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Carlton Town
Boldmere St Michaels
Carlton Town have scored 2.00 goals a game and conceded 1.33 across their last 9 home games in the Non League Div One: Northern Midlands this season, while Boldmere St Michaels have scored 1.22 and conceded 1.78 across their last 9 away games. Both teams have scored in 6 of Carlton Town's last 9 home games and 6 of Boldmere St Michaels' last 9 away games. Over 9.5 corners has landed in 1 of Carlton Town's last 9 home games and none of Boldmere St Michaels' last 9 away games. Boldmere St Michaels have won 1 of their last 9 away games. Carlton Town's last 9 home games have averaged 1.3 corners and Boldmere St Michaels' last 9 away games 0.0. Stats as of 14 Nov 2026, 12:12 UK.
Carlton Town's last 9 home games and Boldmere St Michaels' last 9 away games in the Non League Div One: Northern Midlands this season.
From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market
Carlton Town vs Boldmere St Michaels kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026 in the Non League Div One: Northern Midlands, at Bill Stokeld Stadium, Carlton.
The OddAlerts probability model gives Carlton Town a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Boldmere St Michaels 22%.
Carlton Town have scored 2.00 goals a game and conceded 1.33 across their last 9 home games in the Non League Div One: Northern Midlands this season, while Boldmere St Michaels have scored 1.22 and conceded 1.78 across their last 9 away games. Both teams have scored in 6 of Carlton Town's last 9 home games and 6 of Boldmere St Michaels' last 9 away games.
Carlton Town are 5th with 31 points from 18 games. Boldmere St Michaels are 9th with 26 points from 17 games.
Carlton Town6W 1D 2L · 9 home games
Boldmere St Michaels1W 4D 4L · 9 away games
| Carlton Town | Stat | Boldmere St Michaels |
|---|---|---|
| Match outcomes | ||
| 6 of 967% | Win | 1 of 911% |
| 1 of 911% | Draw | 4 of 944% |
| 2 of 922% | Loss | 4 of 944% |
| 19 | Points | 7 |
| 2.11 | Points per game | 0.78 |
| 6 | Goal difference | -5 |
| Expected goals | ||
| 0.00 | xG per game | 0.00 |
| 0.00 | xGA per game | 0.00 |
| 18.00 | xG performance | 11.00 |
| Possession & attacks | ||
| 6% | Possession | 0% |
| 5.00 | Dangerous attacks | 0.00 |
| 3.67 | Dangerous attacks against | 0.00 |
| Shots | ||
| 2.44 | Shots for | 0.00 |
| 1.00 | Shots against | 0.00 |
| 1.33 | On target for | 0.00 |
| 0.22 | On target against | 0.00 |
| 82% | Shot conversion | 0% |
| 55% | On-target accuracy | 0% |
| Tackles & fouls | ||
| 0.00 | Tackles | 0.00 |
| 0.00 | Fouls committed | 0.00 |
| 0.00 | Fouls won | 0.00 |
| 0.11 | Offsides | 0.00 |
| Carlton Town | Stat | Boldmere St Michaels |
|---|---|---|
| Goals overview | ||
| 3.33 | Goals per game (total) | 3.00 |
| 18 | Goals scored | 11 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game | 1.22 |
| 12 | Goals conceded | 16 |
| 1.33 | Conceded per game | 1.78 |
| Outcomes | ||
| 5 of 956% | Scored first | 2 of 922% |
