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Monza vs Fiorentina

Monza host Fiorentina in the Italy Serie A on Monday 23 November 2026, kick-off 19:45. Our model makes Monza favourites at 38%, with a 26% chance of a draw. In their last 6 meetings, Fiorentina won 2, Monza won 2 and 2 were drawn.

Italy Serie A Save
Monza
19:45
23 Nov
Fiorentina
U-Power Stadium, Monza

Monza vs Fiorentina preview

Monza have scored 1.80 goals a game and conceded 1.80 across their last 5 home games in the Serie A this season, while Fiorentina have scored 2.00 and conceded 2.40 across their last 5 away games. Both teams have scored in 3 of Monza's last 5 home games and 4 of Fiorentina's last 5 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 4 of Monza's last 5 home games and each of Fiorentina's last 5 away games. Over 9.5 corners has landed in 1 of Monza's last 5 home games and none of Fiorentina's last 5 away games. Monza's last 5 home games have averaged 8.0 corners and Fiorentina's last 5 away games 6.6. Stats as of 14 Nov 2026, 01:59 UK.

  • Goals scored Monza: 1.80 Fiorentina: 2.00
  • Goals conceded Monza: 1.80 Fiorentina: 2.40
  • Both teams scored Monza: 3 of 560% Fiorentina: 4 of 580%
  • Over 2.5 goals Monza: 4 of 580% Fiorentina: 5 of 5100%
  • Match corners Monza: 8.00 Fiorentina: 6.60
  • Match cards Monza: 3.60 Fiorentina: 4.60

Monza's last 5 home games and Fiorentina's last 5 away games in the Serie A this season.

Win probabilities

38%Monza 26%Draw 36%Fiorentina

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Monza vs Fiorentina: questions and answers

When is Monza vs Fiorentina?

Monza vs Fiorentina kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Monday 23 November 2026 in the Serie A, at U-Power Stadium, Monza.

Who is the favourite in Monza vs Fiorentina?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Monza a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Fiorentina 36%.

How many goals do Monza and Fiorentina games have?

Monza have scored 1.80 goals a game and conceded 1.80 across their last 5 home games in the Serie A this season, while Fiorentina have scored 2.00 and conceded 2.40 across their last 5 away games. Both teams have scored in 3 of Monza's last 5 home games and 4 of Fiorentina's last 5 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 4 of Monza's last 5 home games and each of Fiorentina's last 5 away games.

Where are Monza and Fiorentina in the Serie A table?

Monza are 18th with 7 points from 11 games. Fiorentina are 15th with 9 points from 11 games.

Monza vs Fiorentina stats

Monza2W 0D 3L · 5 home games
Fiorentina2W 0D 3L · 5 away games
Monza vs Fiorentina general stats: Monza's last 5 home games and Fiorentina's last 5 away games in the Serie A this season
MonzaStatFiorentina
Match outcomes
2 of 540% Win 2 of 540%
0 of 50% Draw 0 of 50%
3 of 560% Loss 3 of 560%
6 Points 6
1.20 Points per game 1.20
0 Goal difference -2
Expected goals
1.49 xG per game 1.38
1.63 xGA per game 1.79
1.57 xG performance 3.10
Possession & attacks
43% Possession 44%
38.40 Dangerous attacks 39.40
36.20 Dangerous attacks against 58.80
Shots
15.60 Shots for 12.60
15.40 Shots against 15.40
5.80 On target for 5.00
6.40 On target against 5.60
12% Shot conversion 16%
37% On-target accuracy 40%
Tackles & fouls
18.00 Tackles 17.00
8.80 Fouls committed 12.40
11.60 Fouls won 11.20
1.60 Offsides 1.60

Monza's last 5 home games and Fiorentina's last 5 away games in the Serie A this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 14 Nov 2026, 01:59 UK.

Monza vs Fiorentina lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.

Monza vs Fiorentina players

Player rankings

  1. 1 Monza Patrick Cutrone 1.70
  2. 2 Monza Gustavo Varela 1.55
  3. 3 Monza Andrea Colpani 1.36
  4. 4 Monza Dany Mota 1.21
  5. 5 Fiorentina Franco Mastantuono 1.19

Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.

