loss	4 of 1040%
16	Points	14
1.60	Points per game	1.40
-1	Goal difference	0
Expected goals
1.65	xG per game	1.23
1.91	xGA per game	1.52
-0.51	xG performance	-0.27
Possession & attacks
51%	Possession	51%
43.00	Dangerous attacks	50.90
54.00	Dangerous attacks against	45.10
Shots
12.80	Shots for	14.60
17.60	Shots against	17.60
4.00	On target for	5.40
7.50	On target against	5.00
13%	Shot conversion	8%
31%	On-target accuracy	37%
Tackles & fouls
15.30	Tackles	14.70
12.10	Fouls committed	12.20
14.10	Fouls won	12.20
1.10	Offsides	2.00

Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro goals stats: Bahia's last 10 games and Atlético Mineiro's last 10 games in the Serie A this season
Bahia	Stat	Atlético Mineiro
Goals overview
3.30	Goals per game (total)	2.40
16	Goals scored	12
1.60	Scored per game	1.20
17	Goals conceded	12
1.70	Conceded per game	1.20
Outcomes
5 of 1050%	Scored first	4 of 1040%
2 of 1020%	Failed to score	3 of 1030%
1 of 1010%	Clean sheet	2 of 1020%
7 of 1070%	BTTS	5 of 1050%
6 of 1060%	BTTS & over 2.5	4 of 1040%
8 of 1080%	BTTS or over 2.5	5 of 1050%
Total goals
10 of 10100%	Over 0.5	10 of 10100%
8 of 1080%	Over 1.5	6 of 1060%
7 of 1070%	Over 2.5	4 of 1040%
4 of 1040%	Over 3.5	3 of 1030%
Goals scored
8 of 1080%	Scored 1+	7 of 1070%
5 of 1050%	Scored 2+	4 of 1040%
3 of 1030%	Scored 3+	1 of 1010%
Goals conceded
9 of 1090%	Conceded 1+	8 of 1080%
6 of 1060%	Conceded 2+	3 of 1030%
2 of 1020%	Conceded 3+	1 of 1010%

Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro halves & timing stats: Bahia's last 10 games and Atlético Mineiro's last 10 games in the Serie A this season
Bahia	Stat	Atlético Mineiro
Half-time result
4 of 1040%	Winning at HT	1 of 1010%
5 of 1050%	Drawing at HT	5 of 1050%
1 of 1010%	Losing at HT	4 of 1040%

29 more halves & timing stats with ProHalf-time results, goals by half, first and second-half lines, goal timing and late goals for both teams.

Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro corners stats: Bahia's last 10 games and Atlético Mineiro's last 10 games in the Serie A this season
Bahia	Stat	Atlético Mineiro
Corners per game
13.40	Total corners	12.60
5.60	Corners for	5.80
7.80	Corners against	6.80
3 of 1030%	Most corners	5 of 1050%
Match corner lines
9 of 1090%	Over 7.5	9 of 1090%
8 of 1080%	Over 8.5	8 of 1080%
7 of 1070%	Over 9.5	7 of 1070%
6 of 1060%	Over 10.5	7 of 1070%
6 of 1060%	Over 11.5	7 of 1070%
5 of 1050%	Over 12.5	6 of 1060%
Corners for lines
6 of 1060%	For over 4.5	6 of 1060%
6 of 1060%	For over 5.5	4 of 1040%
5 of 1050%	For over 6.5	4 of 1040%
2 of 1020%	For over 7.5	3 of 1030%
Corners against lines
8 of 1080%	Against over 4.5	5 of 1050%
7 of 1070%	Against over 5.5	4 of 1040%
5 of 1050%	Against over 6.5	4 of 1040%
By half
6.60	1H total	5.80
2.90	1H for	2.70
3.70	1H against	3.10
6.80	2H total	6.90
2.70	2H for	3.20
4.10	2H against	3.70

Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro cards stats: Bahia's last 10 games and Atlético Mineiro's last 10 games in the Serie A this season
Bahia	Stat	Atlético Mineiro
Cards per game
4.70	Total cards	3.80
2.40	Cards received	1.60
2.30	Opponent cards	2.20
4 of 1040%	Most cards	2 of 1020%
Match card lines
10 of 10100%	Over 2.5	7 of 1070%
8 of 1080%	Over 3.5	4 of 1040%
7 of 1070%	Over 4.5	2 of 1020%
3 of 1030%	Over 5.5	2 of 1020%
Cards received lines
10 of 10100%	Received 1+	9 of 1090%
9 of 1090%	Received 2+	6 of 1060%
3 of 1030%	Received 3+	2 of 1020%
Opponent card lines
10 of 10100%	Opponent 1+	9 of 1090%
8 of 1080%	Opponent 2+	6 of 1060%
5 of 1050%	Opponent 3+	2 of 1020%
By half
1.50	1H total	0.70
0.60	1H received	0.30
3.80	2H total	3.00
1.90	2H received	1.40

Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro other stats: Bahia's last 10 games and Atlético Mineiro's last 10 games in the Serie A this season
Bahia	Stat	Atlético Mineiro
Shots & conversion
30.40	Total shots (match)	32.20
11.50	Total on target (match)	10.40
40%	On-target conversion	22%

11 more other stats with ProShot conversion, attacks, set pieces and which side usually has more shots and xG.

