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Iceland
Luxembourg
Iceland have scored 2.50 goals a game and conceded 1.83 across their last 6 home games in all competitions, while Luxembourg have scored 0.67 and conceded 1.50 across their last 6 away games. Both teams have scored in 4 of Iceland's last 6 home games and 1 of Luxembourg's last 6 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 5 of Iceland's last 6 home games. Iceland have scored first in 5 of their last 6 home games. Iceland's last 6 home games have averaged 8.7 corners and Luxembourg's last 6 away games 7.7. Stats as of 14 Nov 2026, 11:01 UK.
Iceland's last 6 home games and Luxembourg's last 6 away games in all competitions.
From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market
Iceland vs Luxembourg kicks off at 17:00 UK time on Monday 16 November 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Laugardalsvöllur, Reykjavík.
The OddAlerts probability model gives Iceland a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Luxembourg 23%.
Iceland have scored 2.50 goals a game and conceded 1.83 across their last 6 home games in all competitions, while Luxembourg have scored 0.67 and conceded 1.50 across their last 6 away games. Both teams have scored in 4 of Iceland's last 6 home games and 1 of Luxembourg's last 6 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 5 of Iceland's last 6 home games.
Iceland are 1st in League C Group 4 with 11 points from 5 games. Luxembourg are 4th in League C Group 4 with 3 points from 5 games.
Iceland2W 2D 2L · 6 home games
Luxembourg2W 0D 4L · 6 away games
| Iceland | Stat | Luxembourg |
|---|---|---|
| Match outcomes | ||
| 2 of 633% | Win | 2 of 633% |
| 2 of 633% | Draw | 0 of 60% |
| 2 of 633% | Loss | 4 of 667% |
| 8 | Points | 6 |
| 1.33 | Points per game | 1.00 |
| 4 | Goal difference | -5 |
| Expected goals | ||
| 1.57 | xG per game | 0.82 |
| 1.37 | xGA per game | 1.88 |
| 5.58 | xG performance | -0.90 |
| Possession & attacks | ||
| 56% | Possession | 49% |
| 46.67 | Dangerous attacks | 32.50 |
| 37.33 | Dangerous attacks against | 49.17 |
| Shots | ||
| 10.83 | Shots for | 8.33 |
| 11.50 | Shots against | 14.33 |
| 5.00 | On target for | 2.83 |
| 5.67 | On target against | 5.33 |
| 23% | Shot conversion | 8% |
| 46% | On-target accuracy | 34% |
| Tackles & fouls | ||
| 11.17 | Tackles | 13.67 |
| 13.00 | Fouls committed | 12.00 |
| 12.00 | Fouls won | 12.17 |
| 1.00 | Offsides | 1.50 |
| Iceland | Stat | Luxembourg |
|---|---|---|
| Goals overview | ||
| 4.33 | Goals per game (total) | 2.17 |
| 15 | Goals scored | 4 |
| 2.50 | Scored per game | 0.67 |
| 11 | Goals conceded | 9 |
| 1.83 | Conceded per game | 1.50 |
| Outcomes | ||
| 5 of 683% | Scored first | 1 of 617% |
| 0 of 60% | Failed to score | 4 of 667% |
| 2 of 633% | Clean sheet | 1 of 617% |
| 4 of 667% | BTTS | 1 of 617% |
| 3 of 650% | BTTS & over 2.5 | 1 of 617% |
| 6 of 6100% | BTTS or over 2.5 | 2 of 633% |
| Total goals | ||
| 6 of 6100% | Over 0.5 | 6 of 6100% |
| 6 of 6100% | Over 1.5 | 4 of 667% |
| 5 of 683% | Over 2.5 | 2 of 633% |
| 4 of 667% | Over 3.5 | 1 of 617% |
| Goals scored | ||
| 6 of 6100% | Scored 1+ | 2 of 633% |
| 4 of 667% | Scored 2+ | 2 of 633% |
| 3 of 650% | Scored 3+ | 0 of 60% |
| Goals conceded | ||
| 4 of 667% | Conceded 1+ | 5 of 683% |
| 3 of 650% | Conceded 2+ | 2 of 633% |
| 2 of 633% | Conceded 3+ | 1 of 617% |
| Iceland | Stat | Luxembourg |
