Castellanzese vs Pavia

Castellanzese host Pavia in the Italy Serie D: Girone D on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 13:30. Our model makes Castellanzese favourites at 52%, with a 26% chance of a draw. In their last 2 meetings, Castellanzese won 0, Pavia won 1 and 1 was drawn.

Italy Serie D: Girone D Sun 22 Nov 2026, 13:30 Save

Castellanzese

13:30

22 Nov

Pavia

Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi, Castellanza

Castellanzese vs Pavia preview

Castellanzese have scored 1.50 goals a game and conceded 0.67 across their last 6 home games in the Serie D: Girone D this season, while Pavia have scored 0.60 and conceded 1.20 across their last 5 away games. Both teams have scored in 2 of Castellanzese's last 6 home games and 3 of Pavia's last 5 away games. Pavia have won none of their last 5 away games. Castellanzese's last 6 home games have averaged 8.7 corners and Pavia's last 5 away games 5.8. Stats as of 14 Nov 2026, 11:28 UK.

Goals scored Castellanzese: 1.50 Pavia: 0.60
Goals conceded Castellanzese: 0.67 Pavia: 1.20
Both teams scored Castellanzese: 2 of 633% Pavia: 3 of 560%
Over 2.5 goals Castellanzese: 2 of 633% Pavia: 2 of 540%
Match corners Castellanzese: 8.67 Pavia: 5.80
Match cards Castellanzese: 2.33 Pavia: 2.60

Castellanzese's last 6 home games and Pavia's last 5 away games in the Serie D: Girone D this season.

Win probabilities

52%Castellanzese 26%Draw 23%Pavia

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

More on Castellanzese vs Pavia

Team statsGoals, corners and cards for both teams StandingsCastellanzese 4th, Pavia 13th LineupsTop players for both teams Head to headResults of the last 2 meetings

Castellanzese vs Pavia: questions and answers

When is Castellanzese vs Pavia?

Castellanzese vs Pavia kicks off at 13:30 UK time on Sunday 22 November 2026 in the Serie D: Girone D, at Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi, Castellanza.

Who is the favourite in Castellanzese vs Pavia?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Castellanzese a 52% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Pavia 23%.

How many goals do Castellanzese and Pavia games have?

Where are Castellanzese and Pavia in the Serie D: Girone D table?

Castellanzese are 4th with 19 points from 11 games. Pavia are 13th with 12 points from 11 games.

Castellanzese vs Pavia stats

Last 5 Last 20 Season

All competitions

Castellanzese3W 1D 2L · 6 home games

Pavia0W 2D 3L · 5 away games

Castellanzese vs Pavia general stats: Castellanzese's last 6 home games and Pavia's last 5 away games in the Serie D: Girone D this season
Castellanzese	Stat	Pavia
Match outcomes
3 of 650%	Win	0 of 50%
1 of 617%	Draw	2 of 540%
2 of 633%	Loss	3 of 560%
10	Points	2
1.67	Points per game	0.40
5	Goal difference	-3
Expected goals
0.00	xG per game	0.00
0.00	xGA per game	0.00
9.00	xG performance	3.00
Possession & attacks
27%	Possession	29%
59.50	Dangerous attacks	17.40
69.67	Dangerous attacks against	26.40
Shots
5.83	Shots for	5.80
6.00	Shots against	9.40
2.67	On target for	3.20
2.00	On target against	3.80
26%	Shot conversion	10%
46%	On-target accuracy	55%
Tackles & fouls
0.00	Tackles	0.00
11.83	Fouls committed	0.00
9.83	Fouls won	0.00
2.50	Offsides	0.00

