Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu

Shonan Bellmare host Sagan Tosu in the Japan J2-League on Tuesday 3 November 2026, kick-off 05:00. Our model makes Sagan Tosu favourites at 39%, with a 28% chance of a draw. In their last 9 meetings, Sagan Tosu won 3, Shonan Bellmare won 4 and 2 were drawn.

Japan J2-League Tue 3 Nov 2026, 05:00 Save

Shonan Bellmare

05:00

3 Nov

Sagan Tosu

Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka), Japan

Win probabilities

33%Shonan Bellmare 28%Draw 39%Sagan Tosu

Half-time result Pro

Shonan Bellmare
Draw
Sagan Tosu

Double chance

Shonan Bellmare or draw 61%
Sagan Tosu or draw 67%
Shonan Bellmare or Sagan Tosu 72%

Half-time / full-time Pro

Shonan Bellmare/Shonan Bellmare
Shonan Bellmare/Draw
Shonan Bellmare/Sagan Tosu
Draw/Shonan Bellmare
Draw/Draw
Draw/Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu/Shonan Bellmare
Sagan Tosu/Draw
Sagan Tosu/Sagan Tosu

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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu team news

Shonan Bellmare are without 7 players and Sagan Tosu are without 1 player.

Shonan Bellmare 7 out

Yutaro Oda Broken Tibia · Missed 30 games Injured

Sere Matsumura Calf Injury · Missed 10 games Injured

Kazunari Ono Hamstring Injury · Missed 14 games Injured

Naoki Kase Torn Ankle Ligaments · Missed 8 games Injured

Keigo Watanabe Hamstring Injury · Missed 8 games Injured

Shusuke Ota Concussion · Missed 4 games Injured

Arthur Silva Knee Medial Ligament Tear · Missed 4 games Injured

Sagan Tosu 1 out

Nagi Matsumoto Metatarsal Fracture · Missed 7 games · Out until 8 Jan 2027 Injured

Form

Shonan Bellmare L W D D D

Sagan Tosu L L W L W

Last 5 results in all competitions before kick-off, most recent first.

Shonan BellmareSagan Tosu

20% Win rate 60%

1.00 Goals scored 1.20

1.00 Goals conceded 1.00

80% Both teams score 40%

20% Over 2.5 goals 40%

0% Clean sheets 40%

0% Scored first 60%

0.00 xG for 0.00

0.00 xG against 0.00

11.60 Match corners 13.00

J2-League matches only, before kick-off: 5 each.

30% Win rate 40%

1.10 Goals scored 0.90

1.10 Goals conceded 1.20

80% Both teams score 30%

30% Over 2.5 goals 30%

10% Clean sheets 30%

20% Scored first 40%

0.00 xG for 0.00

0.00 xG against 0.00

11.30 Match corners 11.50

J2-League matches only, before kick-off: 10 each.

36% Win rate 36%

1.07 Goals scored 1.00

0.93 Goals conceded 1.21

64% Both teams score 36%

29% Over 2.5 goals 36%

29% Clean sheets 36%

36% Scored first 50%

0.00 xG for 0.00

0.00 xG against 0.00

10.36 Match corners 11.79

J2-League matches only, before kick-off: 14 each.

Shonan Bellmare at home and Sagan Tosu away this season.

33% Win rate 0%

1.17 Goals scored 0.43

1.17 Goals conceded 1.43

83% Both teams score 29%

33% Over 2.5 goals 29%

17% Clean sheets 14%

33% Scored first 14%

0.00 xG for 0.00

0.00 xG against 0.00

11.83 Match corners 10.43

J2-League matches only, before kick-off: 6 for Shonan Bellmare and 7 for Sagan Tosu.

Sagan Tosu vs Shonan Bellmare head to head

3 Sagan Tosu wins 2 draws 4 Shonan Bellmare wins

3.0 goals per game 56% both teams scored 56% over 2.5 goals

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Match info

Where to watch Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu

DAZN Japan
DAZN Japan Japan

Football on TV today

Venue: Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka), Hiratsuka Capacity 15,200
Forecast: 17°C, light rain Wind 21 km/h · Humidity 59%
Managers: Tetsu Nagasawa Shonan Bellmare Akio Kogiku Sagan Tosu

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Win probabilities

Half-time result Pro

Double chance

Half-time / full-time Pro

Both teams to score

First to score Pro

Goals 0.5 Pro

Goals 1.5

Goals 2.5

Goals 3.5

Goals 4.5 Pro

First-half goal Pro

Shonan Bellmare goals 0.5 Pro

Shonan Bellmare goals 1.5 Pro

Shonan Bellmare goals 2.5 Pro

Shonan Bellmare goals 3.5 Pro

Sagan Tosu goals 0.5 Pro

Sagan Tosu goals 1.5 Pro

Sagan Tosu goals 2.5 Pro

Sagan Tosu goals 3.5 Pro

Corners 4 Pro

Corners 5 Pro

Corners 6 Pro

Corners 7 Pro

Corners 8 Pro

Corners 9 Pro

Corners 10 Pro

Corners 11 Pro

Corners 10.5 Pro

Most likely scores Pro

Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu team news

Shonan Bellmare 7 out

Sagan Tosu 1 out

Form

Sagan Tosu vs Shonan Bellmare head to head