São Paulo vs Corinthians

São Paulo host Corinthians in the Brazil Serie A on Thursday 5 November 2026, kick-off 00:30. Our model makes São Paulo favourites at 56%, with a 24% chance of a draw. In their last 20 meetings, Corinthians won 4, São Paulo won 9 and 7 were drawn.

Brazil Serie A Thu 5 Nov 2026, 00:30 Save

São Paulo

00:30

5 Nov

Corinthians

Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos Raphael Claus

Win probabilities

56%São Paulo 24%Draw 20%Corinthians

Half-time result Pro

São Paulo
Draw
Corinthians

Double chance

São Paulo or draw 80%
Corinthians or draw 44%
São Paulo or Corinthians 76%

Half-time / full-time Pro

São Paulo/São Paulo
São Paulo/Draw
São Paulo/Corinthians
Draw/São Paulo
Draw/Draw
Draw/Corinthians
Corinthians/São Paulo
Corinthians/Draw
Corinthians/Corinthians

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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

São Paulo vs Corinthians predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation

Form

São Paulo L D W W L

Corinthians W L D L L

Last 5 results in all competitions before kick-off, most recent first.

São PauloCorinthians

40% Win rate 20%

1.20 Goals scored 1.40

1.40 Goals conceded 2.00

60% Both teams score 80%

40% Over 2.5 goals 60%

20% Clean sheets 20%

40% Scored first 20%

1.30 xG for 1.80

1.64 xG against 1.42

12.60 Match corners 9.40

Serie A matches only, before kick-off: 5 each.

50% Win rate 10%

1.20 Goals scored 1.10

1.20 Goals conceded 2.00

50% Both teams score 80%

40% Over 2.5 goals 70%

30% Clean sheets 10%

60% Scored first 20%

1.39 xG for 1.52

1.34 xG against 1.43

13.30 Match corners 11.30

Serie A matches only, before kick-off: 10 each.

36% Win rate 27%

1.18 Goals scored 1.09

1.18 Goals conceded 1.27

58% Both teams score 58%

39% Over 2.5 goals 45%

21% Clean sheets 33%

52% Scored first 36%

1.37 xG for 1.04

1.19 xG against 1.09

11.64 Match corners 9.79

Serie A matches only, before kick-off: 33 each.

São Paulo at home and Corinthians away this season.

63% Win rate 19%

1.56 Goals scored 1.13

0.81 Goals conceded 1.56

56% Both teams score 75%

44% Over 2.5 goals 56%

38% Clean sheets 25%

88% Scored first 25%

1.60 xG for 0.76

1.03 xG against 1.34

11.75 Match corners 10.38

Serie A matches only, before kick-off: 16 each.

Corinthians vs São Paulo head to head

4 Corinthians wins 7 draws 9 São Paulo wins

2.7 goals per game 75% both teams scored 55% over 2.5 goals

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Match info

Where to watch São Paulo vs Corinthians

Football on TV today

Officials: Referee Raphael Claus

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Win probabilities

Half-time result Pro

Double chance

Half-time / full-time Pro

Both teams to score

First to score Pro

Goals 0.5 Pro

Goals 1.5

Goals 2.5

Goals 3.5

Goals 4.5 Pro

First-half goal Pro

São Paulo goals 0.5 Pro

São Paulo goals 1.5 Pro

São Paulo goals 2.5 Pro

São Paulo goals 3.5 Pro

Corinthians goals 0.5 Pro

Corinthians goals 1.5 Pro

Corinthians goals 2.5 Pro

Corinthians goals 3.5 Pro

Corners 4 Pro

Corners 5 Pro

Corners 6 Pro

Corners 7 Pro

Corners 8 Pro

Corners 9 Pro

Corners 10 Pro

Corners 11 Pro

Corners 10.5 Pro

Most likely scores Pro

Form

Corinthians vs São Paulo head to head