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Modena vs Calcio Padova

Modena host Calcio Padova in the Italy Serie B on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 14:00. Our model makes Modena favourites at 59%, with a 24% chance of a draw. In their last 3 meetings, Calcio Padova won 2, Modena won 1 and 0 were drawn.

Italy Serie B Save
Modena
14:00
29 Nov
Calcio Padova
Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena

Modena vs Calcio Padova preview

Modena have scored 1.80 goals a game and conceded 1.00 across their last 5 home games in the Serie B this season, while Calcio Padova have scored 1.00 and conceded 1.20 across their last 5 away games. Both teams have scored in 3 of Modena's last 5 home games and 3 of Calcio Padova's last 5 away games. Over 9.5 corners has landed in 4 of Calcio Padova's last 5 away games. Over 3.5 cards has landed in 4 of Modena's last 5 home games. Modena's last 5 home games have averaged 8.2 corners and Calcio Padova's last 5 away games 12.4. Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 21:46 UK.

  • Goals scored Modena: 1.80 Calcio Padova: 1.00
  • Goals conceded Modena: 1.00 Calcio Padova: 1.20
  • Both teams scored Modena: 3 of 560% Calcio Padova: 3 of 560%
  • Over 2.5 goals Modena: 3 of 560% Calcio Padova: 2 of 540%
  • Match corners Modena: 8.20 Calcio Padova: 12.40
  • Match cards Modena: 4.00 Calcio Padova: 2.40

Modena's last 5 home games and Calcio Padova's last 5 away games in the Serie B this season.

Win probabilities

59%Modena 24%Draw 18%Calcio Padova

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Modena vs Calcio Padova: questions and answers

When is Modena vs Calcio Padova?

Modena vs Calcio Padova kicks off at 14:00 UK time on Sunday 29 November 2026 in the Serie B, at Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena.

Who is the favourite in Modena vs Calcio Padova?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Modena a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Calcio Padova 18%.

How many goals do Modena and Calcio Padova games have?

Modena have scored 1.80 goals a game and conceded 1.00 across their last 5 home games in the Serie B this season, while Calcio Padova have scored 1.00 and conceded 1.20 across their last 5 away games. Both teams have scored in 3 of Modena's last 5 home games and 3 of Calcio Padova's last 5 away games.

Where are Modena and Calcio Padova in the Serie B table?

Modena are 2nd with 23 points from 11 games. Calcio Padova are 11th with 15 points from 11 games.

Modena vs Calcio Padova stats

Modena3W 1D 1L · 5 home games
Calcio Padova2W 1D 2L · 5 away games
Modena vs Calcio Padova general stats: Modena's last 5 home games and Calcio Padova's last 5 away games in the Serie B this season
ModenaStatCalcio Padova
Match outcomes
3 of 560% Win 2 of 540%
1 of 520% Draw 1 of 520%
1 of 520% Loss 2 of 540%
10 Points 7
2.00 Points per game 1.40
4 Goal difference -1
Expected goals
1.25 xG per game 0.22
0.61 xGA per game 0.81
2.73 xG performance 3.91
Possession & attacks
61% Possession 42%
65.20 Dangerous attacks 33.00
26.40 Dangerous attacks against 49.00
Shots
23.40 Shots for 11.20
9.00 Shots against 21.40
6.20 On target for 3.20
3.40 On target against 6.40
8% Shot conversion 9%
27% On-target accuracy 29%
Tackles & fouls
13.80 Tackles 16.20
13.80 Fouls committed 8.80
10.40 Fouls won 11.60
2.40 Offsides 3.00

Modena's last 5 home games and Calcio Padova's last 5 away games in the Serie B this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 21:46 UK.

Modena vs Calcio Padova lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.

Modena vs Calcio Padova players

Player rankings

  1. 1 Modena Andrea Belotti 1.72
  2. 2 Calcio Padova Gabriele Artistico 1.16
  3. 3 Modena Giuseppe Ambrosino 1.14
  4. 4 Modena Giuseppe Caso 0.97
  5. 5 Calcio Padova Kevin Lasagna 0.71

Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.

Leading scorers and creators

Top scorer
Andrea Belotti in 8 games 7goals
Gabriele Artistico in 6 games 2goals
Top creator
Gastón Brugman in 11 games 4assists
Matteo Cocchi in 10 games 2assists

