Middlesbrough vs Derby County

Middlesbrough host Derby County in the England Championship on Saturday 5 December 2026, kick-off 12:30. Our model makes Middlesbrough favourites at 64%, with a 21% chance of a draw. In their last 8 meetings, Derby County won 3, Middlesbrough won 4 and 1 was drawn.

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England Championship Sat 5 Dec 2026, 12:30 Save

Middlesbrough

12:30

5 Dec

Derby County

Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough vs Derby County preview

Middlesbrough have scored 2.43 goals a game and conceded 1.29 across their last 7 home games in the Championship this season, while Derby County have scored 1.00 and conceded 2.14 across their last 7 away games. Both teams have scored in 5 of Middlesbrough's last 7 home games and 5 of Derby County's last 7 away games. Derby County have won 1 of their last 7 away games. Over 3.5 cards has landed in 1 of Middlesbrough's last 7 home games. Middlesbrough's last 7 home games have averaged 11.9 corners and Derby County's last 7 away games 10.0. Stats as of 15 Nov 2026, 18:28 UK.

Goals scored Middlesbrough: 2.43 Derby County: 1.00
Goals conceded Middlesbrough: 1.29 Derby County: 2.14
Both teams scored Middlesbrough: 5 of 771% Derby County: 5 of 771%
Over 2.5 goals Middlesbrough: 6 of 786% Derby County: 4 of 757%
Match corners Middlesbrough: 11.86 Derby County: 10.00
Match cards Middlesbrough: 2.71 Derby County: 4.43

Middlesbrough's last 7 home games and Derby County's last 7 away games in the Championship this season.

Win probabilities

64%Middlesbrough 21%Draw 15%Derby County

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

More on Middlesbrough vs Derby County

Team statsGoals, corners and cards for both teams LineupsTop players for both teams Head to headResults of the last 8 meetings

Middlesbrough vs Derby County: questions and answers

When is Middlesbrough vs Derby County?

Middlesbrough vs Derby County kicks off at 12:30 UK time on Saturday 5 December 2026 in the Championship, at Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough.

Who is the favourite in Middlesbrough vs Derby County?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Middlesbrough a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Derby County 15%.

How many goals do Middlesbrough and Derby County games have?

Middlesbrough vs Derby County stats

Last 5 Last 20 Season

All competitions

Middlesbrough5W 2D 0L · 7 home games

Derby County1W 2D 4L · 7 away games

Middlesbrough vs Derby County general stats: Middlesbrough's last 7 home games and Derby County's last 7 away games in the Championship this season
Middlesbrough	Stat	Derby County
Match outcomes
5 of 771%	Win	1 of 714%
2 of 729%	Draw	2 of 729%
0 of 70%	Loss	4 of 757%
17	Points	5
2.43	Points per game	0.71
8	Goal difference	-8
Expected goals
2.04	xG per game	1.00
1.08	xGA per game	2.22
2.73	xG performance	0.02
Possession & attacks
60%	Possession	45%
60.71	Dangerous attacks	39.00
43.43	Dangerous attacks against	56.57
Shots
20.43	Shots for	11.86
10.29	Shots against	16.43
7.14	On target for	4.14
2.86	On target against	6.00
12%	Shot conversion	8%
35%	On-target accuracy	35%
Tackles & fouls
15.29	Tackles	15.14
10.71	Fouls committed	8.71
10.00	Fouls won	13.57
2.86	Offsides	2.14

