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Olot
Espanyol II
Olot have scored 1.40 goals a game and conceded 1.00 across their last 5 home games in the Segunda Division RFEF: Group 2 this season, while Espanyol II have scored 1.80 and conceded 1.20 across their last 5 away games. Both teams have scored in 3 of Olot's last 5 home games and each of Espanyol II's last 5 away games. Over 3.5 cards has landed in each of Olot's last 5 home games and 4 of Espanyol II's last 5 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 4 of Espanyol II's last 5 away games. Olot's last 5 home games have averaged 9.6 corners and Espanyol II's last 5 away games 9.6. Stats as of 14 Nov 2026, 08:35 UK.
Olot's last 5 home games and Espanyol II's last 5 away games in the Segunda Division RFEF: Group 2 this season.
From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market
Olot vs Espanyol II kicks off at 17:00 UK time on Sunday 15 November 2026 in the Segunda Division RFEF: Group 2, at Camp Municipal d'Olot, Olot.
The OddAlerts probability model gives Olot a 20% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Espanyol II 52%.
Olot have scored 1.40 goals a game and conceded 1.00 across their last 5 home games in the Segunda Division RFEF: Group 2 this season, while Espanyol II have scored 1.80 and conceded 1.20 across their last 5 away games. Both teams have scored in 3 of Olot's last 5 home games and each of Espanyol II's last 5 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 4 of Espanyol II's last 5 away games.
Olot are 5th with 18 points from 10 games. Espanyol II are 3rd with 20 points from 9 games.
Olot2W 2D 1L · 5 home games
Espanyol II3W 1D 1L · 5 away games
| Olot | Stat | Espanyol II |
|---|---|---|
| Match outcomes | ||
| 2 of 540% | Win | 3 of 560% |
| 2 of 540% | Draw | 1 of 520% |
| 1 of 520% | Loss | 1 of 520% |
| 8 | Points | 10 |
| 1.60 | Points per game | 2.00 |
| 2 | Goal difference | 3 |
| Expected goals | ||
| 0.00 | xG per game | 0.00 |
| 0.00 | xGA per game | 0.00 |
| 7.00 | xG performance | 9.00 |
| Possession & attacks | ||
| 42% | Possession | 55% |
| 55.00 | Dangerous attacks | 48.60 |
| 60.20 | Dangerous attacks against | 41.20 |
| Shots | ||
| 8.60 | Shots for | 15.60 |
| 10.60 | Shots against | 10.20 |
| 3.40 | On target for | 5.20 |
| 4.40 | On target against | 5.00 |
| 16% | Shot conversion | 12% |
| 40% | On-target accuracy | 33% |
| Tackles & fouls | ||
| 1.80 | Tackles | 0.80 |
| 14.40 | Fouls committed | 12.20 |
| 15.60 | Fouls won | 12.60 |
| 1.80 | Offsides | 1.60 |
| Olot | Stat | Espanyol II |
|---|---|---|
| Goals overview | ||
| 2.40 | Goals per game (total) | 3.00 |
| 7 | Goals scored | 9 |
| 1.40 | Scored per game | 1.80 |
| 5 | Goals conceded | 6 |
| 1.00 | Conceded per game | 1.20 |
| Outcomes | ||
| 2 of 540% | Scored first | 4 of 580% |
| 0 of 50% | Failed to score | 0 of 50% |
| 2 of 540% | Clean sheet | 0 of 50% |