Bahia's last 10 games and Atlético Mineiro's last 10 games in the Serie A this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 14 Nov 2026, 12:43 UK.

Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.

Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro players

Player rankings

Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.

Leading scorers and creators

Top scorer

Luciano Juba in 30 games 11goals

Tomás Cuello in 26 games 6goals

Top creator

Rodrigo Nestor in 27 games 5assists

Bernard in 27 games 4assists

Players in form

Ronaldo Goalkeeper · Bahia 7.43 Form rating

Apps
25

Goals
0

Assists
0
- Saves5.06 per 90 Top 2%
- Clearances1.80 per 90 Top 5%
- Pass %79% per 90 Top 9%
Everson Goalkeeper · Atlético Mineiro 7.21 Form rating

Apps
24

Goals
0

Assists
1
- Passes35.97 per 90 Top 16%
- Touches46.30 per 90 Top 16%
- Saves3.59 per 90 Top 18%
Tomás Cuello Winger · Atlético Mineiro 7.20 Form rating

Apps
26

Goals
6

Assists
2
- Dribbles2.75 per 90 Top 5%
- Dribble %56% per 90 Top 13%
- NP goals0.29 per 90 Top 22%
Bernard Winger · Atlético Mineiro 7.14 Form rating

Apps
27

Goals
5

Assists
4
- NP goals0.55 per 90 Top 4%
- Dribble %67% per 90 Top 4%
- Recoveries5.09 per 90 Top 10%
Gabriel Delfim Goalkeeper · Atlético Mineiro 7.14 Form rating

Apps
10

Goals
0

Assists
0
- Saves3.72 per 90 Top 14%
- Recoveries9.22 per 90 Top 25%
Fred Attacking midfielder · Atlético Mineiro 7.09 Form rating

Apps
6

Goals
0

Assists
0
- Final third9.04 per 90 Top 5%
- Big chances0.62 per 90 Top 6%
- Assists0.34 per 90 Top 12%
Luciano Juba Full-back · Bahia 7.08 Form rating

Apps
30

Goals
11

Assists
2
- xG0.21 per 90 Top 3%
- Duel %59% per 90 Top 14%
- Key passes1.34 per 90 Top 15%
Léo Duarte Centre-back · Atlético Mineiro 7.06 Form rating

Apps
5

Goals
0

Assists
0
- Pass %93% per 90 Top 4%
- Ball security4.67 per 90 Top 4%
- Tackles1.68 per 90 Top 26%
Rodrigo Nestor Central midfielder · Bahia 7.02 Form rating

Apps
27

Goals
2

Assists
5
- Big chances0.44 per 90 Top 5%
- Key passes2.24 per 90 Top 6%
- G+A0.47 per 90 Top 7%
Marcos Victor Full-back · Bahia 7.00 Form rating

Apps
12

Goals
1

Assists
1
- Duel %60% per 90 Top 14%
- Pass %86% per 90 Top 16%
- Assists0.15 per 90 Top 22%
David Duarte Centre-back · Bahia 6.96 Form rating

Apps
27

Goals
3

Assists
1
- Aerial %70% per 90 Top 9%
- Clearances6.97 per 90 Top 11%
- Ball security6.66 per 90 Top 20%
Alejo Veliz Striker · Bahia 6.94 Form rating

Apps
15

Goals
4

Assists
1
- Aerials4.00 per 90 Top 10%

Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro form

Bahia All venues

2 W · 1 D · 2 L

Points per game: 1.40
Scored per game: 1.4
Conceded per game: 1.8
Both teams scored: 60%
Over 2.5 goals: 60%

Atlético Mineiro All venues

0 W · 1 D · 4 L

Points per game: 0.20
Scored per game: 0.6
Conceded per game: 1.6
Both teams scored: 40%
Over 2.5 goals: 20%