| 2 of 922% | Failed to score | 3 of 933% |
| 2 of 922% | Clean sheet | 0 of 90% |
| 6 of 967% | BTTS | 6 of 967% |
| 6 of 967% | BTTS & over 2.5 | 4 of 944% |
| 6 of 967% | BTTS or over 2.5 | 6 of 967% |
| Total goals | ||
| 8 of 989% | Over 0.5 | 9 of 9100% |
| 7 of 978% | Over 1.5 | 7 of 978% |
| 6 of 967% | Over 2.5 | 4 of 944% |
| 4 of 944% | Over 3.5 | 4 of 944% |
| Goals scored | ||
| 7 of 978% | Scored 1+ | 6 of 967% |
| 5 of 956% | Scored 2+ | 3 of 933% |
| 4 of 944% | Scored 3+ | 2 of 922% |
| Goals conceded | ||
| 7 of 978% | Conceded 1+ | 9 of 9100% |
| 5 of 956% | Conceded 2+ | 4 of 944% |
| 0 of 90% | Conceded 3+ | 2 of 922% |
| Carlton Town | Stat | Boldmere St Michaels |
|---|---|---|
| Half-time result | ||
| 4 of 944% | Winning at HT | 1 of 911% |
| 3 of 933% | Drawing at HT | 8 of 989% |
| 2 of 922% | Losing at HT | 0 of 90% |
| Carlton Town | Stat | Boldmere St Michaels |
|---|---|---|
| Corners per game | ||
| 1.33 | Total corners | 0.00 |
| 1.00 | Corners for | 0.00 |
| 0.33 | Corners against | 0.00 |
| 1 of 911% | Most corners | 0 of 90% |
| Match corner lines | ||
| 1 of 911% | Over 7.5 | 0 of 90% |
| 1 of 911% | Over 8.5 | 0 of 90% |
| 1 of 911% | Over 9.5 | 0 of 90% |
| 1 of 911% | Over 10.5 | 0 of 90% |
| 1 of 911% | Over 11.5 | 0 of 90% |
| 0 of 90% | Over 12.5 | 0 of 90% |
| Corners for lines | ||
| 1 of 911% | For over 4.5 | 0 of 90% |
| 1 of 911% | For over 5.5 | 0 of 90% |
| 1 of 911% | For over 6.5 | 0 of 90% |
| 1 of 911% | For over 7.5 | 0 of 90% |
| Corners against lines | ||
| 0 of 90% | Against over 4.5 | 0 of 90% |
| 0 of 90% | Against over 5.5 | 0 of 90% |
| 0 of 90% | Against over 6.5 | 0 of 90% |
| By half | ||
| 0.56 | 1H total | 0.00 |
| 0.33 | 1H for | 0.00 |
| 0.22 | 1H against | 0.00 |
| 0.78 | 2H total | 0.00 |
| 0.67 | 2H for | 0.00 |
| 0.11 | 2H against | 0.00 |
| Carlton Town | Stat | Boldmere St Michaels |
|---|---|---|
| Cards per game | ||
| 3.67 | Total cards | 2.56 |
| 1.56 | Cards received | 1.22 |
| 2.11 | Opponent cards | 1.33 |
| 3 of 933% | Most cards | 3 of 933% |
| Match card lines | ||
| 6 of 967% | Over 2.5 | 5 of 956% |
| 4 of 944% | Over 3.5 | 3 of 933% |
| 2 of 922% | Over 4.5 | 1 of 911% |
| 2 of 922% | Over 5.5 | 0 of 90% |
| Cards received lines | ||
| 8 of 989% | Received 1+ | 5 of 956% |
| 4 of 944% | Received 2+ | 4 of 944% |
| 1 of 911% | Received 3+ | 2 of 922% |
| Opponent card lines | ||
| 8 of 989% | Opponent 1+ | 8 of 989% |
| 6 of 967% | Opponent 2+ | 3 of 933% |
| 2 of 922% | Opponent 3+ | 1 of 911% |
| By half | ||
| 1.67 | 1H total | 0.89 |
| 0.78 | 1H received | 0.33 |
| 2.11 | 2H total | 1.67 |
| 0.78 | 2H received | 0.89 |
| Carlton Town | Stat | Boldmere St Michaels |
|---|---|---|
| Shots & conversion | ||
| 3.44 | Total shots (match) | 0.00 |
| 1.56 | Total on target (match) | 0.00 |
| 150% | On-target conversion | 0% |
Carlton Town's last 9 home games and Boldmere St Michaels' last 9 away games in the Non League Div One: Northern Midlands this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.