Middlesbrough vs Derby County goals stats: Middlesbrough's last 7 home games and Derby County's last 7 away games in the Championship this season
Middlesbrough	Stat	Derby County
Goals overview
3.71	Goals per game (total)	3.14
17	Goals scored	7
2.43	Scored per game	1.00
9	Goals conceded	15
1.29	Conceded per game	2.14
Outcomes
3 of 743%	Scored first	3 of 743%
0 of 70%	Failed to score	1 of 714%
2 of 729%	Clean sheet	1 of 714%
5 of 771%	BTTS	5 of 771%
5 of 771%	BTTS & over 2.5	3 of 743%
6 of 786%	BTTS or over 2.5	6 of 786%
Total goals
7 of 7100%	Over 0.5	7 of 7100%
6 of 786%	Over 1.5	7 of 7100%
6 of 786%	Over 2.5	4 of 757%
4 of 757%	Over 3.5	2 of 729%
Goals scored
7 of 7100%	Scored 1+	6 of 786%
6 of 786%	Scored 2+	1 of 714%
3 of 743%	Scored 3+	0 of 70%
Goals conceded
5 of 771%	Conceded 1+	6 of 786%
3 of 743%	Conceded 2+	4 of 757%
1 of 714%	Conceded 3+	3 of 743%

Middlesbrough vs Derby County halves & timing stats: Middlesbrough's last 7 home games and Derby County's last 7 away games in the Championship this season
Middlesbrough	Stat	Derby County
Half-time result
2 of 729%	Winning at HT	3 of 743%
2 of 729%	Drawing at HT	0 of 70%
3 of 743%	Losing at HT	4 of 757%

29 more halves & timing stats with ProHalf-time results, goals by half, first and second-half lines, goal timing and late goals for both teams.

Middlesbrough vs Derby County corners stats: Middlesbrough's last 7 home games and Derby County's last 7 away games in the Championship this season
Middlesbrough	Stat	Derby County
Corners per game
11.86	Total corners	10.00
7.43	Corners for	4.71
4.43	Corners against	5.29
4 of 757%	Most corners	4 of 757%
Match corner lines
7 of 7100%	Over 7.5	6 of 786%
6 of 786%	Over 8.5	6 of 786%
6 of 786%	Over 9.5	4 of 757%
4 of 757%	Over 10.5	3 of 743%
4 of 757%	Over 11.5	2 of 729%
3 of 743%	Over 12.5	2 of 729%
Corners for lines
5 of 771%	For over 4.5	4 of 757%
4 of 757%	For over 5.5	3 of 743%
4 of 757%	For over 6.5	1 of 714%
3 of 743%	For over 7.5	0 of 70%
Corners against lines
4 of 757%	Against over 4.5	4 of 757%
2 of 729%	Against over 5.5	2 of 729%
0 of 70%	Against over 6.5	2 of 729%
By half
5.71	1H total	3.43
3.14	1H for	1.57
2.57	1H against	1.86
6.14	2H total	6.57
4.29	2H for	3.14
1.86	2H against	3.43

Middlesbrough vs Derby County cards stats: Middlesbrough's last 7 home games and Derby County's last 7 away games in the Championship this season
Middlesbrough	Stat	Derby County
Cards per game
2.71	Total cards	4.43
1.14	Cards received	2.71
1.57	Opponent cards	1.71
2 of 729%	Most cards	5 of 771%
Match card lines
4 of 757%	Over 2.5	6 of 786%
1 of 714%	Over 3.5	4 of 757%
1 of 714%	Over 4.5	4 of 757%
1 of 714%	Over 5.5	3 of 743%
Cards received lines
4 of 757%	Received 1+	7 of 7100%
3 of 743%	Received 2+	7 of 7100%
1 of 714%	Received 3+	3 of 743%
Opponent card lines
7 of 7100%	Opponent 1+	5 of 771%
3 of 743%	Opponent 2+	4 of 757%
2 of 729%	Opponent 3+	2 of 729%
By half
1.14	1H total	1.43
0.43	1H received	1.00
1.86	2H total	3.14
0.71	2H received	1.86

Middlesbrough vs Derby County other stats: Middlesbrough's last 7 home games and Derby County's last 7 away games in the Championship this season
Middlesbrough	Stat	Derby County
Shots & conversion
30.71	Total shots (match)	28.29
10.00	Total on target (match)	10.14
34%	On-target conversion	24%

11 more other stats with ProShot conversion, attacks, set pieces and which side usually has more shots and xG.