| 3 of 560% | BTTS | 5 of 5100% |
| 2 of 540% | BTTS & over 2.5 | 4 of 580% |
| 3 of 560% | BTTS or over 2.5 | 5 of 5100% |
| Total goals | ||
| 5 of 5100% | Over 0.5 | 5 of 5100% |
| 4 of 580% | Over 1.5 | 5 of 5100% |
| 2 of 540% | Over 2.5 | 4 of 580% |
| 1 of 520% | Over 3.5 | 1 of 520% |
| Goals scored | ||
| 5 of 5100% | Scored 1+ | 5 of 5100% |
| 2 of 540% | Scored 2+ | 3 of 560% |
| 0 of 50% | Scored 3+ | 1 of 520% |
| Goals conceded | ||
| 3 of 560% | Conceded 1+ | 5 of 5100% |
| 2 of 540% | Conceded 2+ | 1 of 520% |
| 0 of 50% | Conceded 3+ | 0 of 50% |
| Olot | Stat | Espanyol II |
|---|---|---|
| Half-time result | ||
| 1 of 520% | Winning at HT | 3 of 560% |
| 2 of 540% | Drawing at HT | 2 of 540% |
| 2 of 540% | Losing at HT | 0 of 50% |
| Olot | Stat | Espanyol II |
|---|---|---|
| Corners per game | ||
| 9.60 | Total corners | 9.60 |
| 5.20 | Corners for | 4.60 |
| 4.40 | Corners against | 5.00 |
| 2 of 540% | Most corners | 2 of 540% |
| Match corner lines | ||
| 4 of 580% | Over 7.5 | 3 of 560% |
| 4 of 580% | Over 8.5 | 3 of 560% |
| 4 of 580% | Over 9.5 | 2 of 540% |
| 1 of 520% | Over 10.5 | 2 of 540% |
| 1 of 520% | Over 11.5 | 2 of 540% |
| 0 of 50% | Over 12.5 | 1 of 520% |
| Corners for lines | ||
| 4 of 580% | For over 4.5 | 2 of 540% |
| 1 of 520% | For over 5.5 | 2 of 540% |
| 1 of 520% | For over 6.5 | 1 of 520% |
| 0 of 50% | For over 7.5 | 1 of 520% |
| Corners against lines | ||
| 3 of 560% | Against over 4.5 | 2 of 540% |
| 2 of 540% | Against over 5.5 | 2 of 540% |
| 1 of 520% | Against over 6.5 | 1 of 520% |
| By half | ||
| 4.60 | 1H total | 5.40 |
| 3.20 | 1H for | 2.20 |
| 1.40 | 1H against | 3.20 |
| 5.00 | 2H total | 4.20 |
| 2.00 | 2H for | 2.40 |
| 3.00 | 2H against | 1.80 |
| Olot | Stat | Espanyol II |
|---|---|---|
| Cards per game | ||
| 4.60 | Total cards | 6.40 |
| 2.60 | Cards received | 3.20 |
| 2.00 | Opponent cards | 3.20 |
| 3 of 560% | Most cards | 2 of 540% |
| Match card lines | ||
| 5 of 5100% | Over 2.5 | 5 of 5100% |
| 5 of 5100% | Over 3.5 | 4 of 580% |
| 3 of 560% | Over 4.5 | 4 of 580% |
| 1 of 520% | Over 5.5 | 3 of 560% |
| Cards received lines | ||
| 5 of 5100% | Received 1+ | 4 of 580% |
| 4 of 580% | Received 2+ | 4 of 580% |
| 3 of 560% | Received 3+ | 3 of 560% |
| Opponent card lines | ||
| 5 of 5100% | Opponent 1+ | 5 of 5100% |
| 4 of 580% | Opponent 2+ | 5 of 5100% |
| 1 of 520% | Opponent 3+ | 4 of 580% |
| By half | ||
| 1.40 | 1H total | 2.80 |
| 1.00 | 1H received | 1.80 |
| 3.40 | 2H total | 4.20 |
| 1.80 | 2H received | 1.60 |
| Olot | Stat | Espanyol II |
|---|---|---|
| Shots & conversion | ||
| 19.20 | Total shots (match) | 25.80 |
| 7.80 | Total on target (match) | 10.20 |
| 41% | On-target conversion | 35% |
Olot's last 5 home games and Espanyol II's last 5 away games in the Segunda Division RFEF: Group 2 this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.