Castellanzese vs Pavia goals stats: Castellanzese's last 6 home games and Pavia's last 5 away games in the Serie D: Girone D this season
Castellanzese	Stat	Pavia
Goals overview
2.17	Goals per game (total)	1.80
9	Goals scored	3
1.50	Scored per game	0.60
4	Goals conceded	6
0.67	Conceded per game	1.20
Outcomes
3 of 650%	Scored first	1 of 520%
2 of 633%	Failed to score	2 of 540%
2 of 633%	Clean sheet	1 of 520%
2 of 633%	BTTS	3 of 560%
1 of 617%	BTTS & over 2.5	2 of 540%
3 of 650%	BTTS or over 2.5	3 of 560%
Total goals
6 of 6100%	Over 0.5	4 of 580%
3 of 650%	Over 1.5	3 of 560%
2 of 633%	Over 2.5	2 of 540%
2 of 633%	Over 3.5	0 of 50%
Goals scored
4 of 667%	Scored 1+	3 of 560%
2 of 633%	Scored 2+	0 of 50%
2 of 633%	Scored 3+	0 of 50%
Goals conceded
4 of 667%	Conceded 1+	4 of 580%
0 of 60%	Conceded 2+	2 of 540%
0 of 60%	Conceded 3+	0 of 50%

Castellanzese vs Pavia halves & timing stats: Castellanzese's last 6 home games and Pavia's last 5 away games in the Serie D: Girone D this season
Castellanzese	Stat	Pavia
Half-time result
2 of 633%	Winning at HT	1 of 520%
3 of 650%	Drawing at HT	2 of 540%
1 of 617%	Losing at HT	2 of 540%

29 more halves & timing stats with ProHalf-time results, goals by half, first and second-half lines, goal timing and late goals for both teams.

Castellanzese vs Pavia corners stats: Castellanzese's last 6 home games and Pavia's last 5 away games in the Serie D: Girone D this season
Castellanzese	Stat	Pavia
Corners per game
8.67	Total corners	5.80
4.33	Corners for	2.80
4.33	Corners against	3.00
1 of 617%	Most corners	1 of 520%
Match corner lines
4 of 667%	Over 7.5	3 of 560%
3 of 650%	Over 8.5	3 of 560%
2 of 633%	Over 9.5	2 of 540%
2 of 633%	Over 10.5	0 of 50%
1 of 617%	Over 11.5	0 of 50%
1 of 617%	Over 12.5	0 of 50%
Corners for lines
2 of 633%	For over 4.5	1 of 520%
2 of 633%	For over 5.5	1 of 520%
2 of 633%	For over 6.5	0 of 50%
1 of 617%	For over 7.5	0 of 50%
Corners against lines
2 of 633%	Against over 4.5	2 of 540%
1 of 617%	Against over 5.5	1 of 520%
1 of 617%	Against over 6.5	0 of 50%
By half
4.33	1H total	4.00
2.17	1H for	2.20
2.17	1H against	1.80
4.33	2H total	1.80
2.17	2H for	0.60
2.17	2H against	1.20

Castellanzese vs Pavia cards stats: Castellanzese's last 6 home games and Pavia's last 5 away games in the Serie D: Girone D this season
Castellanzese	Stat	Pavia
Cards per game
2.33	Total cards	2.60
1.33	Cards received	1.00
1.00	Opponent cards	1.60
2 of 633%	Most cards	0 of 50%
Match card lines
3 of 650%	Over 2.5	2 of 540%
2 of 633%	Over 3.5	2 of 540%
0 of 60%	Over 4.5	1 of 520%
0 of 60%	Over 5.5	1 of 520%
Cards received lines
5 of 683%	Received 1+	3 of 560%
2 of 633%	Received 2+	2 of 540%
1 of 617%	Received 3+	1 of 520%
Opponent card lines
4 of 667%	Opponent 1+	3 of 560%
2 of 633%	Opponent 2+	2 of 540%
0 of 60%	Opponent 3+	1 of 520%
By half
0.33	1H total	0.40
0.33	1H received	0.20
2.33	2H total	2.40
1.17	2H received	1.00

Castellanzese vs Pavia other stats: Castellanzese's last 6 home games and Pavia's last 5 away games in the Serie D: Girone D this season
Castellanzese	Stat	Pavia
Shots & conversion
11.83	Total shots (match)	15.20
4.67	Total on target (match)	7.00
56%	On-target conversion	19%

11 more other stats with ProShot conversion, attacks, set pieces and which side usually has more shots and xG.