Carlton Town4W 4D 2L · 10 games
Boldmere St Michaels3W 3D 4L · 10 games
| Carlton Town | Stat | Boldmere St Michaels |
|---|---|---|
| Match outcomes | ||
| 4 of 1040% | Win | 3 of 1030% |
| 4 of 1040% | Draw | 3 of 1030% |
| 2 of 1020% | Loss | 4 of 1040% |
| 16 | Points | 12 |
| 1.60 | Points per game | 1.20 |
| 8 | Goal difference | -5 |
| Expected goals | ||
| 0.00 | xG per game | 0.00 |
| 0.00 | xGA per game | 0.00 |
| 17.00 | xG performance | 10.00 |
| Possession & attacks | ||
| 15% | Possession | 10% |
| 14.70 | Dangerous attacks | 7.30 |
| 13.90 | Dangerous attacks against | 8.90 |
| Shots | ||
| 3.00 | Shots for | 1.30 |
| 2.00 | Shots against | 1.90 |
| 1.30 | On target for | 0.60 |
| 0.90 | On target against | 0.60 |
| 57% | Shot conversion | 77% |
| 43% | On-target accuracy | 46% |
| Tackles & fouls | ||
| 0.00 | Tackles | 0.00 |
| 0.00 | Fouls committed | 0.00 |
| 0.00 | Fouls won | 0.00 |
| 0.80 | Offsides | 0.40 |
| Carlton Town | Stat | Boldmere St Michaels |
|---|---|---|
| Goals overview | ||
| 2.60 | Goals per game (total) | 2.50 |
| 17 | Goals scored | 10 |
| 1.70 | Scored per game | 1.00 |
| 9 | Goals conceded | 15 |
| 0.90 | Conceded per game | 1.50 |
| Outcomes | ||
| 4 of 1040% | Scored first | 3 of 1030% |
| 3 of 1030% | Failed to score | 2 of 1020% |
| 4 of 1040% | Clean sheet | 2 of 1020% |
| 5 of 1050% | BTTS | 6 of 1060% |
| 4 of 1040% | BTTS & over 2.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 6 of 1060% | BTTS or over 2.5 | 6 of 1060% |
| Total goals | ||
| 8 of 1080% | Over 0.5 | 10 of 10100% |
| 7 of 1070% | Over 1.5 | 7 of 1070% |
| 5 of 1050% | Over 2.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 3 of 1030% | Over 3.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| Goals scored | ||
| 7 of 1070% | Scored 1+ | 8 of 1080% |
| 5 of 1050% | Scored 2+ | 2 of 1020% |
| 3 of 1030% | Scored 3+ | 0 of 100% |
| Goals conceded | ||
| 6 of 1060% | Conceded 1+ | 8 of 1080% |
| 3 of 1030% | Conceded 2+ | 4 of 1040% |
| 0 of 100% | Conceded 3+ | 2 of 1020% |
| Carlton Town | Stat | Boldmere St Michaels |
|---|---|---|
| Half-time result | ||
| 4 of 1040% | Winning at HT | 1 of 1010% |
| 4 of 1040% | Drawing at HT | 7 of 1070% |
| 2 of 1020% | Losing at HT | 2 of 1020% |
| Carlton Town | Stat | Boldmere St Michaels |
|---|---|---|
| Corners per game | ||
| 4.10 | Total corners | 1.70 |
| 2.30 | Corners for | 0.40 |
| 1.80 | Corners against | 1.30 |
| 1 of 1010% | Most corners | 0 of 100% |
| Match corner lines | ||
| 3 of 1030% | Over 7.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| 3 of 1030% | Over 8.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| 3 of 1030% | Over 9.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| 3 of 1030% | Over 10.5 | 0 of 100% |
| 2 of 1020% | Over 11.5 | 0 of 100% |
| 1 of 1010% | Over 12.5 | 0 of 100% |
| Corners for lines | ||
| 3 of 1030% | For over 4.5 | 0 of 100% |
| 1 of 1010% | For over 5.5 | 0 of 100% |
| 1 of 1010% | For over 6.5 | 0 of 100% |
| 1 of 1010% | For over 7.5 | 0 of 100% |
| Corners against lines | ||
| 3 of 1030% | Against over 4.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| 2 of 1020% | Against over 5.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| 1 of 1010% | Against over 6.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| By half | ||