Players in form

  1. Giuseppe Ambrosino Striker · Modena 7.26 Form rating
    Apps
    11
    Goals
    3
    Assists
    3
    • Big chances0.56 per 90 Top 4%
    • Key passes1.81 per 90 Top 7%
    • Fouls won2.40 per 90 Top 8%
  2. Alessandro Sorrentino Goalkeeper · Calcio Padova 7.17 Form rating
    Apps
    11
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Saves3.90 per 90 Top 9%
  3. Alessandro Dellavalle Centre-back · Calcio Padova 7.16 Form rating
    Apps
    10
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Tackles3.09 per 90 Top 3%
    • Interceptions1.77 per 90 Top 13%
    • Recoveries4.17 per 90 Top 20%
  4. Gastón Brugman Central midfielder · Modena 7.14 Form rating
    Apps
    11
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    4
    • Final third11.71 per 90 Top 4%
    • Passes68.29 per 90 Top 5%
    • Key passes1.90 per 90 Top 10%
  5. Andrea Belotti Striker · Modena 7.10 Form rating
    Apps
    8
    Goals
    7
    Assists
    0
    • NP goals1.32 per 90 Top 2%
    • Finishing+0.68 per 90 Top 3%
    • On target1.72 per 90 Top 9%
  6. Gabriele Artistico Striker · Calcio Padova 7.04 Form rating
    Apps
    6
    Goals
    2
    Assists
    1
    • NP goals0.60 per 90 Top 10%
    • Finishing+0.21 per 90 Top 16%
    • Aerials3.26 per 90 Top 19%
  7. Christian Pastina Centre-back · Calcio Padova 7.03 Form rating
    Apps
    8
    Goals
    2
    Assists
    0
    • Tackles2.77 per 90 Top 4%
    • Duel %65% per 90 Top 14%
    • Final third7.69 per 90 Top 19%
  8. Daniel Tonoli Full-back · Modena 7.01 Form rating
    Apps
    8
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    3
    • xG0.29 per 90 Top 4%
    • Assists0.28 per 90 Top 5%
    • Key passes1.51 per 90 Top 10%
  9. Steven Nador Centre-back · Modena 7.01 Form rating
    Apps
    10
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Pass %93% per 90 Top 3%
    • Aerial %74% per 90 Top 5%
    • Ball security5.41 per 90 Top 6%
  10. Simone Santoro Central midfielder · Modena 7.01 Form rating
    Apps
    10
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    0
    • Recoveries6.04 per 90 Top 10%
    • Pass %88% per 90 Top 20%
    • Shots1.63 per 90 Top 21%
  11. Luca Zanimacchia Wing-back · Calcio Padova 6.94 Form rating
    Apps
    1
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Pass %86% per 90 Top 4%
    • Crosses1.68 per 90 Top 7%
    • Duel %58% per 90 Top 8%
  12. Emanuele Zuelli Central midfielder · Calcio Padova 6.93 Form rating
    Apps
    11
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    0
    • Final third8.25 per 90 Top 17%
    • Key passes1.44 per 90 Top 22%
    • Pass %87% per 90 Top 27%

Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

Modena vs Calcio Padova form

Modena All venues
3 W · 1 D · 1 L
Points per game
2.00
Scored per game
1.8
Conceded per game
0.8
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
  1. Serie B A Virtus Entella 2–0 win xG 1.3–0.5
  2. Serie B H Mantova 1–1 draw xG 1.5–0.7
  3. Serie B A Vicenza 2–1 win xG 0.7–0.3
  4. Serie B H Cesena 3–0 win xG 2.7–0.3
  5. Serie B A Carrarese 1–2 defeat xG 1.6–1.4
Calcio Padova All venues
2 W · 2 D · 1 L
Points per game
1.60
Scored per game
1.4
Conceded per game
1.0
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
  1. Serie B H Empoli 2–2 draw xG 1.4–1.9
  2. Serie B A Catanzaro 1–1 draw xG 0.4–1.8
  3. Serie B H Südtirol 2–0 win xG 1.4–1.8
  4. Serie B A Avellino 1–0 win xG 0.6–2.3
  5. Serie B H Virtus Entella 1–2 defeat xG 0.5–2.4

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Calcio Padova vs Modena head to head

2 Calcio Padova wins 0 draws 1 Modena wins
2.7 goals per game 33% both teams scored 67% over 2.5 goals
  1. 20 Feb 2027Serie B Calcio Padova 00:00 Modena
  2. 29 Nov 2026Serie B Modena 14:00 Calcio Padova
  3. 28 Feb 2026Serie B Modena 1–2 Calcio Padova
  4. 11 Jan 2026Serie B Calcio Padova 2–0 Modena
  5. 18 Apr 2021Serie C: Girone B Modena 3–0 Calcio Padova

Modena vs Calcio Padova standings

Serie B table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Palermo 118302513 +12 27
2 Modena 117222010 +10 23
3 Ascoli 11551177 +10 20
4 Mantova 115421511 +4 19
5 Hellas Verona 114431913 +6 16
6 Avellino 114431611 +5 16
7 Benevento 114431511 +4 16
8 Pisa 114432017 +3 16
9 Cremonese 114341412 +2 15
10 Südtirol 113621312 +1 15
11 Calcio Padova 114341213 -1 15
12 Cesena 113621214 -2 15
13 Juve Stabia 114431211 +1 14
14 Sampdoria 113261118 -7 11
15 Arezzo 11326920 -11 11
16 Virtus Entella 112451114 -3 10
17 Carrarese 11317914 -5 10
18 Empoli 112361219 -7 9
19 Vicenza 112361424 -10 9
20 Catanzaro 111371123 -12 6
  • Modena
  • Calcio Padova
  • Promotion or qualification
  • Play-offs or qualifying rounds
  • Relegation

Serie B 2026/2027 standings as of 13 Nov 2026, 21:46 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Win probabilities

59%Modena 24%Draw 18%Calcio Padova
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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.