Castellanzese's last 6 home games and Pavia's last 5 away games in the Serie D: Girone D this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Castellanzese5W 1D 4L · 10 games

Pavia2W 5D 3L · 10 games

Castellanzese vs Pavia general stats: Castellanzese's last 10 games and Pavia's last 10 games in the Serie D: Girone D this season
Castellanzese	Stat	Pavia
Match outcomes
5 of 1050%	Win	2 of 1020%
1 of 1010%	Draw	5 of 1050%
4 of 1040%	Loss	3 of 1030%
16	Points	11
1.60	Points per game	1.10
6	Goal difference	0
Expected goals
0.00	xG per game	0.00
0.00	xGA per game	0.00
16.00	xG performance	10.00
Possession & attacks
16%	Possession	31%
37.90	Dangerous attacks	31.30
40.70	Dangerous attacks against	32.60
Shots
4.40	Shots for	6.80
4.00	Shots against	7.50
2.20	On target for	3.20
1.60	On target against	2.80
36%	Shot conversion	15%
50%	On-target accuracy	47%
Tackles & fouls
0.00	Tackles	0.00
7.30	Fouls committed	1.10
5.20	Fouls won	1.80
1.10	Offsides	0.50

Castellanzese vs Pavia goals stats: Castellanzese's last 10 games and Pavia's last 10 games in the Serie D: Girone D this season
Castellanzese	Stat	Pavia
Goals overview
2.60	Goals per game (total)	2.00
16	Goals scored	10
1.60	Scored per game	1.00
10	Goals conceded	10
1.00	Conceded per game	1.00
Outcomes
5 of 1050%	Scored first	3 of 1030%
3 of 1030%	Failed to score	3 of 1030%
3 of 1030%	Clean sheet	3 of 1030%
4 of 1040%	BTTS	6 of 1060%
3 of 1030%	BTTS & over 2.5	4 of 1040%
5 of 1050%	BTTS or over 2.5	6 of 1060%
Total goals
10 of 10100%	Over 0.5	8 of 1080%
6 of 1060%	Over 1.5	6 of 1060%
4 of 1040%	Over 2.5	4 of 1040%
3 of 1030%	Over 3.5	2 of 1020%
Goals scored
7 of 1070%	Scored 1+	7 of 1070%
5 of 1050%	Scored 2+	2 of 1020%
2 of 1020%	Scored 3+	1 of 1010%
Goals conceded
7 of 1070%	Conceded 1+	7 of 1070%
1 of 1010%	Conceded 2+	3 of 1030%
1 of 1010%	Conceded 3+	0 of 100%

Castellanzese vs Pavia halves & timing stats: Castellanzese's last 10 games and Pavia's last 10 games in the Serie D: Girone D this season
Castellanzese	Stat	Pavia
Half-time result
2 of 1020%	Winning at HT	3 of 1030%
5 of 1050%	Drawing at HT	4 of 1040%
2 of 1020%	Losing at HT	3 of 1030%

29 more halves & timing stats with ProHalf-time results, goals by half, first and second-half lines, goal timing and late goals for both teams.

Castellanzese vs Pavia corners stats: Castellanzese's last 10 games and Pavia's last 10 games in the Serie D: Girone D this season
Castellanzese	Stat	Pavia
Corners per game
4.40	Total corners	6.10
2.10	Corners for	3.60
2.30	Corners against	2.50
1 of 1010%	Most corners	5 of 1050%
Match corner lines
3 of 1030%	Over 7.5	5 of 1050%
2 of 1020%	Over 8.5	5 of 1050%
1 of 1010%	Over 9.5	4 of 1040%
1 of 1010%	Over 10.5	0 of 100%
1 of 1010%	Over 11.5	0 of 100%
1 of 1010%	Over 12.5	0 of 100%
Corners for lines
1 of 1010%	For over 4.5	4 of 1040%
1 of 1010%	For over 5.5	4 of 1040%
1 of 1010%	For over 6.5	0 of 100%
1 of 1010%	For over 7.5	0 of 100%
Corners against lines
2 of 1020%	Against over 4.5	2 of 1020%
1 of 1010%	Against over 5.5	1 of 1010%
1 of 1010%	Against over 6.5	0 of 100%
By half
2.20	1H total	3.20
0.90	1H for	2.00
1.30	1H against	1.20
2.20	2H total	1.90
1.20	2H for	1.00
1.00	2H against	0.90

