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Botafogo vs São Paulo

Botafogo host São Paulo in the Brazil Serie A on Monday 23 November 2026, kick-off 23:00. Our model makes Botafogo favourites at 53%, with a 25% chance of a draw. In their last 12 meetings, Botafogo won 5, São Paulo won 1 and 6 were drawn.

Brazil Serie A Save
Botafogo
23:00
23 Nov
São Paulo
Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

Botafogo vs São Paulo preview

Botafogo have scored 1.20 goals a game and conceded 1.00 across their last 10 home games in the Serie A this season, while São Paulo have scored 0.80 and conceded 1.80 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 6 of Botafogo's last 10 home games and 6 of São Paulo's last 10 away games. São Paulo have won none of their last 10 away games. Over 9.5 corners has landed in 8 of São Paulo's last 10 away games. Botafogo's last 10 home games have averaged 11.8 corners and São Paulo's last 10 away games 12.9. Stats as of 14 Nov 2026, 11:01 UK.

  • Goals scored Botafogo: 1.20 São Paulo: 0.80
  • Goals conceded Botafogo: 1.00 São Paulo: 1.80
  • Both teams scored Botafogo: 6 of 1060% São Paulo: 6 of 1060%
  • Over 2.5 goals Botafogo: 4 of 1040% São Paulo: 4 of 1040%
  • Match corners Botafogo: 11.80 São Paulo: 12.90
  • Match cards Botafogo: 3.70 São Paulo: 5.20

Botafogo's last 10 home games and São Paulo's last 10 away games in the Serie A this season.

Win probabilities

53%Botafogo 25%Draw 23%São Paulo

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Botafogo vs São Paulo: questions and answers

When is Botafogo vs São Paulo?

Botafogo vs São Paulo kicks off at 23:00 UK time on Monday 23 November 2026 in the Serie A, at Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro.

Who is the favourite in Botafogo vs São Paulo?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Botafogo a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and São Paulo 23%.

How many goals do Botafogo and São Paulo games have?

Botafogo have scored 1.20 goals a game and conceded 1.00 across their last 10 home games in the Serie A this season, while São Paulo have scored 0.80 and conceded 1.80 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 6 of Botafogo's last 10 home games and 6 of São Paulo's last 10 away games.

Where are Botafogo and São Paulo in the Serie A table?

Botafogo are 11th with 42 points from 34 games. São Paulo are 10th with 44 points from 34 games.

Botafogo vs São Paulo stats

Botafogo4W 4D 2L · 10 home games
São Paulo0W 2D 8L · 10 away games
Botafogo vs São Paulo general stats: Botafogo's last 10 home games and São Paulo's last 10 away games in the Serie A this season
BotafogoStatSão Paulo
Match outcomes
4 of 1040% Win 0 of 100%
4 of 1040% Draw 2 of 1020%
2 of 1020% Loss 8 of 1080%
16 Points 2
1.60 Points per game 0.20
2 Goal difference -10
Expected goals
1.37 xG per game 1.20
0.83 xGA per game 1.56
-1.70 xG performance -4.04
Possession & attacks
46% Possession 54%
44.10 Dangerous attacks 46.50
43.00 Dangerous attacks against 41.60
Shots
18.10 Shots for 13.00
13.10 Shots against 15.00
6.00 On target for 3.90
4.70 On target against 5.00
7% Shot conversion 6%
33% On-target accuracy 30%
Tackles & fouls
15.80 Tackles 15.30
11.90 Fouls committed 13.40
12.90 Fouls won 14.00
1.20 Offsides 1.50

Botafogo's last 10 home games and São Paulo's last 10 away games in the Serie A this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 14 Nov 2026, 11:01 UK.

Botafogo vs São Paulo lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.

Botafogo vs São Paulo players

Player rankings

  1. 1 Botafogo Kauan Toledo 1.60
  2. 2 Botafogo Jordan Barrera 1.45
  3. 3 Botafogo Hakim Ziyech 1.39
  4. 4 Botafogo Matheus Martins 1.34
  5. 5 São Paulo Artur 1.31

Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.