| 1.90 | 1H total | 0.80 |
| 1.20 | 1H for | 0.30 |
| 0.70 | 1H against | 0.50 |
| 2.20 | 2H total | 0.90 |
| 1.10 | 2H for | 0.10 |
| 1.10 | 2H against | 0.80 |
| Carlton Town | Stat | Boldmere St Michaels |
|---|---|---|
| Cards per game | ||
| 3.90 | Total cards | 3.30 |
| 1.90 | Cards received | 1.20 |
| 2.00 | Opponent cards | 2.10 |
| 4 of 1040% | Most cards | 2 of 1020% |
| Match card lines | ||
| 8 of 1080% | Over 2.5 | 8 of 1080% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 3.5 | 5 of 1050% |
| 3 of 1030% | Over 4.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 3 of 1030% | Over 5.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| Cards received lines | ||
| 10 of 10100% | Received 1+ | 6 of 1060% |
| 5 of 1050% | Received 2+ | 5 of 1050% |
| 2 of 1020% | Received 3+ | 1 of 1010% |
| Opponent card lines | ||
| 9 of 1090% | Opponent 1+ | 9 of 1090% |
| 7 of 1070% | Opponent 2+ | 6 of 1060% |
| 3 of 1030% | Opponent 3+ | 3 of 1030% |
| By half | ||
| 1.30 | 1H total | 1.50 |
| 1.00 | 1H received | 0.30 |
| 2.40 | 2H total | 1.60 |
| 0.80 | 2H received | 0.90 |
| Carlton Town | Stat | Boldmere St Michaels |
|---|---|---|
| Shots & conversion | ||
| 5.00 | Total shots (match) | 3.20 |
| 2.20 | Total on target (match) | 1.20 |
| 131% | On-target conversion | 167% |
Carlton Town's last 10 games and Boldmere St Michaels' last 10 games in the Non League Div One: Northern Midlands this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.
Stats as of 14 Nov 2026, 12:12 UK.
Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed.
Bourne Town
4–1
win
Belper Town
0–1
defeat
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
4–2
win
Grantham Town
2–2
draw
Bedworth United
1–1
draw
Coventry United
3–0
win
Wellingborough Town
0–0
draw
Corby Town
0–0
draw
Sutton Coldfield Town
1–2
defeat
Rugby Borough
2–0
win
Long Eaton United FC
3–2
win
Barwell
3–2
win
Shepshed Dynamo
0–4
defeat
Shepshed Dynamo
2–3
defeat
Boston Town FC
2–1
win
Desborough Town
0–2
defeat
Coleshill Town
1–0
win
Nuneaton Town
0–2
defeat
Boldmere St Michaels
0–5
defeat
St Ives Town
3–2
win
Matlock Town
1–4
defeat
Coventry Sphinx
4–1
win
Sutton Coldfield Town
1–1
draw
Bourne Town
2–1
win
Basford United
1–1
draw
Lichfield City
4–0
win
Loughborough University
0–3
defeat
Anstey Nomads
0–6
defeat
Coleshill Town
1–2
defeat
Mickleover Sports
3–1
win
No games match these filters.
Sutton Coldfield Town
1–1
draw
Pens
Boston Town FC
1–1
draw
Long Eaton United FC
1–3
defeat
Wellingborough Town
1–4
defeat
Nuneaton Town
2–1
win
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
1–1
draw
Rugby Borough
0–1
defeat
Mickleover Sports
0–2
defeat
Corby Town
2–2
draw
Bedworth United
1–0
win
St Ives Town
1–0
win
Shepshed Dynamo
3–1
win
Bourne Town
1–1
draw
Barton Town Old Boys
1–3
defeat
Coventry United
3–1
win
Bedworth United
1–3
defeat
Bourne Town
2–1
win
Bourne Town
1–1
draw
Coleshill Town
3–3
draw
St Ives Town
0–0
draw
Pens
Barwell
2–1
win
Chasetown
1–0
win
Belper Town
0–1
defeat
Long Eaton United FC
2–0
win
Carlton Town
5–0
win
Gresley
3–0
win
Chasetown
1–2
defeat
Rushall Olympic
2–2
draw
Alvechurch
2–3
defeat
Loughborough University
1–2
defeat
No games match these filters.
Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellingborough Town |
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 48 | 17 | +31 | 47 | |
| 2 | Sutton Coldfield Town |
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 36 | |
| 3 | Loughborough University |
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 38 | 24 | +14 | 32 | |
| 4 | Nuneaton Town |
18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 20 | +10 | 31 | |
| 5 | Carlton Town |
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 27 | +2 | 31 | |
| 6 | Mickleover Sports |
16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 19 | +7 | 30 | |
| 7 | Shepshed Dynamo |
18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | +12 | 27 | |
| 8 | Belper Town |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 17 | +6 | 26 | |
| 9 | Boldmere St Michaels |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 23 | +4 | 26 | |
| 10 | Rugby Borough |
18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 26 | |
| 11 | Bedworth United |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 17 | +6 | 25 | |
| 12 | Coventry United |
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 | |
| 13 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds |
14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 20 | +6 | 21 | |
| 14 | Grantham Town |
18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 21 | |
| 15 | Boston Town FC |
18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 21 | |
| 16 | Basford United |
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 20 | |
| 17 | Barwell |
18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 18 | |
| 18 | Coleshill Town |
18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 18 | |
| 19 | Corby Town |
18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 16 | |
| 20 | Bourne Town |
15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 12 | |
| 21 | Long Eaton United FC |
17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 11 | |
| 22 | St Ives Town |
18 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 17 | 52 | -35 | 7 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellingborough Town |
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 11 | +16 | 27 | |
| 2 | Sutton Coldfield Town |
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 14 | +9 | 21 | |
| 3 | Boldmere St Michaels |
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 19 | |
| 4 | Carlton Town |
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 12 | +6 | 19 | |
| 5 | Bedworth United |
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 17 | |
| 6 | Loughborough University |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 17 | |
| 7 | Mickleover Sports |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 17 | |
| 8 | Nuneaton Town |
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11 | +7 | 16 | |
| 9 | Rugby Borough |
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 13 | |
| 10 | Shepshed Dynamo |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | +4 | 12 | |
| 11 | Grantham Town |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 12 | |
| 12 | Barwell |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 12 | |
| 13 | Boston Town FC |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 | |
| 14 | Corby Town |
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 10 | |
| 15 | Belper Town |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 | |
| 16 | Basford United |
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 10 | |
| 17 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds |
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 9 | |
| 18 | Bourne Town |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 8 | |
| 19 | Long Eaton United FC |
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 8 | |
| 20 | Coleshill Town |
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 8 | |
| 21 | Coventry United |
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 6 | |
| 22 | St Ives Town |
9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 6 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellingborough Town |
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 6 | +15 | 20 | |
| 2 | Belper Town |
9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 16 | |
| 3 | Coventry United |
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 16 | |
| 4 | Shepshed Dynamo |
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 15 | |
| 5 | Loughborough University |
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 15 | |
| 6 | Sutton Coldfield Town |
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 15 | |
| 7 | Nuneaton Town |
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 15 | |
| 8 | Mickleover Sports |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 13 | |
| 9 | Rugby Borough |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 | |
| 10 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 12 | |
| 11 | Carlton Town |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 | |
| 12 | Coleshill Town |
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 10 | |
| 13 | Basford United |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 | |
| 14 | Boston Town FC |
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 9 | |
| 15 | Grantham Town |
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 9 | |
| 16 | Bedworth United |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 | |
| 17 | Boldmere St Michaels |
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 | |
| 18 | Barwell |
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 6 | |
| 19 | Corby Town |
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 6 | |
| 20 | Bourne Town |
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 4 | |
| 21 | Long Eaton United FC |
8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 3 | |
| 22 | St Ives Town |
9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 30 | -23 | 1 |
Non League Div One: Northern Midlands 2026/2027 standings as of 14 Nov 2026, 12:12 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.
From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.
