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River Plate vs Atlético Progreso

River Plate host Atlético Progreso in the Uruguay Liga AUF on Sunday 14 September 2025, kick-off 14:30. Our model makes River Plate favourites at 37%, with a 28% chance of a draw. In their last 9 meetings, Atlético Progreso won 4, River Plate won 3 and 2 were drawn.

You're viewing an earlier meeting. Go to the latest Atlético Progreso vs River Plate match

Uruguay Liga AUF Save
River Plate
14:30
14 Sep
Atlético Progreso

River Plate vs Atlético Progreso preview

River Plate have scored 1.80 goals a game and conceded 1.00 across their last 10 home games in all competitions, while Atlético Progreso have scored 1.00 and conceded 1.20 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 5 of River Plate's last 10 home games and 5 of Atlético Progreso's last 10 away games. Over 3.5 cards has landed in 9 of River Plate's last 10 home games and 8 of Atlético Progreso's last 10 away games. River Plate's last 10 home games have averaged 9.7 corners and Atlético Progreso's last 10 away games 9.7. Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 11:25 UK.

  • Goals scored River Plate: 1.80 Atlético Progreso: 1.00
  • Goals conceded River Plate: 1.00 Atlético Progreso: 1.20
  • Both teams scored River Plate: 5 of 1050% Atlético Progreso: 5 of 1050%
  • Over 2.5 goals River Plate: 6 of 1060% Atlético Progreso: 4 of 1040%
  • Match corners River Plate: 9.70 Atlético Progreso: 9.70
  • Match cards River Plate: 6.30 Atlético Progreso: 5.00

River Plate's last 10 home games and Atlético Progreso's last 10 away games in all competitions.

Win probabilities

37%River Plate 28%Draw 35%Atlético Progreso

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

River Plate vs Atlético Progreso: questions and answers

When is River Plate vs Atlético Progreso?

River Plate vs Atlético Progreso kicks off at 14:30 UK time on Sunday 14 September 2025 in the Liga AUF.

Who is the favourite in River Plate vs Atlético Progreso?

The OddAlerts probability model gives River Plate a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Atlético Progreso 35%.

How many goals do River Plate and Atlético Progreso games have?

River Plate have scored 1.80 goals a game and conceded 1.00 across their last 10 home games in all competitions, while Atlético Progreso have scored 1.00 and conceded 1.20 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 5 of River Plate's last 10 home games and 5 of Atlético Progreso's last 10 away games.

River Plate vs Atlético Progreso stats

River Plate5W 2D 3L · 10 home games
Atlético Progreso3W 2D 5L · 10 away games
River Plate vs Atlético Progreso general stats: River Plate's last 10 home games and Atlético Progreso's last 10 away games in all competitions
River PlateStatAtlético Progreso
Match outcomes
5 of 1050% Win 3 of 1030%
2 of 1020% Draw 2 of 1020%
3 of 1030% Loss 5 of 1050%
17 Points 11
1.70 Points per game 1.10
8 Goal difference -2
Expected goals
0.00 xG per game 0.00
0.00 xGA per game 0.00
18.00 xG performance 10.00
Possession & attacks
45% Possession 42%
68.40 Dangerous attacks 49.70
63.60 Dangerous attacks against 76.10
Shots
10.20 Shots for 9.40
9.00 Shots against 12.40
5.00 On target for 3.90
4.10 On target against 4.30
18% Shot conversion 11%
49% On-target accuracy 41%
Tackles & fouls
1.10 Tackles 0.60
13.10 Fouls committed 11.20
10.70 Fouls won 9.40
1.80 Offsides 2.20

River Plate's last 10 home games and Atlético Progreso's last 10 away games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 11:25 UK.

River Plate vs Atlético Progreso lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.

River Plate vs Atlético Progreso players

Player rankings

  1. 1 Atlético Progreso Nahuel López 1.51
  2. 2 Atlético Progreso Jonathan Dos Santos 0.90
  3. 3 Atlético Progreso Matteo Copelotti 0.84
  4. 4 Atlético Progreso Nahuel Acosta 0.79
  5. 5 Atlético Progreso Maximiliano Juambeltz 0.68

Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.