|---|---|---|
| Half-time result | ||
| 4 of 667% | Winning at HT | 0 of 60% |
| 0 of 60% | Drawing at HT | 3 of 650% |
| 2 of 633% | Losing at HT | 3 of 650% |
| Iceland | Stat | Luxembourg |
|---|---|---|
| Corners per game | ||
| 8.67 | Total corners | 7.67 |
| 4.83 | Corners for | 2.67 |
| 3.83 | Corners against | 5.00 |
| 4 of 667% | Most corners | 1 of 617% |
| Match corner lines | ||
| 4 of 667% | Over 7.5 | 3 of 650% |
| 4 of 667% | Over 8.5 | 3 of 650% |
| 3 of 650% | Over 9.5 | 1 of 617% |
| 1 of 617% | Over 10.5 | 0 of 60% |
| 1 of 617% | Over 11.5 | 0 of 60% |
| 0 of 60% | Over 12.5 | 0 of 60% |
| Corners for lines | ||
| 3 of 650% | For over 4.5 | 0 of 60% |
| 3 of 650% | For over 5.5 | 0 of 60% |
| 2 of 633% | For over 6.5 | 0 of 60% |
| 1 of 617% | For over 7.5 | 0 of 60% |
| Corners against lines | ||
| 2 of 633% | Against over 4.5 | 5 of 683% |
| 2 of 633% | Against over 5.5 | 2 of 633% |
| 1 of 617% | Against over 6.5 | 2 of 633% |
| By half | ||
| 5.00 | 1H total | 4.00 |
| 2.83 | 1H for | 1.17 |
| 2.17 | 1H against | 2.83 |
| 3.67 | 2H total | 3.67 |
| 2.00 | 2H for | 1.50 |
| 1.67 | 2H against | 2.17 |
| Iceland | Stat | Luxembourg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards per game | ||
| 4.33 | Total cards | 5.17 |
| 1.67 | Cards received | 3.17 |
| 2.67 | Opponent cards | 2.00 |
| 1 of 617% | Most cards | 4 of 667% |
| Match card lines | ||
| 5 of 683% | Over 2.5 | 4 of 667% |
| 3 of 650% | Over 3.5 | 4 of 667% |
| 3 of 650% | Over 4.5 | 3 of 650% |
| 2 of 633% | Over 5.5 | 2 of 633% |
| Cards received lines | ||
| 6 of 6100% | Received 1+ | 5 of 683% |
| 2 of 633% | Received 2+ | 5 of 683% |
| 1 of 617% | Received 3+ | 3 of 650% |
| Opponent card lines | ||
| 6 of 6100% | Opponent 1+ | 5 of 683% |
| 5 of 683% | Opponent 2+ | 4 of 667% |
| 3 of 650% | Opponent 3+ | 2 of 633% |
| By half | ||
| 1.17 | 1H total | 1.50 |
| 0.50 | 1H received | 0.83 |
| 3.17 | 2H total | 4.50 |
| 1.17 | 2H received | 2.83 |
| Iceland | Stat | Luxembourg |
|---|---|---|
| Shots & conversion | ||
| 22.33 | Total shots (match) | 22.67 |
| 10.67 | Total on target (match) | 8.17 |
| 50% | On-target conversion | 24% |
Iceland's last 6 home games and Luxembourg's last 6 away games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.
Iceland4W 3D 3L · 10 games
Luxembourg3W 0D 7L · 10 games
| Iceland | Stat | Luxembourg |
|---|---|---|
| Match outcomes | ||
| 4 of 1040% | Win | 3 of 1030% |
| 3 of 1030% | Draw | 0 of 100% |
| 3 of 1030% | Loss | 7 of 1070% |
| 15 | Points | 9 |
| 1.50 | Points per game | 0.90 |
| 8 | Goal difference | -6 |
| Expected goals | ||
| 1.55 | xG per game | 0.98 |
| 1.24 | xGA per game | 1.38 |
| 4.52 | xG performance | -2.75 |
| Possession & attacks | ||
| 51% | Possession | 55% |
| 43.70 | Dangerous attacks | 39.90 |
| 41.70 | Dangerous attacks against | 35.80 |
| Shots | ||
| 11.70 | Shots for | 10.00 |
| 11.30 | Shots against | 11.80 |
| 4.30 | On target for | 3.40 |
| 4.50 | On target against | 5.00 |
| 17% | Shot conversion | 7% |
| 37% | On-target accuracy | 34% |
| Tackles & fouls | ||
| 15.90 | Tackles | 12.90 |
| 12.60 | Fouls committed | 12.50 |
| 11.30 | Fouls won | 13.30 |
| 1.50 | Offsides | 1.80 |
| Iceland | Stat | Luxembourg |
|---|---|---|
| Goals overview | ||
| 3.20 | Goals per game (total) | 2.00 |
| 20 | Goals scored | 7 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game | 0.70 |
| 12 | Goals conceded | 13 |