Castellanzese vs Pavia cards stats: Castellanzese's last 10 games and Pavia's last 10 games in the Serie D: Girone D this season
Castellanzese	Stat	Pavia
Cards per game
1.30	Total cards	3.40
0.60	Cards received	1.70
0.70	Opponent cards	1.70
1 of 1010%	Most cards	2 of 1020%
Match card lines
3 of 1030%	Over 2.5	6 of 1060%
2 of 1020%	Over 3.5	6 of 1060%
0 of 100%	Over 4.5	5 of 1050%
0 of 100%	Over 5.5	2 of 1020%
Cards received lines
5 of 1050%	Received 1+	7 of 1070%
2 of 1020%	Received 2+	6 of 1060%
0 of 100%	Received 3+	3 of 1030%
Opponent card lines
4 of 1040%	Opponent 1+	7 of 1070%
3 of 1030%	Opponent 2+	5 of 1050%
0 of 100%	Opponent 3+	3 of 1030%
By half
0.40	1H total	0.60
0.20	1H received	0.20
1.40	2H total	3.20
0.60	2H received	1.70

Castellanzese vs Pavia other stats: Castellanzese's last 10 games and Pavia's last 10 games in the Serie D: Girone D this season
Castellanzese	Stat	Pavia
Shots & conversion
8.40	Total shots (match)	14.30
3.80	Total on target (match)	6.00
73%	On-target conversion	31%

11 more other stats with ProShot conversion, attacks, set pieces and which side usually has more shots and xG.

Castellanzese's last 10 games and Pavia's last 10 games in the Serie D: Girone D this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 14 Nov 2026, 11:28 UK.

Castellanzese vs Pavia lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed.

Castellanzese vs Pavia form

Castellanzese All venues

2 W · 1 D · 2 L

Points per game: 1.40
Scored per game: 1.2
Conceded per game: 1.2
Both teams scored: 40%
Over 2.5 goals: 20%

Pavia All venues

2 W · 1 D · 2 L

Points per game: 1.40
Scored per game: 1.4
Conceded per game: 1.2
Both teams scored: 60%
Over 2.5 goals: 60%

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Castellanzese vs Pavia head to head

0 Castellanzese wins 1 draws 1 Pavia wins

0.5 goals per game 0% both teams scored 0% over 2.5 goals

Castellanzese vs Pavia standings

Serie D: Girone D table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Pistoiese	11	9	1	1	24	5	+19	28
2	Lentigione	11	7	3	1	18	10	+8	24
3	Pro Patria	11	6	3	2	14	7	+7	21
4	Castellanzese	11	6	1	4	19	11	+8	19
5	Casatese	11	6	1	4	15	14	+1	19
6	Pro Sesto	11	5	3	3	23	11	+12	18
7	Cittadella Vis Modena	11	5	2	4	12	9	+3	17
8	Solbiatese 1911	11	4	5	2	12	10	+2	17
9	Crema	11	4	3	4	14	17	-3	15
10	Città di Varese	11	3	5	3	17	13	+4	14
11	Sant'Angelo	11	3	4	4	11	14	-3	13
12	Correggese	11	3	4	4	13	17	-4	13
13	Pavia	11	2	6	3	10	10	0	12
14	Varesina	11	2	5	4	14	16	-2	11
15	Coriano	11	2	3	6	10	15	-5	9
16	Pontedera	11	2	1	8	11	27	-16	7
17	Arconatese	11	1	3	7	11	26	-15	6
18	Oltrepò	11	1	3	7	6	22	-16	6