Middlesbrough's last 7 home games and Derby County's last 7 away games in the Championship this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Middlesbrough5W 4D 1L · 10 games

Derby County1W 3D 6L · 10 games

Middlesbrough vs Derby County general stats: Middlesbrough's last 10 games and Derby County's last 10 games in the Championship this season
Middlesbrough	Stat	Derby County
Match outcomes
5 of 1050%	Win	1 of 1010%
4 of 1040%	Draw	3 of 1030%
1 of 1010%	Loss	6 of 1060%
19	Points	6
1.90	Points per game	0.60
8	Goal difference	-11
Expected goals
2.04	xG per game	1.13
0.97	xGA per game	1.94
1.61	xG performance	-2.27
Possession & attacks
61%	Possession	48%
60.50	Dangerous attacks	52.30
39.20	Dangerous attacks against	45.70
Shots
20.10	Shots for	12.90
10.80	Shots against	14.50
6.80	On target for	4.10
2.90	On target against	5.90
11%	Shot conversion	7%
34%	On-target accuracy	32%
Tackles & fouls
15.80	Tackles	17.90
10.70	Fouls committed	9.00
8.90	Fouls won	11.20
2.60	Offsides	2.70

Middlesbrough vs Derby County goals stats: Middlesbrough's last 10 games and Derby County's last 10 games in the Championship this season
Middlesbrough	Stat	Derby County
Goals overview
3.60	Goals per game (total)	2.90
22	Goals scored	9
2.20	Scored per game	0.90
14	Goals conceded	20
1.40	Conceded per game	2.00
Outcomes
5 of 1050%	Scored first	3 of 1030%
2 of 1020%	Failed to score	3 of 1030%
3 of 1030%	Clean sheet	0 of 100%
6 of 1060%	BTTS	7 of 1070%
6 of 1060%	BTTS & over 2.5	4 of 1040%
7 of 1070%	BTTS or over 2.5	8 of 1080%
Total goals
9 of 1090%	Over 0.5	10 of 10100%
8 of 1080%	Over 1.5	8 of 1080%
7 of 1070%	Over 2.5	5 of 1050%
6 of 1060%	Over 3.5	4 of 1040%
Goals scored
8 of 1080%	Scored 1+	7 of 1070%
7 of 1070%	Scored 2+	1 of 1010%
4 of 1040%	Scored 3+	1 of 1010%
Goals conceded
7 of 1070%	Conceded 1+	10 of 10100%
6 of 1060%	Conceded 2+	4 of 1040%
1 of 1010%	Conceded 3+	3 of 1030%

Middlesbrough vs Derby County halves & timing stats: Middlesbrough's last 10 games and Derby County's last 10 games in the Championship this season
Middlesbrough	Stat	Derby County
Half-time result
4 of 1040%	Winning at HT	2 of 1020%
4 of 1040%	Drawing at HT	2 of 1020%
2 of 1020%	Losing at HT	6 of 1060%

29 more halves & timing stats with ProHalf-time results, goals by half, first and second-half lines, goal timing and late goals for both teams.

Middlesbrough vs Derby County corners stats: Middlesbrough's last 10 games and Derby County's last 10 games in the Championship this season
Middlesbrough	Stat	Derby County
Corners per game
10.50	Total corners	10.30
6.60	Corners for	5.70
3.90	Corners against	4.60
5 of 1050%	Most corners	6 of 1060%
Match corner lines
8 of 1080%	Over 7.5	9 of 1090%
6 of 1060%	Over 8.5	9 of 1090%
6 of 1060%	Over 9.5	6 of 1060%
5 of 1050%	Over 10.5	3 of 1030%
4 of 1040%	Over 11.5	3 of 1030%
3 of 1030%	Over 12.5	3 of 1030%
Corners for lines
5 of 1050%	For over 4.5	6 of 1060%
5 of 1050%	For over 5.5	5 of 1050%
4 of 1040%	For over 6.5	3 of 1030%
4 of 1040%	For over 7.5	2 of 1020%
Corners against lines
4 of 1040%	Against over 4.5	4 of 1040%
1 of 1010%	Against over 5.5	3 of 1030%
0 of 100%	Against over 6.5	2 of 1020%
By half
5.60	1H total	4.00
3.80	1H for	2.00
1.80	1H against	2.00
4.90	2H total	6.30
2.80	2H for	3.70
2.10	2H against	2.60