Leading scorers and creators

Top scorer
Gustavo Varela in 10 games 9goals
Franco Mastantuono in 11 games 4goals
Top creator
Dany Mota in 8 games 2assists
Cher Ndour in 11 games 3assists

Players in form

  1. Franco Mastantuono Winger · Fiorentina 7.15 Form rating
    Apps
    11
    Goals
    4
    Assists
    0
    • Tackles2.89 per 90 Top 2%
    • Shots4.10 per 90 Top 3%
    • xG0.35 per 90 Top 10%
  2. Gustavo Varela Striker · Monza 7.13 Form rating
    Apps
    10
    Goals
    9
    Assists
    1
    • Finishing+0.34 per 90 Top 4%
    • NP goals0.65 per 90 Top 11%
    • On target1.55 per 90 Top 15%
  3. Valentin Antov Centre-back · Monza 7.04 Form rating
    Apps
    1
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Aerials3.39 per 90 Top 12%
    • Final third8.23 per 90 Top 14%
    • Tackles2.15 per 90 Top 17%
  4. Pedro Gonçalves Winger · Fiorentina 7.03 Form rating
    Apps
    8
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    2
    • Key passes3.95 per 90 Top 3%
    • Assists0.59 per 90 Top 5%
    • Big chances0.60 per 90 Top 11%
  5. Matteo Pessina Central midfielder · Monza 7.01 Form rating
    Apps
    1
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Final third8.88 per 90 Top 5%
    • Recoveries5.42 per 90 Top 7%
    • Passes53.48 per 90 Top 10%
  6. Mateo Pellegrino Striker · Fiorentina 7.00 Form rating
    Apps
    11
    Goals
    4
    Assists
    0
    • Finishing+0.20 per 90 Top 9%
    • Fouls won1.89 per 90 Top 15%
    • Aerials2.91 per 90 Top 20%
  7. Alieu Njie Winger · Fiorentina 7.00 Form rating
    Apps
    10
    Goals
    3
    Assists
    2
    • NP goals0.47 per 90 Top 5%
    • xG0.34 per 90 Top 14%
    • Assists0.38 per 90 Top 14%
  8. Noel Törnqvist Goalkeeper · Monza 6.98 Form rating
    Apps
    7
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Saves3.50 per 90 Top 26%
  9. Dany Mota Attacking midfielder · Monza 6.92 Form rating
    Apps
    8
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    2
    • Duels won7.11 per 90 Top 7%
    • xG0.33 per 90 Top 28%
    • Assists0.29 per 90 Top 30%
  10. Álex Jiménez Full-back · Fiorentina 6.90 Form rating
    Apps
    10
    Goals
    2
    Assists
    2
    • Recoveries5.64 per 90 Top 5%
    • Dribbles1.27 per 90 Top 6%
    • Key passes1.73 per 90 Top 7%
  11. Patrick Cutrone Attacking midfielder · Monza 6.88 Form rating
    Apps
    7
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • xG0.77 per 90 Top 1%
    • Shots3.89 per 90 Top 4%
    • Big chances0.68 per 90 Top 11%
  12. Cher Ndour Central midfielder · Fiorentina 6.87 Form rating
    Apps
    11
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    3
    • Ball security8.41 per 90 Top 18%
    • G+A0.30 per 90 Top 19%
    • Recoveries5.25 per 90 Top 24%

Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

Monza vs Fiorentina form

Monza All venues
1 W · 0 D · 4 L
Points per game
0.60
Scored per game
1.6
Conceded per game
2.0
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
80%
  1. Serie A H Atalanta 0–1 defeat xG 2.0–1.4
  2. Serie A A Bologna 1–2 defeat xG 1.8–2.2
  3. Serie A H Napoli 1–4 defeat xG 0.9–1.8
  4. Serie A A Torino 2–3 defeat xG 0.3–1.3
  5. Serie A H Cagliari 4–0 win xG 1.3–2.1
Fiorentina All venues
1 W · 2 D · 2 L
Points per game
1.00
Scored per game
2.0
Conceded per game
2.2
Both teams scored
100%
Over 2.5 goals
100%
  1. Serie A H Juventus 2–2 draw xG 2.9–2.1
  2. Serie A A Sassuolo 4–2 win xG 2.1–0.7
  3. Serie A H Atalanta 2–2 draw xG 1.9–1.1
  4. Serie A A Inter 1–2 defeat xG 0.4–3.5
  5. Serie A H Como 1–3 defeat xG 1.9–1.8