Olot5W 3D 2L · 10 games
Espanyol II6W 2D 1L · 9 games
| Olot | Stat | Espanyol II |
|---|---|---|
| Match outcomes | ||
| 5 of 1050% | Win | 6 of 967% |
| 3 of 1030% | Draw | 2 of 922% |
| 2 of 1020% | Loss | 1 of 911% |
| 18 | Points | 20 |
| 1.80 | Points per game | 2.22 |
| 3 | Goal difference | 14 |
| Expected goals | ||
| 0.00 | xG per game | 0.00 |
| 0.00 | xGA per game | 0.00 |
| 15.00 | xG performance | 22.00 |
| Possession & attacks | ||
| 44% | Possession | 60% |
| 60.50 | Dangerous attacks | 61.44 |
| 55.70 | Dangerous attacks against | 39.56 |
| Shots | ||
| 10.10 | Shots for | 18.56 |
| 10.30 | Shots against | 7.78 |
| 4.30 | On target for | 7.89 |
| 4.70 | On target against | 4.00 |
| 15% | Shot conversion | 13% |
| 43% | On-target accuracy | 43% |
| Tackles & fouls | ||
| 1.00 | Tackles | 0.89 |
| 12.60 | Fouls committed | 14.22 |
| 15.10 | Fouls won | 12.78 |
| 2.50 | Offsides | 1.78 |
| Olot | Stat | Espanyol II |
|---|---|---|
| Goals overview | ||
| 2.70 | Goals per game (total) | 3.33 |
| 15 | Goals scored | 22 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game | 2.44 |
| 12 | Goals conceded | 8 |
| 1.20 | Conceded per game | 0.89 |
| Outcomes | ||
| 3 of 1030% | Scored first | 7 of 978% |
| 2 of 1020% | Failed to score | 0 of 90% |
| 4 of 1040% | Clean sheet | 3 of 933% |
| 5 of 1050% | BTTS | 6 of 967% |
| 4 of 1040% | BTTS & over 2.5 | 5 of 956% |
| 6 of 1060% | BTTS or over 2.5 | 8 of 989% |
| Total goals | ||
| 9 of 1090% | Over 0.5 | 9 of 9100% |
| 8 of 1080% | Over 1.5 | 8 of 989% |
| 5 of 1050% | Over 2.5 | 7 of 978% |
| 3 of 1030% | Over 3.5 | 4 of 944% |
| Goals scored | ||
| 8 of 1080% | Scored 1+ | 9 of 9100% |
| 5 of 1050% | Scored 2+ | 6 of 967% |
| 1 of 1010% | Scored 3+ | 3 of 933% |
| Goals conceded | ||
| 6 of 1060% | Conceded 1+ | 6 of 967% |
| 4 of 1040% | Conceded 2+ | 2 of 922% |
| 1 of 1010% | Conceded 3+ | 0 of 90% |
| Olot | Stat | Espanyol II |
|---|---|---|
| Half-time result | ||
| 1 of 1010% | Winning at HT | 5 of 956% |
| 6 of 1060% | Drawing at HT | 3 of 933% |
| 3 of 1030% | Losing at HT | 1 of 911% |
| Olot | Stat | Espanyol II |
|---|---|---|
| Corners per game | ||
| 8.90 | Total corners | 9.67 |
| 4.10 | Corners for | 5.89 |
| 4.80 | Corners against | 3.78 |
| 3 of 1030% | Most corners | 5 of 956% |
| Match corner lines | ||
| 7 of 1070% | Over 7.5 | 6 of 967% |
| 6 of 1060% | Over 8.5 | 5 of 956% |
| 6 of 1060% | Over 9.5 | 4 of 944% |
| 3 of 1030% | Over 10.5 | 4 of 944% |
| 2 of 1020% | Over 11.5 | 4 of 944% |
| 0 of 100% | Over 12.5 | 3 of 933% |
| Corners for lines | ||
| 5 of 1050% | For over 4.5 | 5 of 956% |
| 2 of 1020% | For over 5.5 | 4 of 944% |
| 2 of 1020% | For over 6.5 | 3 of 933% |
| 1 of 1010% | For over 7.5 | 3 of 933% |
| Corners against lines | ||
| 5 of 1050% | Against over 4.5 | 2 of 922% |