Middlesbrough vs Derby County cards stats: Middlesbrough's last 10 games and Derby County's last 10 games in the Championship this season
Middlesbrough	Stat	Derby County
Cards per game
2.70	Total cards	4.10
1.30	Cards received	1.90
1.40	Opponent cards	2.20
3 of 1030%	Most cards	5 of 1050%
Match card lines
5 of 1050%	Over 2.5	8 of 1080%
2 of 1020%	Over 3.5	7 of 1070%
1 of 1010%	Over 4.5	6 of 1060%
1 of 1010%	Over 5.5	3 of 1030%
Cards received lines
7 of 1070%	Received 1+	9 of 1090%
4 of 1040%	Received 2+	5 of 1050%
2 of 1020%	Received 3+	3 of 1030%
Opponent card lines
10 of 10100%	Opponent 1+	8 of 1080%
3 of 1030%	Opponent 2+	8 of 1080%
2 of 1020%	Opponent 3+	4 of 1040%
By half
1.00	1H total	1.70
0.50	1H received	0.90
1.80	2H total	2.50
0.70	2H received	1.10

Middlesbrough vs Derby County other stats: Middlesbrough's last 10 games and Derby County's last 10 games in the Championship this season
Middlesbrough	Stat	Derby County
Shots & conversion
30.90	Total shots (match)	27.40
9.70	Total on target (match)	10.00
32%	On-target conversion	22%

11 more other stats with ProShot conversion, attacks, set pieces and which side usually has more shots and xG.

Middlesbrough's last 10 games and Derby County's last 10 games in the Championship this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 15 Nov 2026, 18:28 UK.

Middlesbrough vs Derby County lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.

Middlesbrough vs Derby County players

Player rankings

Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.

Leading scorers and creators

Top scorer

Will Lankshear in 13 games 13goals

Sammie Szmodics in 13 games 3goals

Top creator

Amario Cozier-Duberry in 10 games 5assists

Carlton Morris in 11 games 2assists

Players in form

Sebastian Berhalter Central midfielder · Middlesbrough 7.54 Form rating

Apps
15

Goals
3

Assists
2
- Key passes3.59 per 90 Top 1%
- Big chances0.77 per 90 Top 2%
- G+A0.50 per 90 Top 5%
Aidan Morris Defensive midfielder · Middlesbrough 7.37 Form rating

Apps
14

Goals
2

Assists
0
- Touches96.71 per 90 Top 1%
- Passes77.69 per 90 Top 2%
- Pass %91% per 90 Top 4%
Will Lankshear Striker · Middlesbrough 7.35 Form rating

Apps
13

Goals
13

Assists
0
- NP goals1.10 per 90 Top 1%
- On target2.17 per 90 Top 2%
- Finishing+0.44 per 90 Top 2%
Callum Brittain Full-back · Middlesbrough 7.27 Form rating

Apps
15

Goals
1

Assists
2
- Dribbles1.82 per 90 Top 3%
- Key passes1.75 per 90 Top 5%
- Final third8.66 per 90 Top 9%
Amario Cozier-Duberry Winger · Middlesbrough 7.24 Form rating

Apps
10

Goals
3

Assists
5
- Shots3.92 per 90 Top 4%
- Assists0.52 per 90 Top 4%
- Key passes2.22 per 90 Top 14%
Shane Duffy Centre-back · Derby County 7.10 Form rating

Apps
1

Goals
0

Assists
0
- Aerial %76% per 90 Top 4%
- Duel %68% per 90 Top 6%
- Aerials3.82 per 90 Top 7%
Jacob Widell Zetterström Goalkeeper · Derby County 7.07 Form rating