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia head to head

5 Atlético Mineiro wins 3 draws 4 Bahia wins

2.8 goals per game 58% both teams scored 58% over 2.5 goals

Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro standings

Serie A table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	34	23	7	4	71	29	+42	76
2	Palmeiras	34	21	10	3	62	23	+39	73
3	Cruzeiro	34	18	6	10	55	48	+7	60
4	Fluminense	34	16	9	9	55	42	+13	57
5	Athletico PR	34	15	9	10	51	43	+8	54
6	Bahia	34	14	11	9	50	45	+5	53
7	Atlético Mineiro	34	14	8	12	44	40	+4	50
8	Bragantino	34	13	8	13	44	39	+5	47
9	Santos	34	12	11	11	50	49	+1	47
10	São Paulo	34	12	8	14	39	39	0	44
11	Botafogo	34	11	9	14	46	53	-7	42
12	Coritiba	34	11	9	14	40	51	-11	42
13	Vasco da Gama	33	11	8	14	43	50	-7	41
14	Mirassol	34	10	10	14	39	48	-9	40
15	Vitória	34	10	8	16	35	51	-16	38
16	Internacional	34	9	11	14	38	42	-4	38
17	Corinthians	34	9	10	15	36	42	-6	37
18	Grêmio	34	9	10	15	38	47	-9	37
19	Remo	34	6	11	17	37	57	-20	29
20	Chapecoense	33	4	9	20	33	68	-35	21

Serie A home table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras	17	13	3	1	36	11	+25	42
2	Flamengo	17	13	3	1	35	13	+22	42
3	Fluminense	17	12	3	2	31	17	+14	39
4	Atlético Mineiro	17	10	5	2	27	18	+9	35
5	Cruzeiro	17	10	4	3	30	18	+12	34
6	São Paulo	17	10	4	3	25	13	+12	34
7	Athletico PR	17	9	5	3	28	18	+10	32
8	Vitória	17	10	2	5	23	16	+7	32
9	Bragantino	17	9	3	5	29	18	+11	30
10	Bahia	17	8	6	3	26	19	+7	30
11	Grêmio	17	8	5	4	27	21	+6	29
12	Botafogo	17	7	6	4	27	22	+5	27
13	Mirassol	17	7	6	4	24	22	+2	27
14	Vasco da Gama	17	8	3	6	25	24	+1	27
15	Santos	17	6	7	4	23	21	+2	25
16	Internacional	17	6	5	6	22	17	+5	23
17	Coritiba	17	6	5	6	22	21	+1	23
18	Corinthians	17	6	4	7	18	17	+1	22
19	Remo	17	4	7	6	22	22	0	19
20	Chapecoense	16	3	5	8	22	36	-14	14

Serie A away table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	17	10	4	3	36	16	+20	34
2	Palmeiras	17	8	7	2	26	12	+14	31
3	Cruzeiro	17	8	2	7	25	30	-5	26
4	Bahia	17	6	5	6	24	26	-2	23
5	Santos	17	6	4	7	27	28	-1	22
6	Athletico PR	17	6	4	7	23	25	-2	22
7	Coritiba	17	5	4	8	18	30	-12	19
8	Fluminense	17	4	6	7	24	25	-1	18
9	Bragantino	17	4	5	8	15	21	-6	17
10	Atlético Mineiro	17	4	3	10	17	22	-5	15
11	Corinthians	17	3	6	8	18	25	-7	15
12	Internacional	17	3	6	8	16	25	-9	15
13	Botafogo	17	4	3	10	19	31	-12	15
14	Vasco da Gama	16	3	5	8	18	26	-8	14
15	Mirassol	17	3	4	10	15	26	-11	13
16	São Paulo	17	2	4	11	14	26	-12	10
17	Remo	17	2	4	11	15	35	-20	10
18	Grêmio	17	1	5	11	11	26	-15	8
19	Chapecoense	17	1	4	12	11	32	-21	7
20	Vitória	17	0	6	11	12	35	-23	6

Bahia
Atlético Mineiro
Relegation

Serie A 2026 standings as of 14 Nov 2026, 12:43 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Win probabilities

59%Bahia 22%Draw 19%Atlético Mineiro

Double chance

Bahia or draw 82%
Atlético Mineiro or draw 41%
Bahia or Atlético Mineiro 78%

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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

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Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro preview

Win probabilities

More on Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro

Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro: questions and answers

Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro stats

Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro lineups

Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro players

Player rankings

Leading scorers and creators

Players in form

Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro form

Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia head to head

Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro standings

Win probabilities

Double chance

Both teams to score

Goals 0.5 Pro

Goals 1.5

Goals 2.5

Goals 3.5

Goals 4.5 Pro

First-half goal Pro

Bahia goals 0.5 Pro

Bahia goals 1.5 Pro

Bahia goals 2.5 Pro

Bahia goals 3.5 Pro

Atlético Mineiro goals 0.5 Pro

Atlético Mineiro goals 1.5 Pro

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Atlético Mineiro goals 3.5 Pro

Most likely scores Pro