| 4 of 1040% | Against over 5.5 | 2 of 922% |
| 2 of 1020% | Against over 6.5 | 1 of 911% |
| By half | ||
| 4.00 | 1H total | 4.89 |
| 2.40 | 1H for | 2.56 |
| 1.60 | 1H against | 2.33 |
| 4.90 | 2H total | 4.78 |
| 1.70 | 2H for | 3.33 |
| 3.20 | 2H against | 1.44 |
| Olot | Stat | Espanyol II |
|---|---|---|
| Cards per game | ||
| 5.40 | Total cards | 5.89 |
| 2.90 | Cards received | 2.89 |
| 2.50 | Opponent cards | 3.00 |
| 5 of 1050% | Most cards | 3 of 933% |
| Match card lines | ||
| 10 of 10100% | Over 2.5 | 9 of 9100% |
| 9 of 1090% | Over 3.5 | 7 of 978% |
| 7 of 1070% | Over 4.5 | 6 of 967% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 5.5 | 5 of 956% |
| Cards received lines | ||
| 10 of 10100% | Received 1+ | 7 of 978% |
| 8 of 1080% | Received 2+ | 7 of 978% |
| 6 of 1060% | Received 3+ | 6 of 967% |
| Opponent card lines | ||
| 10 of 10100% | Opponent 1+ | 9 of 9100% |
| 9 of 1090% | Opponent 2+ | 8 of 989% |
| 4 of 1040% | Opponent 3+ | 7 of 978% |
| By half | ||
| 1.50 | 1H total | 2.78 |
| 1.00 | 1H received | 1.89 |
| 3.10 | 2H total | 3.44 |
| 1.60 | 2H received | 1.11 |
| Olot | Stat | Espanyol II |
|---|---|---|
| Shots & conversion | ||
| 20.40 | Total shots (match) | 26.33 |
| 9.00 | Total on target (match) | 11.89 |
| 35% | On-target conversion | 31% |
Olot's last 10 games and Espanyol II's last 9 games in the Segunda Division RFEF: Group 2 this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.
Stats as of 14 Nov 2026, 08:35 UK.
Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed.
Girona II
0–4
defeat
Manresa
1–0
win
Barcelona II
2–0
win
Osasuna II
0–0
draw
Terrassa
1–1
draw
Logroñés II
4–2
win
SD Logroñés
2–0
win
Utebo FC
1–2
defeat
Naxara CD
2–1
win
CD Ebro
2–2
draw
Girona
1–3
defeat
Espanyol
0–3
defeat
Valencia II
2–0
win
Reddis
0–1
defeat
Barcelona II
1–1
draw
Castellon II
1–1
draw
Barbastro
1–0
win
Atlético Baleares
0–1
defeat
Porreres
1–2
defeat
Torrent
1–2
defeat
Terrassa
0–1
defeat
Andratx
3–0
win
Girona II
1–4
defeat
Espanyol II
0–0
draw
Atlètic Lleida
1–0
win
Sant Andreu
2–2
draw
Alcoyano
2–0
win
Poblense
1–0
win
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
1–2
defeat
Atlético Baleares
1–1
draw
No games match these filters.
Barbastro
2–2
draw
Logroñés II
3–1
win
Osasuna II
1–0
win
Reddis
1–1
draw
Girona II
2–1
win
Arnedo
5–0
win
Peña Sport
1–2
defeat
Calamocha
5–0
win
SD Logroñés
2–1
win
Vilassar Mar
2–0
win
Gimnàstic Tarragona
3–0
win
Badalona
2–0
win
Europa
0–0
draw
Manresa
1–0
win
Sant Andreu
1–1
draw
L'Escala
1–0
win
Atlético Baleares
0–1
defeat
Valencia II
0–3
defeat
Girona II
2–1
win
Barcelona II
1–3
defeat
Castellon II
2–4
defeat
Barbastro
0–0
draw
Poblense
0–0
draw
Alcoyano
1–1
draw
Sant Andreu
1–2
defeat
Porreres
1–0
win
Torrent
1–2
defeat
Olot
0–0
draw
Terrassa
1–1
draw
Andratx
2–1
win
No games match these filters.
Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona II |
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 5 | +15 | 25 | |
| 2 | Terrassa |
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 21 | |
| 3 | Espanyol II |
9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 8 | +14 | 20 | |
| 4 | Girona II |
10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 19 | |
| 5 | Olot |
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 18 | |
| 6 | CD Ebro |
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 12 | +6 | 17 | |
| 7 | Osasuna II |
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 17 | |
| 8 | Manresa |
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 14 | |
| 9 | Reddis |
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 14 | |
| 10 | Utebo FC |
10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 12 | |
| 11 | Peña Sport |
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 12 | |
| 12 | Barbastro |
10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 | |
| 13 |  CD Tudelano |
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 | |
| 14 | Logroñés II |
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 9 | |
| 15 | SD Logroñés |
10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8 | |
| 16 | Naxara CD |
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 6 | |
| 17 | Arnedo |
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 5 | |
| 18 | Calamocha |
9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 4 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona II |
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | +12 | 15 | |
| 2 | Osasuna II |
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | +8 | 13 | |
| 3 | Girona II |
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | +9 | 12 | |
| 4 | Espanyol II |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 2 | +11 | 10 | |
| 5 | Terrassa |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 10 | |
| 6 | CD Ebro |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 10 | |
| 7 | Peña Sport |
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 8 | |
| 8 | Olot |
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 8 | |
| 9 | Manresa |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 | |
| 10 | Reddis |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 7 | |
| 11 | Utebo FC |
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 | |
| 12 | SD Logroñés |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | |
| 13 | Naxara CD |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | |
| 14 | Barbastro |
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 5 | |
| 15 | CD Tudelano |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 | |
| 16 | Logroñés II |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 | |
| 17 | Arnedo |
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | |
| 18 | Calamocha |
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Terrassa |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 11 | |
| 2 | Espanyol II |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 | |
| 3 | Barcelona II |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 10 | |
| 4 | Olot |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 | |
| 5 | Manresa |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 7 | |
| 6 | CD Ebro |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 7 | |
| 7 | Girona II |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | |
| 8 | Reddis |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 7 | |
| 9 | Utebo FC |
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 | |
| 10 | Logroñés II |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 | |
| 11 | CD Tudelano |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 4 | |
| 12 | Barbastro |
5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | |
| 13 | Osasuna II |
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | |
| 14 | Peña Sport |
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 4 | |
| 15 | SD Logroñés |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 2 | |
| 16 | Arnedo |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 1 | |
| 17 | Naxara CD |
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 1 | |
| 18 | Calamocha |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 |
Segunda Division RFEF: Group 2 2026/2027 standings as of 14 Nov 2026, 08:35 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.
Best price across 4 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olot | 3.23Pinnacle | Shortened 1%from 3.26 | 20% |
| Draw | 3.10Bet365 | No changefrom 3.10 | 28% |
| Espanyol II | 2.25WilliamHill | No changefrom 2.25 | 52% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olot or Draw | 1.57Bet365 | Drifted 1%from 1.55 | 48% |
| Draw or Espanyol II | 1.30Bet365 | Shortened 2%from 1.33 | 81% |
| Olot or Espanyol II | 1.36WilliamHill | No changefrom 1.36 | 72% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olot | 2.20Bet365 | Drifted 5%from 2.10 | 27% |
| Espanyol II | 1.61Bet365 | Shortened 3%from 1.66 | 73% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 1.771xBet | Shortened 3%from 1.83 | 45% |
| BTTS No | 2.00WilliamHill | Drifted 9%from 1.83 | 55% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.31Pinnacle | Shortened 4%from 1.37 | 66% |
| Under 1.5 | 3.18Pinnacle | Drifted 14%from 2.80 | 34% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.10Bet365 | Shortened 2%from 2.15 | 40% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.72Pinnacle | Drifted 8%from 1.59 | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 3.501xBet | Shortened 9%from 3.86 | 20% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.221xBet | Drifted 3%from 1.18 | 80% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olot | 4.001xBet | Drifted 5%from 3.82 | – |
| Draw | 2.15WilliamHill | Drifted 5%from 2.05 | – |
| Espanyol II | 2.921xBet | Shortened 1%from 2.96 | – |
Prices are decimal. Updated 13 Nov, 22:12. Gamble responsibly, 18+.
From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.