Leading scorers and creators

Top scorer
None for River Plate yet
Nahuel López in 28 games 11goals
Top creator
None for River Plate yet
Facundo de León in 23 games 2assists

Players in form

  1. Nahuel López Winger · Atlético Progreso 6.67 Form rating
    Apps
    28
    Goals
    11
    Assists
    1
    • NP goals0.70 per 90 Top 2%
    • Crosses1.38 per 90 Top 11%
    • Dribbles3.40 per 90 Top 13%
  2. Jonathan Dos Santos Striker · Atlético Progreso 6.61 Form rating
    Apps
    10
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Aerials2.90 per 90 Top 30%
  3. Nahuel Acosta Striker · Atlético Progreso 6.61 Form rating
    Apps
    9
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Fouls won3.32 per 90 Top 5%
    • Dribbles2.25 per 90 Top 10%
    • xG/shot0.26 per 90 Top 16%
  4. Maximiliano Juambeltz Striker · Atlético Progreso 6.56 Form rating
    Apps
    14
    Goals
    2
    Assists
    0
  5. Hernán Carroso Centre-back · Atlético Progreso 6.54 Form rating
    Apps
    29
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    1
    • Interceptions2.67 per 90 Top 9%
    • Clearances6.34 per 90 Top 17%
  6. Facundo de León Winger · Atlético Progreso 6.52 Form rating
    Apps
    23
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    2
    • Dribbles2.37 per 90 Top 26%

Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

River Plate vs Atlético Progreso form

River Plate All venues
0 W · 0 D · 5 L
Points per game
0.00
Scored per game
0.0
Conceded per game
2.4
Both teams scored
0%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
  1. Primera Division A Boston River 0–2 defeat
  2. Liga AUF H Nacional 0–3 defeat
  3. Primera Division H Nacional 0–3 defeat
  4. Liga AUF A Peñarol 0–2 defeat
  5. Primera Division A Peñarol 0–2 defeat
Atlético Progreso All venues
3 W · 0 D · 2 L
Points per game
1.80
Scored per game
1.4
Conceded per game
1.2
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
  1. Primera Division H Miramar Misiones 3–2 win
  2. Primera Division A Boston River 1–2 defeat
  3. Liga AUF A Boston River 1–2 defeat
  4. Liga AUF H Danubio 1–0 win
  5. Primera Division H Danubio 1–0 win

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Atlético Progreso vs River Plate head to head

4 Atlético Progreso wins 2 draws 3 River Plate wins
2.4 goals per game 33% both teams scored 44% over 2.5 goals
  1. 26 Aug 2026Copa Uruguay Atlético Progreso 0–2 River Plate
  2. 14 Sep 2025Liga AUF River Plate 14:30 Atlético Progreso
  3. 14 Sep 2025Primera Division River Plate 0–0 Atlético Progreso
  4. 23 Mar 2025Primera Division Atlético Progreso 2–1 River Plate
  5. 19 Oct 2024Primera Division Progreso 2–0 River Plate
  6. 9 Jun 2024Primera Division Progreso 1–0 River Plate
  7. 21 Apr 2024Primera Division River Plate 2–2 Progreso
  8. 9 Oct 2021Primera Division Progreso 1–0 River Plate
  9. 12 Jun 2021Primera Division River Plate 4–0 Progreso
  10. 29 Mar 2021Primera Division River Plate 3–2 Progreso

River Plate vs Atlético Progreso odds

Best price across 1 bookmaker, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
River Plate 2.92Betfair Exchange Drifted 21%from 2.42 37%
Draw 3.30Betfair Exchange Drifted 38%from 2.40 28%
Atlético Progreso 2.78Betfair Exchange Drifted 16%from 2.40 35%
Both Teams to Score
Selection Best price Since opening Model
BTTS Yes 1.88Betfair Exchange Drifted 86%from 1.01 48%
BTTS No 2.04Betfair Exchange Drifted 102%from 1.01 52%
Total Goals
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Over 1.5 1.38Betfair Exchange Drifted 6%from 1.30 69%
Under 1.5 3.40Betfair Exchange Drifted 24%from 2.75 31%
Over 2.5 2.20Betfair Exchange Drifted 13%from 1.94 44%
Under 2.5 1.80Betfair Exchange Drifted 12%from 1.61 56%
Over 3.5 4.20Betfair Exchange Drifted 24%from 3.38 22%
Under 3.5 1.28Betfair Exchange Drifted 6%from 1.21 78%

Prices are decimal. Updated 14 Sep, 14:24. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

37%River Plate 28%Draw 35%Atlético Progreso
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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.