Apps
11

Goals
0

Assists
0
- Saves4.60 per 90 Top 3%
- Touches45.56 per 90 Top 19%
- Recoveries8.98 per 90 Top 30%
Carlton Morris Striker · Derby County 7.00 Form rating

Apps
11

Goals
1

Assists
2
- Aerials6.76 per 90 Top 3%
- Big chances0.50 per 90 Top 4%
- Key passes1.48 per 90 Top 15%
Adilson Malanda Centre-back · Middlesbrough 6.99 Form rating

Apps
14

Goals
1

Assists
0
- Passes82.10 per 90 Top 3%
- Aerials3.57 per 90 Top 10%
- Recoveries4.43 per 90 Top 14%
Eiran Cashin Centre-back · Derby County 6.98 Form rating

Apps
2

Goals
0

Assists
0
- Aerials6.16 per 90 Top 2%
- Final third10.30 per 90 Top 5%
- Tackles2.35 per 90 Top 5%
Joe Ward Full-back · Derby County 6.96 Form rating

Apps
10

Goals
0

Assists
0
- Key passes2.25 per 90 Top 3%
- Crosses1.93 per 90 Top 4%
- Recoveries5.36 per 90 Top 8%
Alex Mowatt Defensive midfielder · Derby County 6.85 Form rating

Apps
12

Goals
0

Assists
0
- Recoveries6.16 per 90 Top 14%
- Final third8.84 per 90 Top 16%
- Touches74.25 per 90 Top 17%

Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season.

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Middlesbrough vs Derby County form

Middlesbrough All venues

2 W · 2 D · 1 L

Points per game: 1.60
Scored per game: 2.0
Conceded per game: 1.0
Both teams scored: 40%
Over 2.5 goals: 60%

Derby County All venues

1 W · 1 D · 3 L

Points per game: 0.80
Scored per game: 1.0
Conceded per game: 2.2
Both teams scored: 60%
Over 2.5 goals: 60%

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Derby County vs Middlesbrough head to head

3 Derby County wins 1 draws 4 Middlesbrough wins

2.1 goals per game 38% both teams scored 50% over 2.5 goals

Win probabilities

64%Middlesbrough 21%Draw 15%Derby County

Half-time result Pro

Middlesbrough
Draw
Derby County

Double chance

Middlesbrough or draw 85%
Derby County or draw 36%
Middlesbrough or Derby County 79%

Half-time / full-time Pro

Middlesbrough/Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough/Draw
Middlesbrough/Derby County
Draw/Middlesbrough
Draw/Draw
Draw/Derby County
Derby County/Middlesbrough
Derby County/Draw
Derby County/Derby County

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Middlesbrough vs Derby County preview

Win probabilities

More on Middlesbrough vs Derby County

Middlesbrough vs Derby County: questions and answers

Middlesbrough vs Derby County stats

Middlesbrough vs Derby County lineups

Middlesbrough vs Derby County players

Player rankings

Leading scorers and creators

Players in form

Middlesbrough vs Derby County form

Derby County vs Middlesbrough head to head

Win probabilities

Half-time result Pro

Double chance

Half-time / full-time Pro

Both teams to score

First to score Pro

Goals 0.5 Pro

Goals 1.5

Goals 2.5

Goals 3.5

Goals 4.5 Pro

First-half goal Pro

Middlesbrough goals 0.5 Pro

Middlesbrough goals 1.5 Pro

Middlesbrough goals 2.5 Pro

Middlesbrough goals 3.5 Pro

Derby County goals 0.5 Pro

Derby County goals 1.5 Pro

Derby County goals 2.5 Pro

Derby County goals 3.5 Pro

Corners 4 Pro

Corners 5 Pro

Corners 6 Pro

Corners 7 Pro

Corners 8 Pro

Corners 9 Pro

Corners 10 Pro

Corners 11 Pro

Corners 10.5 Pro

Most likely scores Pro