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Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern München

Hamburger SV host FC Bayern München in the Germany Bundesliga on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 14:30. Our model makes FC Bayern München favourites at 72%, with a 16% chance of a draw. In their last 2 meetings, FC Bayern München won 1, Hamburger SV won 0 and 1 was drawn.

Germany Bundesliga Save
Hamburger SV
14:30
28 Nov
FC Bayern München
Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern München preview

Hamburger SV have scored 1.30 goals a game and conceded 1.70 across their last 10 home games in all competitions, while FC Bayern München have scored 2.10 and conceded 1.00 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 7 of Hamburger SV's last 10 home games and 7 of FC Bayern München's last 10 away games. Over 3.5 cards has landed in 8 of Hamburger SV's last 10 home games. Hamburger SV's last 10 home games have averaged 9.5 corners and FC Bayern München's last 10 away games 12.3. Stats as of 14 Nov 2026, 10:48 UK.

  • Goals scored Hamburger SV: 1.30 FC Bayern München: 2.10
  • Goals conceded Hamburger SV: 1.70 FC Bayern München: 1.00
  • Both teams scored Hamburger SV: 7 of 1070% FC Bayern München: 7 of 1070%
  • Over 2.5 goals Hamburger SV: 6 of 1060% FC Bayern München: 7 of 1070%
  • Match corners Hamburger SV: 9.50 FC Bayern München: 12.30
  • Match cards Hamburger SV: 4.30 FC Bayern München: 2.50

Hamburger SV's last 10 home games and FC Bayern München's last 10 away games in all competitions.

Win probabilities

12%Hamburger SV 16%Draw 72%FC Bayern München

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern München: questions and answers

When is Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern München?

Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern München kicks off at 14:30 UK time on Saturday 28 November 2026 in the Bundesliga, at Volksparkstadion, Hamburg.

Who is the favourite in Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern München?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Hamburger SV a 12% chance of winning, the draw 16% and FC Bayern München 72%.

How many goals do Hamburger SV and FC Bayern München games have?

Hamburger SV have scored 1.30 goals a game and conceded 1.70 across their last 10 home games in all competitions, while FC Bayern München have scored 2.10 and conceded 1.00 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 7 of Hamburger SV's last 10 home games and 7 of FC Bayern München's last 10 away games.

Where are Hamburger SV and FC Bayern München in the Bundesliga table?

Hamburger SV are 11th with 12 points from 9 games. FC Bayern München are 1st with 21 points from 9 games.

Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern München stats

Hamburger SV4W 2D 4L · 10 home games
FC Bayern München7W 3D 0L · 10 away games
Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern München general stats: Hamburger SV's last 10 home games and FC Bayern München's last 10 away games in all competitions
Hamburger SVStatFC Bayern München
Match outcomes
4 of 1040% Win 7 of 1070%
2 of 1020% Draw 3 of 1030%
4 of 1040% Loss 0 of 100%
14 Points 24
1.40 Points per game 2.40
-4 Goal difference 11
Expected goals
1.46 xG per game 2.56
1.82 xGA per game 0.94
-1.63 xG performance -4.56
Possession & attacks
45% Possession 67%
36.50 Dangerous attacks 92.20
47.60 Dangerous attacks against 35.10
Shots
12.60 Shots for 21.90
15.20 Shots against 9.40
4.30 On target for 8.00
4.70 On target against 3.00
10% Shot conversion 10%
34% On-target accuracy 37%
Tackles & fouls
18.40 Tackles 18.30
13.40 Fouls committed 9.60
11.40 Fouls won 7.80
0.80 Offsides 2.20

Hamburger SV's last 10 home games and FC Bayern München's last 10 away games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 14 Nov 2026, 10:48 UK.

Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern München league rankings

Where each side ranks among the 18 Bundesliga teams, over their last 10 league games.

Hamburger SV and FC Bayern München Bundesliga rankings, last 10 league games
Hamburger SV Stat FC Bayern München
1.33 =8th highest Points per game 2.33 Joint highest
1.11 =14th most Goals scored per game 3.22 Most
2.22 =14th fewest Goals conceded per game 1.00 2nd fewest
6 of 9 =11th most Over 2.5 goals 8 of 9 Joint most
4 of 9 =13th most Both teams scored 7 of 9 =2nd most
1 of 9 =11th most Clean sheets 2 of 9 =7th most
4 of 9 =15th fewest Failed to score 1 of 9 =3rd fewest
4 of 9 10th most Scored first 7 of 9 Most
4.1 16th most Corners won per game 8.6 Most
3.8 =9th most Yellow cards per game 2.9 16th most
See all 218 stats on the Bundesliga form guide Rank every team on xG, shots, corners, cards, halves and more, over any recent window.