Serie D: Girone D home table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Pistoiese	6	6	0	0	16	2	+14	18
2	Pro Patria	6	3	2	1	6	3	+3	11
3	Pro Sesto	6	3	1	2	17	9	+8	10
4	Castellanzese	6	3	1	2	9	4	+5	10
5	Pavia	6	2	4	0	7	4	+3	10
6	Lentigione	5	3	1	1	6	3	+3	10
7	Cittadella Vis Modena	6	3	1	2	5	4	+1	10
8	Crema	5	3	0	2	10	10	0	9
9	Casatese	6	3	0	3	9	10	-1	9
10		5	2	2	1	9	7	+2	8
11	Varesina	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
12	Correggese	6	2	2	2	8	10	-2	8
13	Città di Varese	5	1	3	1	5	5	0	6
14	Sant'Angelo	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
15	Coriano	6	1	2	3	6	8	-2	5
16	Oltrepò	5	0	2	3	2	7	-5	2
17	Arconatese	5	0	2	3	6	14	-8	2
18	Pontedera	5	0	1	4	3	11	-8	1

Serie D: Girone D away table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lentigione	6	4	2	0	12	7	+5	14
2	Pistoiese	5	3	1	1	8	3	+5	10
3	Pro Patria	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
4	Casatese	5	3	1	1	6	4	+2	10
5	Castellanzese	5	3	0	2	10	7	+3	9
6		6	2	3	1	3	3	0	9
7	Città di Varese	6	2	2	2	12	8	+4	8
8	Pro Sesto	5	2	2	1	6	2	+4	8
9	Sant'Angelo	6	2	2	2	7	9	-2	8
10	Cittadella Vis Modena	5	2	1	2	7	5	+2	7
11	Crema	6	1	3	2	4	7	-3	6
12	Pontedera	6	2	0	4	8	16	-8	6
13	Correggese	5	1	2	2	5	7	-2	5
14	Coriano	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
15	Arconatese	6	1	1	4	5	12	-7	4
16	Oltrepò	6	1	1	4	4	15	-11	4
17	Varesina	6	0	3	3	8	12	-4	3
18	Pavia	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2

Castellanzese
Pavia
Promotion or qualification
Play-offs or qualifying rounds
Relegation

Serie D: Girone D 2026/2027 standings as of 14 Nov 2026, 11:28 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Win probabilities

52%Castellanzese 26%Draw 23%Pavia

Half-time result Pro

Castellanzese
Draw
Pavia

Double chance

Castellanzese or draw 78%
Pavia or draw 48%
Castellanzese or Pavia 74%

Half-time / full-time Pro

Castellanzese/Castellanzese
Castellanzese/Draw
Castellanzese/Pavia
Draw/Castellanzese
Draw/Draw
Draw/Pavia
Pavia/Castellanzese
Pavia/Draw
Pavia/Pavia

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Castellanzese vs Pavia preview

Win probabilities

More on Castellanzese vs Pavia

Castellanzese vs Pavia: questions and answers

Castellanzese vs Pavia stats

Castellanzese vs Pavia lineups

Castellanzese vs Pavia form

Castellanzese vs Pavia head to head

Castellanzese vs Pavia standings

Win probabilities

Half-time result Pro

Double chance

Half-time / full-time Pro

Both teams to score

First to score Pro

Goals 0.5 Pro

Goals 1.5

Goals 2.5

Goals 3.5

Goals 4.5 Pro

First-half goal Pro

Castellanzese goals 0.5 Pro

Castellanzese goals 1.5 Pro

Castellanzese goals 2.5 Pro

Castellanzese goals 3.5 Pro

Pavia goals 0.5 Pro

Pavia goals 1.5 Pro

Pavia goals 2.5 Pro

Pavia goals 3.5 Pro

Corners 4 Pro

Corners 5 Pro

Corners 6 Pro

Corners 7 Pro

Corners 8 Pro

Corners 9 Pro

Corners 10 Pro

Corners 11 Pro

Corners 10.5 Pro

Most likely scores Pro