Leading scorers and creators

Top scorer
Danilo in 25 games 10goals
Jonathan Calleri in 28 games 10goals
Top creator
Alex Telles in 31 games 5assists
Damián Bobadilla in 23 games 3assists

Players in form

  1. Artur Attacking midfielder · São Paulo 7.33 Form rating
    Apps
    27
    Goals
    4
    Assists
    2
    • Big chances0.50 per 90 Top 13%
    • Dribbles1.59 per 90 Top 13%
    • Shots2.94 per 90 Top 14%
  2. Hakim Ziyech Winger · Botafogo 7.28 Form rating
    Apps
    6
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Final third11.26 per 90 Top 2%
    • Dribble %76% per 90 Top 3%
    • Shots3.94 per 90 Top 4%
  3. Danilo Defensive midfielder · Botafogo 7.18 Form rating
    Apps
    25
    Goals
    10
    Assists
    2
    • Key passes1.65 per 90 Top 7%
    • Recoveries5.97 per 90 Top 16%
  4. Iago Wing-back · São Paulo 7.12 Form rating
    Apps
    15
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    1
    • Tackles2.78 per 90 Top 9%
    • Key passes1.67 per 90 Top 12%
    • Crosses1.43 per 90 Top 12%
  5. Alex Telles Full-back · Botafogo 7.10 Form rating
    Apps
    31
    Goals
    4
    Assists
    5
    • Key passes2.63 per 90 Top 2%
    • Crosses2.65 per 90 Top 2%
    • Big chances0.34 per 90 Top 10%
  6. Domingos Duarte Centre-back · São Paulo 7.09 Form rating
    Apps
    5
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Interceptions1.88 per 90 Top 10%
    • Aerial %66% per 90 Top 22%
    • Final third7.22 per 90 Top 24%
  7. Nahuel Ferraresi Centre-back · Botafogo 7.08 Form rating
    Apps
    29
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    0
    • Tackles2.75 per 90 Top 4%
    • Final third8.66 per 90 Top 11%
    • Recoveries4.65 per 90 Top 11%
  8. Luciano Striker · São Paulo 7.03 Form rating
    Apps
    27
    Goals
    9
    Assists
    2
    • Recoveries3.39 per 90 Top 8%
    • Fouls won2.23 per 90 Top 11%
  9. Damián Bobadilla Central midfielder · São Paulo 7.03 Form rating
    Apps
    23
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    3
    • Big chances0.43 per 90 Top 5%
    • Final third8.57 per 90 Top 14%
    • G+A0.32 per 90 Top 17%
  10. Pedro Lima Wing-back · São Paulo 7.02 Form rating
    Apps
    8
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    1
    • Big chances0.75 per 90 Top 3%
    • xG0.22 per 90 Top 4%
    • Key passes2.28 per 90 Top 5%
  11. Vitinho Full-back · Botafogo 6.97 Form rating
    Apps
    32
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    4
    • Key passes1.63 per 90 Top 8%
    • Big chances0.32 per 90 Top 10%
    • Assists0.18 per 90 Top 13%
  12. Marçal Centre-back · Botafogo 6.94 Form rating
    Apps
    16
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Final third10.32 per 90 Top 5%
    • Passes66.20 per 90 Top 11%
    • Pass %90% per 90 Top 17%

Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

Botafogo vs São Paulo form

Botafogo All venues
2 W · 1 D · 2 L
Points per game
1.40
Scored per game
0.8
Conceded per game
1.2
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
  1. Serie A H Atlético Mineiro 1–0 win xG 1.4–0.5
  2. Serie A A Remo 1–2 defeat xG 0.9–0.9
  3. Serie A A Internacional 0–3 defeat xG 0.8–2.5
  4. Serie A H Chapecoense 1–0 win xG 2.0–0.3
  5. Serie A A Coritiba 1–1 draw xG 1.1–1.3
São Paulo All venues
2 W · 2 D · 1 L
Points per game
1.60
Scored per game
1.2
Conceded per game
1.0
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
  1. Serie A H Corinthians 0–0 draw xG 1.3–1.1
  2. Serie A A Bahia 2–3 defeat xG 1.0–1.3
  3. Serie A A Mirassol 1–1 draw xG 1.5–1.8
  4. Serie A H Vasco da Gama 1–0 win xG 1.2–1.1
  5. Serie A H Vitória 2–1 win xG 1.9–1.2

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Botafogo vs São Paulo head to head

5 Botafogo wins 6 draws 1 São Paulo wins
1.8 goals per game 50% both teams scored 33% over 2.5 goals
  1. 23 Nov 2026Serie A Botafogo 23:00 São Paulo
  2. 23 May 2026Serie A São Paulo 1–1 Botafogo
  3. 14 Sep 2025Serie A São Paulo 1–0 Botafogo
  4. 16 Apr 2025Serie A Botafogo 2–2 São Paulo
  5. 8 Dec 2024Serie A Botafogo 2–1 São Paulo
  6. 26 Sep 2024Copa Libertadores São Paulo 1–1Pens Botafogo
  7. 19 Sep 2024Copa Libertadores Botafogo 0–0 São Paulo
  8. 24 Jul 2024Serie A São Paulo 2–2 Botafogo
  9. 19 Aug 2023Serie A São Paulo 0–0 Botafogo
  10. 15 Apr 2023Serie A Botafogo 2–1 São Paulo
  11. 9 Oct 2022Serie A São Paulo 0–1 Botafogo
  12. 16 Jun 2022Serie A Botafogo 1–0 São Paulo
  13. 22 Feb 2021Serie A Botafogo 1–0 São Paulo

Botafogo vs São Paulo standings

Serie A table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Flamengo 3423747129 +42 76
2 Palmeiras 34211036223 +39 73
3 Cruzeiro 34186105548 +7 60
4 Fluminense 3416995542 +13 57
5 Athletico PR 34159105143 +8 54
6 Bahia 34141195045 +5 53
7 Atlético Mineiro 34148124440 +4 50
8 Bragantino 34138134439 +5 47
9 Santos 341211115049 +1 47
10 São Paulo 34128143939 0 44
11 Botafogo 34119144653 -7 42
12 Coritiba 34119144051 -11 42
13 Vasco da Gama 33118144350 -7 41
14 Mirassol 341010143948 -9 40
15 Vitória 34108163551 -16 38
16 Internacional 34911143842 -4 38
17 Corinthians 34910153642 -6 37
18 Grêmio 34910153847 -9 37
19 Remo 34611173757 -20 29
20 Chapecoense 3349203368 -35 21
  • Botafogo
  • São Paulo
  • Relegation

Serie A 2026 standings as of 14 Nov 2026, 11:01 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Botafogo vs São Paulo odds

Best price across 1 bookmaker, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Botafogo 2.02Kambi Group Drifted 1%from 2.00 53%
Draw 3.45Kambi Group No changefrom 3.45 25%
São Paulo 3.50Kambi Group Shortened 1%from 3.55 23%
Both Teams to Score
Selection Best price Since opening Model
BTTS Yes 1.71Kambi Group No changefrom 1.71 52%
BTTS No 2.02Kambi Group No changefrom 2.02 48%
Total Goals
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Over 2.5 1.88Kambi Group No changefrom 1.88 50%
Under 2.5 1.87Kambi Group No changefrom 1.87 50%
Over 3.5 3.20Kambi Group Shortened 2%from 3.25 28%
Under 3.5 1.32Kambi Group No changefrom 1.32 72%

Prices are decimal. Updated 13 Nov, 23:35. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

53%Botafogo 25%Draw 23%São Paulo
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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.