Ranks are out of 18; ties are marked =. Updated 14 Nov 2026, 10:48 UK.

Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern München lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.

Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern München players

Player rankings

  1. 1 FC Bayern München Luis Díaz 1.90
  2. 2 FC Bayern München Michael Olise 1.84
  3. 3 FC Bayern München Ismael Saibari 1.73
  4. 4 FC Bayern München Harry Kane 1.49
  5. 5 FC Bayern München Jamal Musiala 1.38

Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.

Leading scorers and creators

Top scorer
Miro Muheim in 5 games 3goals
Michael Olise in 9 games 6goals
Top creator
Albert Grønbæk in 8 games 4assists
Harry Kane in 9 games 8assists

Players in form

  1. Michael Olise Winger · FC Bayern München 7.94 Form rating
    Apps
    9
    Goals
    6
    Assists
    4
    • Key passes4.35 per 90 Top 1%
    • Big chances0.95 per 90 Top 2%
    • NP goals0.58 per 90 Top 3%
  2. Joshua Kimmich Defensive midfielder · FC Bayern München 7.80 Form rating
    Apps
    8
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    3
    • Final third18.42 per 90 Top 1%
    • Passes100.96 per 90 Top 1%
    • Touches117.09 per 90 Top 1%
  3. Harry Kane Striker · FC Bayern München 7.74 Form rating
    Apps
    9
    Goals
    4
    Assists
    8
    • Assists0.88 per 90 Top 1%
    • Big chances0.98 per 90 Top 1%
    • xG0.89 per 90 Top 2%
  4. Aleksandar Pavlovic Defensive midfielder · FC Bayern München 7.28 Form rating
    Apps
    8
    Goals
    2
    Assists
    1
    • Passes98.70 per 90 Top 1%
    • Touches111.13 per 90 Top 2%
    • Pass %93% per 90 Top 3%
  5. Luis Díaz Winger · FC Bayern München 7.24 Form rating
    Apps
    6
    Goals
    4
    Assists
    1
    • NP goals0.85 per 90 Top 1%
    • xG0.47 per 90 Top 4%
    • Shots3.32 per 90 Top 5%
  6. Dayot Upamecano Centre-back · FC Bayern München 7.23 Form rating
    Apps
    9
    Goals
    3
    Assists
    0
    • xG0.24 per 90 Top 1%
    • Recoveries6.48 per 90 Top 1%
    • Tackles3.09 per 90 Top 3%
  7. Albert Grønbæk Attacking midfielder · Hamburger SV 7.13 Form rating
    Apps
    8
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    4
    • Assists0.61 per 90 Top 2%
    • Big chances0.78 per 90 Top 4%
    • Tackles2.45 per 90 Top 7%
  8. Miro Muheim Wing-back · Hamburger SV 7.05 Form rating
    Apps
    5
    Goals
    3
    Assists
    1
    • Final third6.39 per 90 Top 9%
    • Key passes2.12 per 90 Top 10%
    • Crosses1.26 per 90 Top 16%
  9. Martin Adeline Central midfielder · Hamburger SV 7.04 Form rating
    Apps
    8
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Big chances0.40 per 90 Top 7%
    • G+A0.42 per 90 Top 9%
    • Recoveries5.79 per 90 Top 15%
  10. Daniel Heuer Fernandes Goalkeeper · Hamburger SV 7.01 Form rating
    Apps
    9
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Passes46.78 per 90 Top 2%
    • Touches54.58 per 90 Top 3%
    • Saves4.13 per 90 Top 4%
  11. Zakaria El Ouahdi Wing-back · Hamburger SV 6.94 Form rating
    Apps
    7
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    1
    • Duel %58% per 90 Top 13%
    • Dribbles1.36 per 90 Top 16%
    • xG0.12 per 90 Top 20%
  12. Fábio Vieira Attacking midfielder · Hamburger SV 6.90 Form rating
    Apps
    6
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Shots3.13 per 90 Top 15%

Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern München form

Hamburger SV All venues
2 W · 0 D · 3 L
Points per game
1.20
Scored per game
1.2
Conceded per game
1.6
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
  1. Bundesliga H Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–1 win xG 1.9–1.7
  2. Bundesliga A Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 defeat xG 1.3–2.0
  3. DFB Pokal H Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 defeat xG 2.5–1.9
  4. Bundesliga A Paderborn 0–1 defeat xG 0.5–1.5
  5. Bundesliga H VfB Stuttgart 1–0 win xG 1.0–1.9
FC Bayern München All venues
4 W · 1 D · 0 L
Points per game
2.60
Scored per game
3.0
Conceded per game
1.0
Both teams scored
80%
Over 2.5 goals
80%
  1. Bundesliga A FSV Mainz 05 2–1 win xG 2.9–0.8
  2. Champions League A Atlético de Madrid 2–0 win xG 2.1–0.7
  3. Bundesliga H Borussia Dortmund 2–2 draw xG 3.3–0.7
  4. DFB Pokal H Magdeburg 6–1 win xG 3.9–0.9
  5. Bundesliga A SC Freiburg 3–1 win xG 1.9–1.2

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

FC Bayern München vs Hamburger SV head to head

1 FC Bayern München wins 1 draws 0 Hamburger SV wins
4.5 goals per game 50% both teams scored 100% over 2.5 goals
  1. 3 Apr 2027Bundesliga FC Bayern München 01:00 Hamburger SV
  2. 28 Nov 2026Bundesliga Hamburger SV 14:30 FC Bayern München
  3. 31 Jan 2026Bundesliga Hamburger SV 2–2 FC Bayern München
  4. 13 Sep 2025Bundesliga FC Bayern München 5–0 Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern München standings

Bundesliga table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 FC Bayern München 9630299 +20 21
2 Borussia Dortmund 9630167 +9 21
3 SC Freiburg 96122010 +10 19
4 RB Leipzig 96032713 +14 18
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 95132017 +3 16
6 Werder Bremen 94321715 +2 15
7 Elversberg 94141718 -1 13
8 VfB Stuttgart 94051515 0 12
9 TSG Hoffenheim 94051617 -1 12
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 93331520 -5 12
11 Hamburger SV 94051020 -10 12
12 FSV Mainz 05 93151819 -1 10
13 Paderborn 9243811 -3 10
14 FC Augsburg 92342020 0 9
15 FC Köln 92341014 -4 9
16 FC Union Berlin 9144721 -14 7
17 Schalke 04 9135511 -6 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 91171225 -13 4
  • Hamburger SV
  • FC Bayern München
  • Relegation
Full Bundesliga table

Bundesliga 2026/2027 standings as of 14 Nov 2026, 10:48 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern München odds

Best price across 4 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Hamburger SV 18.001xBet Shortened 3%from 18.50 12%
Draw 10.701xBet Drifted 10%from 9.70 16%
FC Bayern München 1.16Betano No changefrom 1.16 72%
Double Chance
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Hamburger SV or Draw 6.00Bet365 No changefrom 6.00 28%
Draw or FC Bayern München 1.03Bet365 No changefrom 1.03 88%
Hamburger SV or FC Bayern München 1.08Bet365 No changefrom 1.08 84%
Draw No Bet
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Hamburger SV 13.00Bet365 No changefrom 13.00 14%
FC Bayern München 1.04Bet365 No changefrom 1.04 86%
Both Teams to Score
Selection Best price Since opening Model
BTTS Yes 1.67Bet365 No changefrom 1.67 56%
BTTS No 2.171xBet Shortened 2%from 2.22 44%
Total Goals
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Over 1.5 1.06Betano No changefrom 1.06 84%
Under 1.5 11.00Bet365 No changefrom 11.00 16%
Over 2.5 1.20Betano No changefrom 1.20 66%
Under 2.5 4.601xBet Shortened 4%from 4.77 34%
Over 3.5 1.511xBet Drifted 2%from 1.48 46%
Under 3.5 2.62Bet365 No changefrom 2.63 54%
Half-Time Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Hamburger SV 10.00Bet365 No changefrom 10.00 –
Draw 3.75Bet365 No changefrom 3.75 –
FC Bayern München 1.40Bet365 No changefrom 1.40 –

Prices are decimal. Updated 14 Nov, 10:04. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

12%Hamburger SV 16%Draw 72%FC Bayern München
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.