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Fiorentina vs Monza head to head

2 Fiorentina wins 2 draws 2 Monza wins
3.0 goals per game 83% both teams scored 67% over 2.5 goals
  1. 23 May 2027Serie A Fiorentina 01:00 Monza
  2. 23 Nov 2026Serie A Monza 19:45 Fiorentina
  3. 13 Jan 2025Serie A Monza 2–1 Fiorentina
  4. 1 Sep 2024Serie A Fiorentina 2–2 Monza
  5. 13 May 2024Serie A Fiorentina 2–1 Monza
  6. 22 Dec 2023Serie A Monza 0–1 Fiorentina
  7. 23 Apr 2023Serie A Monza 3–2 Fiorentina
  8. 4 Jan 2023Serie A Fiorentina 1–1 Monza

Monza vs Fiorentina standings

Serie A table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Lazio 11920259 +16 29
2 Inter 119112813 +15 28
3 Roma 118303110 +21 27
4 AC Milan 117312313 +10 24
5 Como 117221810 +8 23
6 Frosinone 116232415 +9 20
7 Juventus 115331512 +3 18
8 Bologna 115241614 +2 17
9 Cagliari 115151015 -5 16
10 Napoli 114341814 +4 15
11 Torino 114251517 -2 14
12 Atalanta 114251720 -3 14
13 Genoa 114161116 -5 13
14 Lecce 113171222 -10 10
15 Fiorentina 112361725 -8 9
16 Parma 11227917 -8 8
17 Sassuolo 112271629 -13 8
18 Monza 112181725 -8 7
19 Venezia 11209821 -13 6
20 Udinese 111281225 -13 5
  • Monza
  • Fiorentina
  • Relegation
Full Serie A table

Serie A 2026/2027 standings as of 14 Nov 2026, 01:59 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Monza vs Fiorentina odds

Best price across 7 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Monza 3.661xBet Shortened 9%from 4.00 38%
Draw 3.991xBet Drifted 1%from 3.94 26%
Fiorentina 2.07Betano Drifted 8%from 1.91 36%
Double Chance
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Monza or Draw 1.72Bet365 No changefrom 1.72 64%
Draw or Fiorentina 1.33Bet365 No changefrom 1.33 62%
Monza or Fiorentina 1.28Bet365 No changefrom 1.28 75%
Draw No Bet
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Monza 2.37Bet365 No changefrom 2.37 51%
Fiorentina 1.53Bet365 No changefrom 1.53 49%
Both Teams to Score
Selection Best price Since opening Model
BTTS Yes 1.60Betfair Exchange Drifted 2%from 1.57 63%
BTTS No 2.48Betfair Exchange No changefrom 2.48 37%
Total Goals
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Over 1.5 1.21Betfair Exchange No changefrom 1.21 82%
Under 1.5 5.16Betfair Exchange No changefrom 5.16 18%
Over 2.5 1.681xBet Shortened 1%from 1.70 60%
Under 2.5 2.40Betfair Exchange Drifted 2%from 2.36 40%
Over 3.5 2.60Betfair Exchange No changefrom 2.60 38%
Under 3.5 1.56Betfair Exchange No changefrom 1.56 62%
Half-Time Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Monza 3.60Bet365 No changefrom 3.60 –
Draw 2.37Bet365 No changefrom 2.37 –
Fiorentina 2.60Bet365 No changefrom 2.60 –

Prices are decimal. Updated 14 Nov, 01:24. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

38%Monza 26%Draw 36%Fiorentina
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.