| 1.20 | Conceded per game | 1.30 |
| Outcomes | ||
| 7 of 1070% | Scored first | 2 of 1020% |
| 2 of 1020% | Failed to score | 7 of 1070% |
| 5 of 1050% | Clean sheet | 2 of 1020% |
| 4 of 1040% | BTTS | 1 of 1010% |
| 3 of 1030% | BTTS & over 2.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| 7 of 1070% | BTTS or over 2.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| Total goals | ||
| 9 of 1090% | Over 0.5 | 10 of 10100% |
| 9 of 1090% | Over 1.5 | 7 of 1070% |
| 6 of 1060% | Over 2.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 3 of 1030% | Over 3.5 | 0 of 100% |
| Goals scored | ||
| 8 of 1080% | Scored 1+ | 3 of 1030% |
| 6 of 1060% | Scored 2+ | 3 of 1030% |
| 4 of 1040% | Scored 3+ | 1 of 1010% |
| Goals conceded | ||
| 5 of 1050% | Conceded 1+ | 8 of 1080% |
| 4 of 1040% | Conceded 2+ | 4 of 1040% |
| 1 of 1010% | Conceded 3+ | 1 of 1010% |
| Iceland | Stat | Luxembourg |
|---|---|---|
| Half-time result | ||
| 6 of 1060% | Winning at HT | 1 of 1010% |
| 3 of 1030% | Drawing at HT | 4 of 1040% |
| 1 of 1010% | Losing at HT | 5 of 1050% |
| Iceland | Stat | Luxembourg |
|---|---|---|
| Corners per game | ||
| 8.40 | Total corners | 7.30 |
| 4.60 | Corners for | 3.20 |
| 3.80 | Corners against | 4.10 |
| 5 of 1050% | Most corners | 2 of 1020% |
| Match corner lines | ||
| 6 of 1060% | Over 7.5 | 6 of 1060% |
| 6 of 1060% | Over 8.5 | 5 of 1050% |
| 5 of 1050% | Over 9.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| 2 of 1020% | Over 10.5 | 0 of 100% |
| 2 of 1020% | Over 11.5 | 0 of 100% |
| 1 of 1010% | Over 12.5 | 0 of 100% |
| Corners for lines | ||
| 4 of 1040% | For over 4.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| 4 of 1040% | For over 5.5 | 0 of 100% |
| 4 of 1040% | For over 6.5 | 0 of 100% |
| 2 of 1020% | For over 7.5 | 0 of 100% |
| Corners against lines | ||
| 2 of 1020% | Against over 4.5 | 5 of 1050% |
| 2 of 1020% | Against over 5.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 2 of 1020% | Against over 6.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| By half | ||
| 4.30 | 1H total | 3.70 |
| 2.40 | 1H for | 1.30 |
| 1.90 | 1H against | 2.40 |
| 4.10 | 2H total | 3.60 |
| 2.20 | 2H for | 1.90 |
| 1.90 | 2H against | 1.70 |
| Iceland | Stat | Luxembourg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards per game | ||
| 4.20 | Total cards | 5.30 |
| 1.70 | Cards received | 3.00 |
| 2.50 | Opponent cards | 2.30 |
| 1 of 1010% | Most cards | 5 of 1050% |
| Match card lines | ||
| 8 of 1080% | Over 2.5 | 9 of 1090% |
| 6 of 1060% | Over 3.5 | 8 of 1080% |
| 5 of 1050% | Over 4.5 | 6 of 1060% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 5.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| Cards received lines | ||
| 10 of 10100% | Received 1+ | 9 of 1090% |
| 5 of 1050% | Received 2+ | 8 of 1080% |
| 1 of 1010% | Received 3+ | 6 of 1060% |
| Opponent card lines | ||
| 10 of 10100% | Opponent 1+ | 9 of 1090% |
| 8 of 1080% | Opponent 2+ | 8 of 1080% |
| 4 of 1040% | Opponent 3+ | 5 of 1050% |
| By half | ||
| 1.30 | 1H total | 1.50 |
| 0.80 | 1H received | 0.60 |
| 3.00 | 2H total | 4.20 |
| 1.00 | 2H received | 2.70 |
| Iceland | Stat | Luxembourg |
|---|---|---|
| Shots & conversion | ||
| 23.00 | Total shots (match) | 21.80 |
| 8.80 | Total on target (match) | 8.40 |
| 47% | On-target conversion | 21% |
Iceland's last 10 games and Luxembourg's last 10 games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.
Stats as of 14 Nov 2026, 11:01 UK.
Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed.
Bulgaria
5–0
win
xG 3.6–0.9
Estonia
0–0
draw
xG 0.7–1.1
Bulgaria
3–0
win
xG 2.5–0.8
Luxembourg
3–0
win
xG 1.9–0.3
Estonia
1–1
draw
xG 1.9–1.2
Argentina
0–3
defeat
Japan
0–1
defeat
Haiti
1–1
draw
Canada
2–2
draw
Mexico
0–4
defeat
Ukraine
0–2
defeat
xG 0.8–1.5
Azerbaijan
2–0
win
xG 1.4–0.4
France
2–2
draw
xG 1.1–2.4
Ukraine
3–5
defeat
xG 1.0–0.9
France
1–2
defeat
xG 0.5–2.9
Azerbaijan
5–0
win
xG 2.4–0.4
Northern Ireland
0–1
defeat
Scotland
3–1
win
Kosovo
1–3
defeat
xG 0.5–2.5
Kosovo
1–2
defeat
xG 0.5–1.3
Wales
1–4
defeat
xG 1.4–1.4
Montenegro
2–0
win
xG 0.9–0.7
Türkiye
2–4
defeat
xG 1.3–2.9
Wales
2–2
draw
xG 1.4–1.8
Türkiye
1–3
defeat
xG 0.7–1.5
Montenegro
2–0
win
xG 0.7–0.5
Netherlands
0–4
defeat
England
1–0
win
Ukraine
1–2
defeat
Israel
4–1
win
No games match these filters.
Estonia
0–1
defeat
xG 0.4–1.0
Bulgaria
0–2
defeat
xG 1.3–0.9
Estonia
0–1
defeat
xG 0.6–1.4
Iceland
0–3
defeat
xG 0.3–1.9
Bulgaria
2–1
win
xG 1.4–1.3
Albania
1–0
win
Italy
0–1
defeat
Malta
3–0
win
xG 1.9–1.4
Malta
2–0
win
xG 1.8–1.6
Northern Ireland
0–1
defeat
xG 0.8–1.4
Germany
0–2
defeat
xG 1.1–1.8
Slovakia
0–2
defeat
xG 0.3–1.2
Germany
0–4
defeat
xG 0.0–4.4
Slovakia
0–1
defeat
xG 0.9–1.2
Northern Ireland
1–3
defeat
xG 0.6–1.4
Republic of Ireland
0–0
draw
Slovenia
0–1
defeat
Switzerland
1–3
defeat
Sweden
1–0
win
Northern Ireland
2–2
draw
xG 0.5–1.4
Bulgaria
0–1
defeat
xG 1.3–0.4
Belarus
1–1
draw
xG 1.5–1.7
Bulgaria
0–0
draw
xG 0.7–0.3
Belarus
0–1
defeat
xG 0.5–0.7
Northern Ireland
0–2
defeat
xG 0.3–2.8
Belgium
0–3
defeat
France
0–3
defeat
Kazakhstan
2–1
win
Georgia
0–2
defeat
Liechtenstein
1–0
win
No games match these filters.
Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland |
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 1 | +11 | 11 | |
| 2 | Estonia |
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 | |
| 3 | Bulgaria |
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 4 | |
| 4 | Luxembourg |
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 |
UEFA Nations League 2026/2027 standings as of 14 Nov 2026, 11:01 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.
Best price across 5 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iceland | 1.391xBet | Drifted 1%from 1.38 | 53% |
| Draw | 5.20FanDuel | Drifted 2%from 5.10 | 24% |
| Luxembourg | 9.50Kambi Group | Drifted 6%from 9.00 | 23% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 2.10Bet365 | No changefrom 2.10 | 55% |
| BTTS No | 1.751xBet | Shortened 2%from 1.78 | 45% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.22Bet365 | No changefrom 1.22 | 79% |
| Under 1.5 | 4.181xBet | Drifted 6%from 3.93 | 21% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.751xBet | Shortened 1%from 1.76 | 57% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.171xBet | No changefrom 2.17 | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 2.85Kambi Group | No changefrom 2.85 | 34% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.44Bet365 | No changefrom 1.44 | 66% |
Prices are decimal. Updated 14 Nov, 11:04. Gamble responsibly, 18+.
From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.
Top picks, ranked by how often each leg landed in the last 10 games · 1.40+
7/10
10/10
7/10
7/10
7/10
